Mitch Marner, Yet Again

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Fair enough, I bet many of us share the same interest in seeing how Rants does away from MacK. Would be interesting to see how Marner would do with a lesser centre, although I hope he signs here for a reasonable rate (12.5-13) as he is a terrific winger.
Ya, totally agree. It annoys me that line combos aren't tried more often like, Saturday against Columbus, why not throw out Marner with Domi for a few shifts or Domi with Matthews. We've seen these guys together out of necessity but why not give them some mins together before there's an injury to develop chemistry.

I believe Marner was decent with Domi at the beginning of last year's playoffs if I'm not mistaken. But ya, also curious how he would perform away from AM and JT.
 
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That's super unusual tho. It's almost never the case, they've been playing so well lately, I expect they don't finish the season this way though.

I love the fact we're winning games and it's been because of lines 2 and 3 lately. That's a really good sign.

Ebb and flow of a season. It will soon be the 1st line that is the main contributing line on offense again.
True, largely because JT has never been particularly good defensively (beyond faceoffs) and they have never had a steady LW presence. I'd like to see how they finish the season with McMann staying there.
 
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So apparently some clown by the name of Steve Dangle thinks Marner's gonna get at least 16M a year from the Leafs. I have no idea who this idiot is but ... sports media used to at least be entertaining, seems like even that's too high a bar to clear these days with that kind of nonsense apparently being fit to print.
 
Been common knowledge pretty much since day 1 that centers always inherently have more value due to position.
You thinking something doesn't make it common knowledge or true. "Your feelings about something isn't evidence", remember?
I never said they were "overcompensated", I said they were compensated at a higher rate vs. wingers. Which when you look at all of the data, is true.
The question is whether they are compensated at a higher rate than wingers relative to impact because of their position. There is no data that suggests this is true, and it's not even what you've been looking at. The top cap hit percentages throughout the cap era feature quite a few wingers. There are numerous instances of center-winger duos signing with similar production getting identical contracts (ex. Sedins, Kane/Toews). When looking at the relationship between both post-ELC and UFA cap hit percentages and production through the 3 seasons prior to signing, there was no significant center/winger discrepancy in either sample. And while I'm not going to spend ages doing all that again, even if we do a quick test... The average starting cap hit percentage for the the 10 biggest UFA center contracts was 3% higher than the average percentage for the 10 biggest UFA winger contracts, but the average P/GP through the 3 years prior to signing for the centers was a pretty similar 2.4% higher.
So what "top" centres are you referring to Dekes?
"Top centers" generally refers to a wider group of high end centers than just 3. I don't know why you would think a player would need to bring more impact than 15%+ players to get 14-15%.
Given that most of the NHL data I prompted it to acquire is readily available, it should "spew" out a fairly accurate picture of the salary landscape in the NHL as relative to position. How have I seemed to have "gained an overconfidence" in it? I use it to quickly do calculations on the fly for my work, which I spontaneously backcheck through manual calculation. Seems you have a lot of assumptions on my use of AI.
ChatGPT produced quite a few errors when searching for pretty basic contract and positional data, including confusing salary and cap hit. And even if something is readily available, that doesn't make it accurate. A lot of positional data is inaccurate on the official NHL website. I haven't made any assumptions about how you use AI for work. Only discussed your use of it in this discussion.
 
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You thinking something doesn't make it common knowledge or true. "Your feelings about something isn't evidence", remember?

The question is whether they are compensated at a higher rate than wingers relative to impact because of their position. There is no data or evidence that suggests this is true, and it's not even what you've been looking at. The top cap hit percentages throughout the cap era feature quite a few wingers. There are numerous instances of center-winger duos signing with similar production getting identical contracts (ex. Sedins, Kane/Toews). When looking at the relationship between both post-ELC and UFA cap hit percentages and production through the 3 seasons prior to signing, there was no significant center/winger discrepancy in either sample. And while I'm not going to spend ages doing all that again, even if we do a quick test... The average starting cap hit percentage for the the 10 biggest center contracts was 3% higher than the average percentage for the top 10 winger contracts, but the average P/GP through the 3 years prior to signing for the centers was a pretty similar 2.4% higher.

"Top centers" generally refers to a wider group of high end centers than just 3. I don't know why you would think a player would need to bring more impact than 15%+ players to get 14-15%.

ChatGPT produced quite a few errors when searching for pretty basic contract and positional data, including confusing salary and cap hit. And even if something is readily available, that doesn't make it accurate. A lot of positional data is inaccurate on the official NHL website. I haven't made any assumptions about how you use AI for work. Only discussed your use of it in this discussion.
I was looking at cap hit % for position predicated upon all wingers/centres, followed by the top 100 wingers/centres. This was to do with you stating "Players get paid based on impact", which I asked about by having you post data on what "impact" represents. You didn't really provide anything. Evidence of the twins or Toews/Kane signing similar contracts isn't a wide dataset, and you know that.

"The average starting cap hit percentage for the the 10 biggest center contracts was 3% higher than the average percentage for the top 10 winger contracts, but the average P/GP through the 3 years prior to signing for the centers was a pretty similar 2.4% higher". So in other words, Centres on average are paid more than wingers. Why is this so hard for you to admit? In my world, 100 basis points is big, nevermind 300 and 240.

You've referred to Marner as a top 3 winger in the league before, which is why I chose the top 3 centres to compare. That's evident, no?

ChatGPT produced quite a few errors when? When you were using it? The functions I use take a 64 core server 30 minutes to compute, and it uses over 30 sources to cross-check and confirm data. There may have been some errors, but no where near enough to completely invalidate its findings. Guess we can agree to disagree over that.

At the end of the day Dekes, I believe Marner is worth a max of 13.5-13.6% of the cap, and maybe you think he is worth more based off of your comments. I hope he signs with the Leafs, he's a hell of a player. I want to put this debate to bed, so I'm going to just say good talk (seriously) and as usual, thanks for indulging.
 
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Well if he is playing video games, he should have strong thumbs.

I don’t get the video game hate. I’d say 75% of the league is gaming. What else are they gonna do on the road? I watched a video where the oilers talked about having a Nintendo switch club on the plane. Pretty sure McDavid is in it. They play Mario Kart.


Most of the league brings their gaming consoles or pc’s on the road. They aren’t just roaming the streets on the road.
 
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I highly doubt it is even close to "every". It's also dependant on how much. If someone asked me if I enjoy playing video games. I would say yes. However, I haven't played a video game in over a year.



Like normal just so wrong. Many of them do game. Not everyone but a bunch of them do. Wonder how you’re gonna explain yourself out of this one… seems like the oilers got a group that runs Mario Kart pretty much every trip. Even the best player in the world right now is in the action…
 
So apparently some clown by the name of Steve Dangle thinks Marner's gonna get at least 16M a year from the Leafs. I have no idea who this idiot is but ... sports media used to at least be entertaining, seems like even that's too high a bar to clear these days with that kind of nonsense apparently being fit to print.
Dangle is a lunatic, but he makes up for it by being a clown.
 


Like normal just so wrong. Many of them do game. Not everyone but a bunch of them do. Wonder how you’re gonna explain yourself out of this one… seems like the oilers got a group that runs Mario Kart pretty much every trip. Even the best player in the world right now is in the action…
Lol how am I gonna explain myself out of this one?

They are trapped on a plane! Of course they are gonna play video games or watch movies. They can't do anything else!

it's normal for players to pass time on the plane by playing video games. Crosby years and years ago was shown playing video games with teammates. Tkatchuk once indicated he didn't like how young players no longer played cards and instead played video games. Did Tkatchuk or other players in his era, go home and play cards everyday after work?

Marner always talks about gaming, always lists it as as one his favorite past times. Even Marchand said Marner just talks about gaming and his dog.
 
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So apparently some clown by the name of Steve Dangle thinks Marner's gonna get at least 16M a year from the Leafs. I have no idea who this idiot is but ... sports media used to at least be entertaining, seems like even that's too high a bar to clear these days with that kind of nonsense apparently being fit to print.
He is just some guy with a podcast. He shouts a lot.
 
he was pretty awful tonight, as was the rest of the team

6 in 5 needed for 100, let's see how tmrw goes
His 6 on 5 breakout pass, that started the entire last minute mess, needs to be preserved for future generations. I would love to ask him what he saw but he didn't see anything as he had his head in his ass while players were getting into their swings. Then 34 went to work and completed the Italian job.
 
His 6 on 5 breakout pass, that started the entire last minute mess, needs to be preserved for future generations. I would love to ask him what he saw but he didn't see anything as he had his head in his ass while players were getting into their swings. Then 34 went to work and completed the Italian job.
Thats Magic Marner for you, brain going to shambles in big moments. He also took the weak point shot moments ealier that was easily blocked and intercepted. Hes lucky the panther slipped and fell after rhe interception otherwise that wouldve ended up in our net first.
 
11 million for past 6 years and may not hit 100 points through the entire contract despite playing primarily 5v5 with Matthews and if not with Tavares. And on a #1 PP WITH Nylander, Tavares, Matthews... Jesus. Give the man 14 million!
His best years are behind him. He won’t put up better numbers, what you see is what you get for another 6 years, then the decline will kick in.
 
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