Mitch Marner, Yet Again

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I thought the Leafs had more wins than Tampa, have more points than Tampa and are ahead of Tampa in the standings? Isn't that the goal?
Understanding team sports isn't for everyone. I understand PickleBall is easier to follow.
 
Do you think Leafs have won more games on Willy's +20 more actual goals or Marner's +12 more points?
[If you answered, of course the Leafs have won more games this year as a result of Willy's goals you would be correct. ] :wg:
Yikes. It doesn't matter how many goals you score if you're letting in more goals against.

It's shocking how little the hater cult seems to know about defense.
 
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Yikes. It doesn't matter how many goals you score if you're letting in more goals against.

It's shocking how little the hater cult seems to know about defense.
Not necessarily true. Montreal is a minus 20 but nevertheless are playoffs bound
 
As long as Marner's teammates keep scoring vital goals that help Leafs win games, Marner can keep padding his assist and thus point totals.

Willy has 3 straight 40 or more goal season, Matthews won the Rocket 2 X as league's top goal scorer and Marner lives off their goal scoring success padding his personal stats.

No Goal = No Assist

Relative Scoring Values Adjusted

Since there is only 1 goal on every scoring play, but potentially 2 assists awarded perhaps a goal should be worth 1 point and an assist = .5 point each.

Marner's 24 goal 70 assists 94 point season adjusted point total = 24+35= 59 points when Goals 2 X > Assists in value.

Nylander's 44 goal and 38 assists 82 point season adjusted point total = 44+ 19 = 63 points,
[Previous season Willy had 40 goals 58 assists 98 points = 40+29 = 69 points]

Do you think Leafs have won more games on Willy's +20 more actual goals or Marner's +12 more points?
[If you answered, of course the Leafs have won more games this year as a result of Willy's goals you would be correct. ] :wg:

PS. That holds true for the entire Core 4 in fact as GOALS win games and Goals >> Personal Player Points. The object of each game is to WIN and not pile up pretty Player Points, which often gets lost in the big picture as to why you play the games in the first place.. :badidea:

PPS. Last year Kucherov lead the NHL with 44 goals 100 assists 144 points adjusted = 44+50 = 94 point season. That is what feels like a TRUE 90+ point season in value and impact on the results of an NHL game.

Call the NHL and tell them this, McDavid needs to give back some of his trophies...
 
Not a line driver...

90+ points in a season (past 30 years)

Marner - 4
Matthews - 2
Nylander - 1
Sundin - 1

No big deal. We'll be better off without him for sure.
I think you missed my point. You can't have double standards like "Rantanen is a byproduct of MacKinnon" and then go on to say Marner is solely responsible for his success, considering he has played with two first line centres his whole career as well. Maybe they have both benefited by playing with exceptional centres? Maybe those centres have benefited from playing with great wingers as well?
 
Yikes. It doesn't matter how many goals you score if you're letting in more goals against.

It's shocking how little the hater cult seems to know about defense.
defence? like the massive 3 goal difference in +/- at even strength between mitchy and willie?
looks to me like mitchy is at best stagnating and willie is improving ...
 
defence? like the massive 3 goal difference in +/- at even strength between mitchy and willie?
looks to me like mitchy is at best stagnating and willie is improving ...
If you want to use +/- then how about this.

Career:
Matthews +145
Marner +122
Nylander +33

If you don't see how incredibly horrible Nylander is compared to Marner defensively, then you simply aren't watching properly.
 
If you want to use +/- then how about this.

Career:
Matthews +145
Marner +122
Nylander +33

If you don't see how incredibly horrible Nylander is compared to Marner defensively, then you simply aren't watching properly.
what part of stagnating and improving did you not understand?
not sure i can explain it any simpler for you

not talking about the past ... looking at this year and to the future
 
defence? like the massive 3 goal difference in +/- at even strength between mitchy and willie?
looks to me like mitchy is at best stagnating and willie is improving ...
It's a flaky stat, as a team they seem better committed to defense. Overall, Nylander is probably benefitting from the Tavares resurgence while Marner is probably being hurt a bit by Matthews down year.
All great players though that any fan should be happy to have.
 
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As long as Marner's teammates keep scoring vital goals that help Leafs win games, Marner can keep padding his assist and thus point totals.

Willy has 3 straight 40 or more goal season, Matthews won the Rocket 2 X as league's top goal scorer and Marner lives off their goal scoring success padding his personal stats.

No Goal = No Assist

Relative Scoring Values Adjusted

Since there is only 1 goal on every scoring play, but potentially 2 assists awarded perhaps a goal should be worth 1 point and an assist = .5 point each.

Marner's 24 goal 70 assists 94 point season adjusted point total = 24+35= 59 points when Goals 2 X > Assists in value.

Nylander's 44 goal and 38 assists 82 point season adjusted point total = 44+ 19 = 63 points,
[Previous season Willy had 40 goals 58 assists 98 points = 40+29 = 69 points]

Do you think Leafs have won more games on Willy's +20 more actual goals or Marner's +12 more points?
[If you answered, of course the Leafs have won more games this year as a result of Willy's goals you would be correct. ] :wg:

PS. That holds true for the entire Core 4 in fact as GOALS win games and Goals >> Personal Player Points. The object of each game is to WIN and not pile up pretty Player Points, which often gets lost in the big picture as to why you play the games in the first place.. :badidea:

PPS. Last year Kucherov lead the NHL with 44 goals 100 assists 144 points adjusted = 44+50 = 94 point season. That is what feels like a TRUE 90+ point season in value and impact on the results of an NHL game.
I actually agree that there should be some sort of weighted scale for goals, primary assists and secondary assists but not at a 2 to 1 scale.

I figure something like 5 points for a goal, 4 points for a primary assist and 2 points for a secondary assist, something like that I believe would be more accurate.
 
As long as Marner's teammates keep scoring vital goals that help Leafs win games, Marner can keep padding his assist and thus point totals.

Willy has 3 straight 40 or more goal season, Matthews won the Rocket 2 X as league's top goal scorer and Marner lives off their goal scoring success padding his personal stats.

No Goal = No Assist

Relative Scoring Values Adjusted

Since there is only 1 goal on every scoring play, but potentially 2 assists awarded perhaps a goal should be worth 1 point and an assist = .5 point each.

That is not how any of this works.. primary assists tend to be worth more than secondary, and especially in the case of true playmakers like Marner. Then you have to add in the context about the amount of time Marner spends on the point on the PP which biases his splits even though he’s an important driver there too.

I understand you had to choose a pretty high number to get the result you wanted but it’s clearly wrong.

Marner's 24 goal 70 assists 94 point season adjusted point total = 24+35= 59 points when Goals 2 X > Assists in value.

Nylander's 44 goal and 38 assists 82 point season adjusted point total = 44+ 19 = 63 points,
[Previous season Willy had 40 goals 58 assists 98 points = 40+29 = 69 points]

Do you think Leafs have won more games on Willy's +20 more actual goals or Marner's +12 more points?

These figures are all completely off base due to the earlier problem but even apart from that they focus on offence only which further biases the argument.

Marner is clearly the better and more impactful player on winning games because he does a lot more than just offense. He is recognized as such by any serious hockey analyst. This will be reflected in his contract being more than Willy again when he signs.
 
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I think you missed my point. You can't have double standards like "Rantanen is a byproduct of MacKinnon" and then go on to say Marner is solely responsible for his success, considering he has played with two first line centres his whole career as well. Maybe they have both benefited by playing with exceptional centres? Maybe those centres have benefited from playing with great wingers as well?
You really think when JT and Marner are on a line together that Marner is the passenger and JT is the play driver?

Scoring goals doesn't make you a play driver. I think of JVR as a good example of this, he never drove a line but often scored the most goals on his line.

Matthews has games where this happens to him as well, I won't notice him at all in a game and then snipe, he finishes.

The greatest goal scorer of all time also has games like this. It is certainly a gift - the instinct of a goal scorer, but certainly not the determining factor of being considered a play driver.
 
Yikes. It doesn't matter how many goals you score if you're letting in more goals against.

It's shocking how little the hater cult seems to know about defense.
Yeah - would you believe the "hater cult" seems to think that Willy and JT (+19) are anywhere close to the defensively vastly superior Matty and Mitch (+17)?

The mere fact that you have to continually call people who disagree with you "haters" really discredits your arguments.
 
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Yeah - would you believe the "hater cult" seems to think that Willy and JT (+19) are anywhere close to the defensively vastly superior Matty and Mitch (+17)?

The mere fact that you have to continually call people who disagree with you "haters" really discredits your arguments.
This has been explained above. Pay attention.
 
If you want to use +/- then how about this.

Career:
Matthews +145
Marner +122
Nylander +33

If you don't see how incredibly horrible Nylander is compared to Marner defensively, then you simply aren't watching properly.
If you have to go all the way back to try to hide the fact that the current difference is very small, then you either aren't watching properly or are just being disingenuous.
 
You really think when JT and Marner are on a line together that Marner is the passenger and JT is the play driver?

Scoring goals doesn't make you a play driver. I think of JVR as a good example of this, he never drove a line but often scored the most goals on his line.

Matthews has games where this happens to him as well, I won't notice him at all in a game and then snipe, he finishes.

The greatest goal scorer of all time also has games like this. It is certainly a gift - the instinct of a goal scorer, but certainly not the determining factor of being considered a play driver.
I think you are either being obtuse, or purposely missing my point.

They have both (Rantanen and Marner) been mutually benefited by the centres they have played with. If either of them hadn't played with 3 of the top 15 centres in the league their whole career, their numbers probably wouldn't be the same. This also goes for the centres who have benefited from playing with 2 of the top 15 wingers in the game for large portions of their career.

I don't think you can credit any of those involved as solely being the "line-drivers" of their lines. That's it. Shouldn't there be some sort of advanced statistics that back up this "line-driver" theory? Maybe @DekesForDays has some insight into this?

Also saying you don't notice Matthews in certain games and trying to somehow draw a comparison to JVR is beyond hilarious. All players have games where they are ineffective, even Marner.
 
Nylander and his linemates are currently three of the top four forwards in +/-.
That's super unusual tho. It's almost never the case, they've been playing so well lately, I expect they don't finish the season this way though.

I love the fact we're winning games and it's been because of lines 2 and 3 lately. That's a really good sign.

Ebb and flow of a season. It will soon be the 1st line that is the main contributing line on offense again.
 
I think you are either being obtuse, or purposely missing my point.

They have both (Rantanen and Marner) been mutually benefited by the centres they have played with. If either of them hadn't played with 3 of the top 15 centres in the league their whole career, their numbers probably wouldn't be the same. This also goes for the centres who have benefited from playing with 2 of the top 15 wingers in the game for large portions of their career.

I don't think you can credit any of those involved as solely being the "line-drivers" of their lines. That's it. Shouldn't there be some sort of advanced statistics that back up this "line-driver" theory? Maybe @DekesForDays has some insight into this?

Also saying you don't notice Matthews in certain games and trying to somehow draw a comparison to JVR is beyond hilarious. All players have games where they are ineffective, even Marner.
Oh I gotcha. I misread.

There's definitely a mutual benefit to all players involved.

What I would suggest though, is that the gap between Rantanen and MacKinnon is significantly larger than the gap between Matthews and Marner.

I'm very intrigued to see Rantanen in the playoffs. Is he a playoff beast himself or again, as suggested earlier, is he a byproduct of the playoff beast that is MacKinnon.

Kinda have to wait and see on this one which is what I originally suggested, we need more time to be able to evaluate Rantanen without Mac.
 
Oh I gotcha. I misread.

There's definitely a mutual benefit to all players involved.

What I would suggest though, is that the gap between Rantanen and MacKinnon is significantly larger than the gap between Matthews and Marner.

I'm very intrigued to see Rantanen in the playoffs. Is he a playoff beast himself or again, as suggested earlier, is he a byproduct of the playoff beast that is MacKinnon.

Kinda have to wait and see on this one which is what I originally suggested, we need more time to be able to evaluate Rantanen without Mac.
Fair enough, I bet many of us share the same interest in seeing how Rants does away from MacK. Would be interesting to see how Marner would do with a lesser centre, although I hope he signs here for a reasonable rate (12.5-13) as he is a terrific winger.
 
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