Of course teams would consider a shorter term, because he would suck badly from age 32 onwards...if he's bad in the playoffs now, he'd be worse later when he's old...he's probably not signing a 3 to 4 year deal unless he gets $15 million per.
Marner wants a 3 year deal. He isnt taking a 5 year deal, no way.
The NHL said the cap will likely go up 10mill per year.
The NHL said the cap will likely be about 113 million in 2028.
Which would mean the cap would be around 123 million at the beginning of the 2029 season when Marner is up for a new contract.
123 million as a %
14% = $17,220,000
13% = $15,990,000
12% = $14,760,000
11% = $13,530,000
10% = $12,300,000
9% = $11,070,000
When Kadri was 31, Ferris got him a deal with Calgary for 8.48%x7 years.
So... even if Marner signs for 3 years, he ptobably feels pretty safe to expect that he would get 11 millionx7.
Scenario 1 (Toronto):
8-Year Deal at $13.5 Million AAV
Total Earnings: $108,000,000
End of Contract Age:
36 (Marner is currently 28)
Pre-tax Earnings: $108,000,000
After-tax Earnings: $50,220,000
Scenario 2 (in Dallas ex):
3-Year Deal at $13.5 Million AAV
Followed by a 7-Year Deal at $11 Million AAV
Total Earnings: $117,500,000
End of Contract Age:
38
Pre-tax Earnings: $117,500,000
After-tax Earnings: $74,025,000
So... Marner would make substantially more money in a low tax state and if he took the 3 year deal. Its pretty low risk he would make less than the 8 year Leaf deal. Unless his stats take a steep dive.
