I think it is the most reasonable outcome.
That would be about 12.5% of the cap in a 93 million cap. What would you possibly think a 95 pt 1st team all star selke nominated winger would ask for?
About 14% is pretty standard for his stats.
That would be about 13.
He gets his money. He gets a small raise. More than Willie. It’s fair
He hasnt been ALL NHL team in 2 years and hasnt been close really these past two years
95 pt 1 time selke finalist winger is not impressive aa you think
Wingers who are better than Marner
Kucherov
Rantanen
Pasta
Tkachuk
Panarin
Wingers who are in same tier as Marner
Jason Robertson
Kirill Kaprizov
He is the 6th to 8th best winger in the league who doesnt have a great skating game and will be 28 at the time of being a UFA
That ignores his epic playoff failures all together.
We just saw 2 comparable wingers in Gaudreau and Huberdeau get insane money in their late 20s after elite years for past several years fall off.
Nylander was a better player than Marner for the full 2023-2024 season. If marner has another comparable year where Nylander outplays him again at 11.5M then he will need to take less than that to get his money
Next year is a big season for marner, whether in toronto or anywhere. He is at threat to be a non top 10 winger in the league if nylander continues playing like this, and reinhart, forsberg and a few other wingers have a repeat year.
League scoring is crazy high but marner is a non threat in any race (rocket, ross, assist title, hart, lindsay). It shows you he just a great player who isnt a franchise talent outside of toronto