Player Discussion Mitch Marner, Continued

ToneDog

56 years and counting. #FireTheShanaClan!
Jun 11, 2017
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The only time something could change is in the playoffs. Some people still seem to think that Marner's worth raving about early in the regular season though, it is what it is.
Does this look like a $13m player?

1734715370216.png


How about this?

1734715640152.png
 
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ToneDog

56 years and counting. #FireTheShanaClan!
Jun 11, 2017
25,708
25,134
Richmond Hill, ON
Assuming that’s McDavid he’s probably a 16-17 million dollar player, soooo
Nah, it is Drai who had an 8.5m cap hit for 8 years before hitting it out of the park and being rewarded for outperforming him last deal. Marner who did not perform to his last cap hit isn't close to this guy but will argue he deserves to be paid close to him. Mitch with 1 goal in his last 10 games and we wonder why Leafs depth is a non factor in the playoffs.
 
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francis246

Registered User
Nov 16, 2007
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Nah, it is Drai who had an 8.5m cap hit for 8 years before hitting it out of the park and being rewarded for outperforming him last deal. Marner who did not perform to his last cap hit isn't close to this guy but will argue he deserves to be paid close to him. Mitch with 1 goal in his last 10 games and we wonder why Leafs depth is a non factor in the playoffs.

When Draisaitl signed his extension he had a career high of 77 and hadn’t scored 30 goals. No body thought his 8.5 deal was a steal at the time he signed it. It wasn’t until 2 seasons later when he scored 105 that people started saying that deal was a steal. You can’t keep going back and comparing deals in hindsight cause valuations are all over the place when guys sign.
 
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francis246

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Nov 16, 2007
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18,400
Nah, it is Drai who had an 8.5m cap hit for 8 years before hitting it out of the park and being rewarded for outperforming him last deal. Marner who did not perform to his last cap hit isn't close to this guy but will argue he deserves to be paid close to him. Mitch with 1 goal in his last 10 games and we wonder why Leafs depth is a non factor in the playoffs.



Just read this thread of when the extension happened
 
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ToneDog

56 years and counting. #FireTheShanaClan!
Jun 11, 2017
25,708
25,134
Richmond Hill, ON

Just read this thread of when the extension happened
Yup, I thought it was an overpay at the time but it was a gamble that paid off in spades. Same looks to be true for Jack Hughes. Leafs blew it with their RFAs and now they are paying for it a second time.

Even so. Draisaitl @ 14.25m (eek) or Marner at $13m? I'd plug my nose and take the big strong, goal scoring centre and playoff beast. Sorry Marner @ $13m is a joke IMO.
 

666

Registered User
Jun 27, 2005
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Is there a big difference here besides the fact William scores a ton more goals and some consider him overpaid at 11.5
View attachment 948746
Finally, a hater with a large sample size. Unfortunately you're completely ignoring Nylander's dismal defence. While using +/- is frowned upon when comparing two right wingers on the same team it's at least a reasonable context and in this case it should give you a hint as to how horrible Nylander is defensively. To even consider comparing Nylander to Marner during the regular season is absurd. Do you guys even watch the defensive zone?
 

francis246

Registered User
Nov 16, 2007
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Yup, I thought it was an overpay at the time but it was a gamble that paid off in spades. Same looks to be true for Jack Hughes. Leafs blew it with their RFAs and now they are paying for it a second time.

The leafs f***ed up by signing Matthews first. I honestly have no idea why we hyper focus so much on Marner and his contract. The initial Matthews extension set this organization on a brutal path with our RFA’s. They paid him far too much especially in a season where he didn’t our pace Marner. Doing that gave Marner the ammo to also ask for more than what he was probably worth at the time. Just bad negotiating all around.
 
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666

Registered User
Jun 27, 2005
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Yup, I thought it was an overpay at the time but it was a gamble that paid off in spades. Same looks to be true for Jack Hughes. Leafs blew it with their RFAs and now they are paying for it a second time.

Even so. Draisaitl @ 14.25m (eek) or Marner at $13m? I'd plug my nose and take the big strong, goal scoring centre and playoff beast. Sorry Marner @ $13m is a joke IMO.
Drai is dependent on the power play and ice-time to get his points.

Last 3 full seasons to get the samples up but avoid the Covid years 5v5 points / 60 to allow for uneven playing time:

PlayerTeamPositionGPTOITOI/GPTotal Points/60
1​
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC2183610.216.63.22
2​
Auston MatthewsTORC2283562.415.63.01
3​
Mitchell MarnerTORC, R2213205.114.52.98
4​
Connor McDavidEDMC2383869.316.32.93
5​
Matthew TkachukCGY, FLAL2413338.613.92.89
6​
David PastrnakBOSR2363383.114.32.87
7​
Nikita KucherovT.BR2103239.315.42.83
8​
Jason RobertsonDALL2383451.414.52.63
9​
Nikolaj EhlersWPGL1892534.713.42.63
10​
Artemi PanarinNYRL2393620.015.12.62
11​
Jesper BrattN.JL2403268.613.62.62
12​
Jeff SkinnerBUFL2333109.113.32.61
13​
Filip ForsbergNSHL2012738.213.62.59
14​
Vladimir TarasenkoFLA, NYR, OTT, STLR2202881.013.12.56
15​
Sidney CrosbyPITC2333535.615.22.56
16​
Tage ThompsonBUFC, R2273064.513.52.55
17​
Carter VerhaegheFLAC2353259.013.92.54
18​
Alex TuchBUFR1992713.113.62.54
19​
Nico HischierN.JC2222983.413.42.53
20​
Leon DraisaitlEDMC2413811.115.82.52
21​
Kirill KaprizovMINL2233393.015.22.51
22​
Brayden PointT.BC2293379.214.82.49
23​
Kevin FialaL.A, MINL2333121.713.42.48
24​
Jack HughesN.JC1892928.315.52.48
25​
Aleksander BarkovFLAC2082724.713.12.47
26​
Jordan KyrouSTLC2353304.914.12.47
27​
Johnny GaudreauCBJ, CGYL2433582.014.72.46
28​
Robert ThomasSTLC2273217.814.22.41
29​
Nazem KadriCGY, COLC2353205.713.62.40
30​
Elias PetterssonVANC2423279.613.62.40
31​
Michael BuntingCAR, PIT, TORL2423221.413.32.37
32​
Steven StamkosT.BC2413241.213.42.37
33​
Brock NelsonNYIC2363239.813.72.37
34​
Mikko RantanenCOLR2373898.416.42.35
35​
William NylanderTORC, R2453415.813.92.35
 

Confucius

There is no try, Just do
Feb 8, 2009
23,752
8,333
Toronto
Finally, a hater with a large sample size. Unfortunately you're completely ignoring Nylander's dismal defence. While using +/- is frowned upon when comparing two right wingers on the same team it's at least a reasonable context and in this case it should give you a hint as to how horrible Nylander is defensively. To even consider comparing Nylander to Marner during the regular season is absurd. Do you guys even watch the defensive zone?
Im not a hater, jeeze. I just don’t believe in overpaying. Mitch playing all the pk apparently but has only 7 shp compared to William’s 4. William with 17 gwg’s compared to Marner’s 8. We can all point to different angles. I’d say the difference In defence is countered by the difference in goals
 
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666

Registered User
Jun 27, 2005
3,208
939
We can all point to different angles. I’d say the difference In defence is countered by the difference in goals
Then you don't understand Marners role or defense. Nylander is a defensive liability all of time. Marner is a defensive superstar all of the time. When Nylander plays with JT they let in more goals than they score. When Marner plays with JT they are as effective as the Matthews line.

You need to watch Nylander closer in the defensive zone. First of all he's alway late getting out of the offensive zone because he's always so tired or lazy getting back. Then, most of the time, he hangs out at the blue line looking for the flashy stretch pass breakaway. When he does rarely contribute he gives the puck away more often than not. You guys really need to pay more attention in the defensive zone.
 
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Confucius

There is no try, Just do
Feb 8, 2009
23,752
8,333
Toronto
Then you don't understand Marners role or defense. Nylander is a defensive liability all of time. Marner is a defensive superstar all of the time. When Nylander plays with JT they let in more goals than they score. When Marner plays with JT they are as effective as the Matthews line.

You need to watch Nylander closer in the defensive zone. First of all he's alway late getting out of the offensive zone because he's always so tired or lazy getting back. Then, most of the time, he hangs out at the blue line looking for the flashy stretch pass breakaway. When he does rarely contribute he gives the puck away more often than not. You guys really need to pay more attention in the defensive zone.
Why are you a William hater?
See how that works?
 

Confucius

There is no try, Just do
Feb 8, 2009
23,752
8,333
Toronto
Does it really matter if he's on the ice for more goals against than goals for? Think about it.
I don’t have the time to research how all the goals were scored over the last 2.5 years. When Mitch plays on the pk he can only get a plus never a minus. So that is a big advantage. Maybe it has to do with linemates, maybe with situational use.
 

666

Registered User
Jun 27, 2005
3,208
939
I don’t have the time to research how all the goals were scored over the last 2.5 years. When Mitch plays on the pk he can only get a plus never a minus. So that is a big advantage. Maybe it has to do with linemates, maybe with situational use.
The stats have been posted many many times. Nylander is horrible defensively and PK has nothing to do with it. Of course linemates matter but the stats still say the same thing. But none of this should matter. You should clearly see it EVERY SINGLE GAME. Marner is constantly doing his defensive magic getting the puck out of the zone and Nylander is constantly getting back late and hanging out at the blue line. How have you not noticed this?
 
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Confucius

There is no try, Just do
Feb 8, 2009
23,752
8,333
Toronto
The stats have been posted many many times. Nylander is horrible defensively and PK has nothing to do with it. Of course linemates matter but the stats still say the same thing. But none of this should matter. You should clearly see it EVERY SINGLE GAME. Marner is constantly doing his defensive magic getting the puck out of the zone and Nylander is constantly getting back late and hanging out at the blue line. How have you not noticed this?
Ofcourse pk time affects plus minus. You can never be assigned a minus while on pk but you can collect pluses. How many free pluses over 2.5 years did Mitch collect? Anyway man I value them both the same. If I’m defending I want Mitch, if I need a goal I want William
 

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