Player Discussion Mattias Ekholm

Pretty much the only complaint I have is that I'd like to see Broberg dressed more often and get some shifts with his fellow Swede, but that's a Woodcroft thing.
This right here, rotate a few games with VD, but with our D kinda set, It will most likely be next season in the likely hood that that we move on from Ceci and Kulak.
 
This right here, rotate a few games with VD, but with our D kinda set, It will most likely be next season in the likely hood that that we move on from Ceci and Kulak.
It's really no different than it was with the forwards most of the year.

Regardless of an individuals play you might find yourself on the outside looking in.

When you do receive your chance you have to seize the moment as who knows when you'll have another chance.

It's a rarity for this team to actually see, but it's finally nice to see guys really have to work hard to earn a chance to play and to keep that chance.

That and VD adds an element this team lacks so he may get a longer leash as his nastiness is something we really lack.
 
Actually, in a weird way, Ekholm's addition made Desharnais worse because he's now playing Barrie's spot on the 3rd pairing and has struggled with the elevated assignment. I think Holland made a mistake not adding a vet to the right side, too much youth in the top 6 with Bouchard and Desharnais being full time players and with Broberg wasting away as the #7.

With that said, Ekholm has been a fantastic addition to state the obvious, the top 4 is greatly improved as a result.
That’s a good point! Ekholm just makes me feel better about the Oilers lol
 
  • Like
Reactions: Oilhawks
I'm pretty sure you have to pay to isolate stats against specific player matchups and I'm a cheap f*** lol so I'll just look at Ekholm vs Colorado instead. For this season he's done alright, got owned one of the games but had great possession numbers in the December 17th game (64.29% FF, 80.04% xGF, 60% SCF, 66.67% HDCF). Ekholm got absolutely ripped apart vs Colorado in playoffs last year as to be expected when your team gets swept 4-0. Comfortably in the red for pretty much everything from Corsi to Fenwick to xGF/A to SCF/A to HDCF/A. He did get destroyed less than the non-Josi guys though if that gives you any solace haha. Most defensemen who ran into the Colorado machine ended up smelling like shit in the analytics department. I do have some copium to sell to you though. There were only 4 defenseman who had passable metrics vs Colorado in the playoffs: Justin Faulk, Victor Hedman, Mikhail Sergachev, and a mystery player I'll name later.

There was one and only one defenseman in the entire playoffs who was in the green against Colorado in every possession metric and did well in terms of microstats (cue the BaRRiE BeST OiLeRs DMaN cringers): Evan Bouchard.

Ekholm's role if we run into Colorado will not be about Ekholm. That ship has sailed. We've seen that story over and over and it doesn't end well for Ekholm. His contribution will be how much he maximizes the value of our best anti-Colorado weapon.

There is a workaround here that can help isolate players to a degree. If you use Natural Stats Tricks Line tool you can get match-ups for three year periods free. The kicker is that you need two players on at least one team so I choose Ekholm and Afanasayev who never played together vs McKinnon. The results are pretty significantly in Ekholms favor but as always the devil is in the details. You can refine this more to look at Ekholm with various guys.

 
There is a workaround here that can help isolate players to a degree. If you use Natural Stats Tricks Line tool you can get match-ups for three year periods free. The kicker is that you need two players on at least one team so I choose Ekholm and Afanasayev who never played together vs McKinnon. The results are pretty significantly in Ekholms favor but as always the devil is in the details. You can refine this more to look at Ekholm with various guys.

Thanks. Did not know you could do this. I'll probs be spamming this feature a lot in the future lol.
 
What 3 pieces do we need? Anything goes in the playoffs. Should we just add Ryan O Reilly, maroon and binnington? Or how about Josi, Saros, Duchene?

#1 Goaltender
Top 6 RW
Top 4 RHD

Ideally we would upgrade on Campbell, Yamamoto and Ceci if they cant return to form. Hopefully these guys can bounce back but if we dont have a deep run it's likely because of one or all of those three IMO.
 
#1 Goaltender
Top 6 RW
Top 4 RHD

Ideally we would upgrade on Campbell, Yamamoto and Ceci if they cant return to form. Hopefully these guys can bounce back but if we dont have a deep run it's likely because of one or all of those three IMO.

I agree on RHD, I don't agree on RW or 1G.

Not that we couldn't upgrade on both, it's just the Oilers are the third-highest-scoring team since 2000-2001 (and they will probably wind up #2 before the end of the year) largely without Evander Kane. Yamamoto's 3M is useful, but I'd spend it on D. Promote Holloway or Lavoie, or even play a guy like Kostin in that role for 1M, to maximize your cap. As long as Drai gets linemates, McDavid will be fine with one of Hyman or Kane.

As for G, they're just notoriously inconsistent. There's a fantasy where they acquire Soros and ditch Campbell, but then watch Soros put up a .908 behind an extreme polar team like the Oilers and Campbell put up a .915 in some low-pressure market. You can't waste assets here IMO, even to shed Campbell.

Shed some salary in Ceci and Yamamoto and swing for a big one in Karlsson or Parayko IMO. Teams will have interest in Yamamoto at 1YR 3M, and Ceci will have 2x3.25M left. I have to think St Louis or San Jose won't look off that contract to make the money work if the return is right.
 
Actually, in a weird way, Ekholm's addition made Desharnais worse because he's now playing Barrie's spot on the 3rd pairing and has struggled with the elevated assignment.

Has Desharnais struggled that much?

PK continues to be better than it was before he was called up. Desharnais wasn't perfect against Ottawa. He looked bad on the final Ottawa goal, but he was a big factor in Ryan's goal.

As a 3RD PK specialist Desharnais has been decent since Ekholm came to the team. The elevation in playing time hasn't hurt his results all that much. But he is fair value for a bottom pairing guy.
 
  • Like
Reactions: OilynutEsquire
Has Desharnais struggled that much?

PK continues to be better than it was before he was called up. Desharnais wasn't perfect against Ottawa. He looked bad on the final Ottawa goal, but he was a big factor in Ryan's goal.

As a 3RD PK specialist Desharnais has been decent since Ekholm came to the team. The elevation in playing time hasn't hurt his results all that much. But he is fair value for a bottom pairing guy.

I don't think Vinny has been bad, but there have been moments of struggling, and with him in the 6-man rotation, they don't have as easy a time giving him a shift off here and there.

I'd be fine giving him a game or two off. Let him see the game from above and re-collect himself; plus it lets you see which if Broberg can play his offside and how he's doing after getting a couple weeks off.


Personally I'd give Broberg the Bouchard treatment, and play him with Ekholm to start; keep Bouchard's minutes elevated and play him with Nurse, and drop Ceci to Vinny's role (where he's a big upgrade) with Kulak.
 
Has Desharnais struggled that much?

PK continues to be better than it was before he was called up. Desharnais wasn't perfect against Ottawa. He looked bad on the final Ottawa goal, but he was a big factor in Ryan's goal.

As a 3RD PK specialist Desharnais has been decent since Ekholm came to the team. The elevation in playing time hasn't hurt his results all that much. But he is fair value for a bottom pairing guy.
I think he has. He's had several very notable mishaps with the puck that he didn't have before the Ekholm trade. I think part of that is due to the tougher schedule and part of it is due to him playing heavier minutes more regularly. He's been a great story but I don't feel comfortable with him as the #6 going into a playoff grind with no other depth behind him but another rookie in Broberg and.... Demers?
 
I don't think Vinny has been bad, but there have been moments of struggling, and with him in the 6-man rotation, they don't have as easy a time giving him a shift off here and there.

I'd be fine giving him a game or two off. Let him see the game from above and re-collect himself; plus it lets you see which if Broberg can play his offside and how he's doing after getting a couple weeks off.


Personally I'd give Broberg the Bouchard treatment, and play him with Ekholm to start; keep Bouchard's minutes elevated and play him with Nurse, and drop Ceci to Vinny's role (where he's a big upgrade) with Kulak.

Why not go for 7D, it gives all forwards more ice time, and less burden on Kulak, VD, Ceci, Broberg, Bouch.

I would like to see
Ekholm Bouchard
Nurse Broberg/VD
Kulak Ceci

Desharnias could be Nurses stay at home guy
 
Why not go for 7D, it gives all forwards more ice time, and less burden on Kulak, VD, Ceci, Broberg, Bouch.

I would like to see
Ekholm Bouchard
Nurse Broberg/VD
Kulak Ceci

Desharnias could be Nurses stay at home guy
Vinny cannot handle top 4 minutes yet
 
  • Like
Reactions: snipes
Why not go for 7D, it gives all forwards more ice time, and less burden on Kulak, VD, Ceci, Broberg, Bouch.

I would like to see
Ekholm Bouchard
Nurse Broberg/VD
Kulak Ceci

Desharnias could be Nurses stay at home guy

Desharnais is drowning in just a regular role as the #6 and you want to elevate him next to Nurse?
 
  • Like
Reactions: McTonyBrar
Desharnais is drowning in just a regular role as the #6 and you want to elevate him next to Nurse?

Vinnie is not drowning as a 6D. He isn't ready for top 4 minutes, but that doesn't mean he is drowning.

If Vinnie were drowning at 6D then Broberg should be in the lineup over Vinnie. Hell if any player is drowning at 6D then they should be a black ace or dropped to the AHL.
 
  • Like
Reactions: OilynutEsquire
Vinnie is not drowning as a 6D. He isn't ready for top 4 minutes, but that doesn't mean he is drowning.

If Vinnie were drowning at 6D then Broberg should be in the lineup over Vinnie. Hell if any player is drowning at 6D then they should be a black ace or dropped to the AHL.

Well I agree with your second line that's for sure. VD had a good run considering his talent level but he's been in the minors for 4 years for a reason.

Since Ekholm arrived, VD is at 3.8 GA/60 ES in exclusively bottom pairing heavily sheltered minutes. Personally responsible for a goal against in like 5 straight now. Granted his partner Kulak has also largely sucked but he has absolutely been drowning.
 
Since Ekholm arrived, VD is at 3.8 GA/60 ES in exclusively bottom pairing heavily sheltered minutes. Personally responsible for a goal against in like 5 straight now. Granted his partner Kulak has also largely sucked but he has absolutely been drowning.

No mention of his contribution to the PK, gotcha.

Vinnie responsible for a goal against in five straight? Which goal was Vinnie responsible for against the Bruins?

I get it's fun to criticize, but that's a real exaggeration of Vinnie's play. Honestly, if he were responsible for a goal against in five straight I think Woody would have pulled him by now.
 
  • Like
Reactions: OilynutEsquire
No mention of his contribution to the PK, gotcha.

Vinnie responsible for a goal against in five straight? Which goal was Vinnie responsible for against the Bruins?

I get it's fun to criticize, but that's a real exaggeration of Vinnie's play. Honestly, if he were responsible for a goal against in five straight I think Woody would have pulled him by now.
Please don't overrate him yet man. He's a good #6-7 Dman right now. He showed he was tired last game and your suggesting elevating him? Lol He just got into the league!
 
  • Like
Reactions: recOILed
Please don't overrate him yet man. He's a good #6-7 Dman right now. He showed he was tired last game and your suggesting elevating him? Lol He just got into the league!

I'm not suggesting elevating Desharnais at all. I never made a comment along those lines.

Vinnie is the 3RD and should stay there. Saying Vinnie hasn't made a mistake in leading to a goal against in each of the last five games is not suggesting he should be elevated.

I have no issue being criticized for stuff I say. We all have different opinions. But I'm not going to defend something I didn't say.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: OilynutEsquire
Barrie has 0 PP points in 8 GP with 11.7 minutes of PP time (may not be accurate, using Hockey Ref power play possession metrics)

Since joining the Oilers Ekholm is doing better than his career/season average in terms of Giveaways vs. takeaways. He starts the breakout a lot more than Barrie ever did and his defensive positioning appears to be miles better. Would have expected the Offensive Defenseman to pass more than a guy touted as a defensive specialist.
 

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad