Management Discussion | Pre-Season Approaching

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Read the post directly above you. Its about the timing of when that will help you. No one thinks Cap isn't important. It is one of the two things killing this team, that and assets. The issue is what will you get currently for either? Until something comes up that WILL help the team, hoard your assets.
Yeah I disagree. For exactly the response pitseleh is stating.

Waiting around until something comes up is not a good plan and something likely doesn’t come up because the Canucks have none of the asset that actually matters - cap flexibility. Other teams know how inflexible the Canucks situation is. Why would they be sought out for a move?

I don’t think a lack of assets is killing them. Just as it wasn’t for Gillis.

What’s killing them is inefficient cap allocation to the wing, and no defensman.


There were ways to create space but people are way too worried about the asset return and the asset outlay when they should be focused on going for it.

I don’t think they’ve been aggressive either.
 
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To me....we are in that weird state we were in between 2005-2008 except the strength is on offense than defense. It was pretty grim until the off-season we signed Demitra and saw Kesler's explosive development into a top 6 C in 2008. @MS keeps suggesting we need to hit a homerun trade for a D. I am personally hoping one of Dermott or Rathbone really rapidly develops into a top 4 guy this season while a guy like Burroughs can sustain his play. Still need to address the D via trade though.

Adding two top 4 dmen and allowing a guy like Myers to slide down into a bottom pairing role (with sheltered minutes) would really change this franchise fortunes in a hurry. Really sucks we don't have a Mitchell or Hamhuis BC boy willing to sign here for cheap. D Toews would have been perfect.
Mitchell wasn’t cheap. Nonis offered him the most money.

Hamhuis on the other hand. Clearly left money on the table to come home.
 
Yeah I disagree. For exactly the response pitseleh is stating.

Waiting around until something comes up is not a good plan and something likely doesn’t come up because the Canucks have none of the asset that actually matters - cap flexibility. Other teams know how inflexible the Canucks situation is. Why would they be sought out for a move?

I don’t think a lack of assets is killing them. Just as it wasn’t for Gillis.

What’s killing them is inefficient cap allocation to the wing, and no defensman.


There were ways to create space but people are way too worried about the asset return and the asset outlay when they should be focused on going for it.

I don’t think they’ve been aggressive either.
Teams can be in discussionswhether they are tight to cap or not. If team x likes what we are offering you dont think they will talk to us because we are tight to cap? Like if alvin says give me a day, that team x says nope.. now? I dont think thats realistic

And trading garland now for two mid picks to wait to be in a discussion for a player that hopefully has an impact equal to or greater to garland.. it is reasonable but it also doesnt make sense to take impact away on the ice to wait for that discussion

There could be numerous thimgs on the table to clear salary right now and the trigger could be pulled if a deal comes up elsewhere.. but why clear salary now only to wait for something that may or may not earrant what it costs to dump that salary

If they have a couple understandings with teams what it would cost to dump a player right now, that can factor into deals elsewhere they are looking for, and comparing cost versus benefit

It can go either way which comes first and you do both at the same time.. i think this is more reasonable as to where they are at
 
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From a big picture POV, Rutherford said two years. Management needs to be judged by that timeline.

People can say this and that about what may or may not have been out there and that they were limited by previous management. None of it would be wrong either.

But, trades happen throughout the year that genuinely surprise. I would have laughed and said no way if you had told me Tampa gets out of jail free with McD, the Rags return a 1st (potentially unprotected) for NL, we get a 3rd for apparent locker room cancer Hamonic, etc.

They need to make numerous trades that get us impact players or that free up capspace that we can add them in FA while also adding significant depth in the pipeline all within the next twelve months.

Previous inaction makes it less likely you accomplish what you stated you would do because your timeline has shrunk yet your workload is still large. I’m also not saying bad action is better than relative inaction.

They chose - somewhat forcibly by player demands, ownership demands, whatever, this path and JR put a short timeline on how long it’ll take to fix. That’s their bar. That’s how they should be assessed.
 
I do not see it with Dermott or Rathbone.

Dermott seems like a useful bottom pairing type who can slot up with injuries while Rathbone isn’t great defensively and won’t get PP1/prime offensive minutes because of Hughes.

Hope and see are two different things. :P
 
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From a big picture POV, Rutherford said two years. Management needs to be judged by that timeline.

People can say this and that about what may or may not have been out there and that they were limited by previous management. None of it would be wrong either.

But, trades happen throughout the year that genuinely surprise. I would have laughed and said no way if you had told me Tampa gets out of jail free with McD, the Rags return a 1st (potentially unprotected) for NL, we get a 3rd for apparent locker room cancer Hamonic, etc.

They need to make numerous trades that get us impact players or that free up capspace that we can add them in FA while also adding significant depth in the pipeline all within the next twelve months.

Previous inaction makes it less likely you accomplish what you stated you would do because your timeline has shrunk yet your workload is still large. I’m also not saying bad action is better than relative inaction.

They chose - somewhat forcibly by player demands, ownership demands, whatever, this path and JR put a short timeline on how long it’ll take to fix. That’s their bar. That’s how they should be assessed.
I would bet pretty much any amount of money on an in-season trade for an established defenceman. It's definitely going to happen unless the team is a total disaster and out of contention by mid-season or Rathbone takes a huge step and is playing 20 minutes a night effectively.
 
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I would bet pretty much any amount of money on an in-season trade for an established defenceman. It's definitely going to happen unless the team is a total disaster and out of contention by mid-season or Rathbone takes a huge step and is playing 20 minutes a night effectively.
Scoring winger for an established RHD is an “I will believe it when I see it” move.
 
I don't understand this criticism. Who's to say the Canucks weren't willing to move salary for a defender?

There hasn't really been anyone available that fits the bill, either via trade or free agency. Or were they just supposed to hoard cap space and not use it?

Hoarding cap is fine If a trade isn’t available. It’s like money, you don’t have to spend it right away. A situation might arise where all 31 or 32 teams want in on it, you have the most resources to get it done while most teams would be too cap strapped to get it done. Like how the canes grabbed patches for free and burns for cheap. Or you can get some 1st round picks for taking on some bad expiring contracts to desperate Vegas, leaf’s, and Canuck like teams.

Flexibility is always good to have. Especially when you are a garbage team like us in a strong draft. Higher the pick the better this year.
 
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Scoring winger for an established RHD is an “I will believe it when I see it” move.
I'm not sure it'll be a scoring winger, unless a truly great deal comes along. More like futures for a #4 or something like that. But Rutherford is absolutely willing to act unconventionally if he sees the upside, so who knows.
 
Yeah I disagree. For exactly the response pitseleh is stating.

Waiting around until something comes up is not a good plan and something likely doesn’t come up because the Canucks have none of the asset that actually matters - cap flexibility. Other teams know how inflexible the Canucks situation is. Why would they be sought out for a move?

I don’t think a lack of assets is killing them. Just as it wasn’t for Gillis.

What’s killing them is inefficient cap allocation to the wing, and no defensman.


There were ways to create space but people are way too worried about the asset return and the asset outlay when they should be focused on going for it.

I don’t think they’ve been aggressive either.

So solve that puzzle... then have an asset to get what you are talking about... then find the asset you need. Oh wait now you still need the Kuze's and mikheyev's.
 
I'm not sure it'll be a scoring winger, unless a truly great deal comes along. More like futures for a #4 or something like that. But Rutherford is absolutely willing to act unconventionally if he sees the upside, so who knows.
We have no futures good enough to be a primary asset in acquiring a U30 top four RD unless you’re willing to move Lekk, our first, etc.

We aren’t one player away to be doing that either.
 
Tell me I'm wrong - The Canucks, with Chychrun added, are a top 10 team in this league........maybe more.

Kuzmenko-Pettersson-Podkolzin
Pearson-Miller-Boeser
Garland-Horvat-Mikheyev
Dickinson-Lazar-Joshua

Chychrun-Hughes
OEL-Myers
Dermott-Schenn

Demko
Martin

Rathbone + Hoglander + Lekkerimaki + 1st + Ferland + Poolman for Chychrun (something along those lines).

I've mentioned this proposal a few times now, but I think it bears worth mentioning. The signing of Miller pretty much guarantees that management wants this window to be over these next 4-5 years. If this is slated to be this management's version of 2008-2013, then why not fully commit to fielding the best team possible rather than "kinda sorta" being all in?

The above team is up there with the top 1/3rd in the league......maybe more.


Marino is overrated imo

Too risky to assume going 5th from your weak division to top 3 in the league without more evidence. We would have to get really lucky and hit a lot of targets for it to work and our resources would be completely decimated from it.

Now‘s not the time to go all in.
 
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I think it's pretty fair for fans to just be annoyed or frustrated about the fact that we are just running back the same team with some sparkly adds. This is a team that has had years to develop and coalesce into a good squad, and we just haven't seen it happen even to the degree that they make the playoffs fair & square, something that half the teams in the league do every year.

Petey having a star year or a few big jumps elsewhere on the roster could be the catalyst to become a surefire playoff team, but after this time it seems to stretch credulity that we as fans should have faith that it IS going to happen.

I agree that we shouldn't be condemning the Rutherford era based on their work so far, but as a progress report I don't think that we can give them too much glowing praise, ever within the confines of the results of the questionable (dogshit) team building strategies that defined the Benning reign of error. Just hoping they prove me wrong as always, but pessimism has been the most successful mindset for Canucks fans for over 50 years, so pencil me in for another pessimistic outlook this year

Yeah, I don't think the current management has done much to deserve praise, but to say that "this is just the same as Benning" is stupefyingly blind. Investing in player development is smart and will pay dividends down the road, and those who dismiss its importance are as short-sighted as Benning was.

The rest, we'll have to see how it unfolds before we can judge, and they've been transparent with a timeline we can judge them by.

So this 2 years thing. Does that mean not this season but next? Considering we’re at 10 months already or is 23/24 building towards that contender status as well? Because if so it looks like a passive approach that is unlikely to yield these results.

Because if the idea is to just bide their time for 2 years….lol

It really seems like you're just arguing for the sake of arguing. No one, literally NO ONE, has said that we're okay with just biding our time. How you get "bide their time" from "take two years to execute the strategy that they've clearly laid out" is intentionally obtuse.

Really. He got my point. They’ve got a 4th rounder as surplus. This is the same type of surplus folks like POM were on about after getting 6ths for Nik Jensen.

Yes it’s a surplus in picks. Is it moving the needle? No. 4th round picks are like what 5% at a 100 game nhl player. It’s not value.


You keep wanting it to not be compared to Benning but it doesn’t feel different to those who aren’t here to cheer.


Mikheyev. Good signing maybe. So was Vrbata.

Dermott seems like a Pouliot move.

3 years to Brock….seems like 3 years to Sven.

Acquires proven grinder in Lazar…see Dorsett.


Early lindenning was all about serving two masters. That’s what a lot of folks are seeing now. It’s obviously a retool on the fly. Exactly what the last regime was tasked with.

Your feelings don't change reality, though. Just because you WANT to "feel different" isn't a management strategy the team should follow. You listed some things that you think are similar, but then you conveniently pretend that Benning did the Eriksson, Beagle, Roussel, Ferland, Gudbranson, Poolman, Dickinson, OEL, etc, moves, which was where the damage was done.

Rutherford / Alvin have done NONE of this yet you keep pushing this narrative that there's been no change in management so that we can agree to use your artificially short timeframe to evaluate their leadership.


While I understand this sentiment, the issue is the mismatch between management's plan and their actions: their plan that doesn't really give them time, but they haven't shown any urgency in response to their approach. They decided they were better off pressing forward rather than taking a step back to re-tool, which is fine, but then prioritized holding onto futures that are not going to help them in the window they have chosen and in doing so are effectively punting a season as a bubble playoff team while key players on big contracts continue to get older.

The next few years look like a cycle of bad money coming off the books being offset by raises on value contracts and likely age related decline for expensive players. They can make marginal improvements by reallocating money, but that's more likely to be shuffling deck chairs than making substantive improvements to the team.

One way to get around that would have been to trade picks to dump bad contracts this offseason and try to take advantage of the value contracts still on the books over the next 2-3 seasons, but they decided not to.

The other way to get around that is to bring in undervalued talent that can make an impact in the short-term, but that is going to be near impossible with a barren prospect pipeline and no high picks. And nothing on the pro scouting side so far suggests they have a competitive advantage in identifying undervalued talent - they've paid market rates for everything so far and no one looks like they are going to play above their contract value. I can see a realistic path to a handful of years where they win a division or two and are consistently in the 5-10 range in the league, but its harder to see one where they have a legitimate shot at the cup.

The only way this is a different story is if they trade Horvat and/or Kuzmenko for a haul at the deadline, but they are likely going to be in the race and I find it hard to believe they would.

These are legitimate concerns with their moves, I think it was a fair debate about whether we should just admit that there's too much dead weight from Benning to make use of this core's window, and we should accept the truth and clear the decks with a proper rebuild.

But management made the call that they think they can undo the damage with enough time to make use of this core, and given that there are no guarantees that any rebuild would land us pieces like Demko, Hughes and Petersson and a full rebuild MIGHT lead to them wanting to go elsewhere or be too old to make use of their best when we're ready. Okay, fair enough, they said that two years would be how long it would take to get it done (just looking at legacy contracts you could see two years leading to a lot of change) so I would buy into them planning with how we'll look in two year's time as the plan.

But with that, there are things they've done that put me on edge. Choosing Miller over Horvat given their respective ages I think makes it harder to make this work; I cringed a lot about Mikheyev because we are already deep on wings and his signing obliterated some needed cap space. My only hope is that there is a plan to move on from other wingers to compensate (Garland, for example) but that'll be a gamble that it can be done, but a fair one for them to take, and that they'll be able to either sign Horvat at a favourable rate or make use of Horvat as more valuable trade chip than Miller was.
 
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But with that, there are things they've done that put me on edge. Choosing Miller over Horvat given their respective ages I think makes it harder to make this work; I cringed a lot about Mikheyev because we are already deep on wings and his signing obliterated some needed cap space. My only hope is that there is a plan to move on from other wingers to compensate (Garland, for example) but that'll be a gamble that it can be done, but a fair one for them to take, and that they'll be able to either sign Horvat at a favourable rate or make use of Horvat as more valuable trade chip than Miller was.

I agree with most of your post. It was very good and well thought out. I do disagree with this bit though. I don't think it is fact we chose Miller over Horvat. Only that at this point we decided Miller on his new contract was better than whatever we would receive for him. We can still sign Horvat. If we don't we can than have this conversation. Mikheyev is a player we need, or that style, the price we paid was steep, but he wasn't another scoring winger we have a ton off. He helps what was our biggest problem last year our PK, and defending. If this stops us from being able to get a player I think should help us I may change my mind, I just don't think it has... or will.
 
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So solve that puzzle... then have an asset to get what you are talking about... then find the asset you need. Oh wait now you still need the Kuze's and mikheyev's.
I can’t tell what you’re trying to say here.


Solve the puzzle? If they “need” Mik and Kuz, do they really need Garland?

Say they traded Garland for a 3rd and 4th and still signed those two wingers….

They now have $4.95m to allocate to so where else.


Whether they send a 1st rounder and Hoglander or some combination out to a team with a defensman I don’t know.


We have no futures good enough to be a primary asset in acquiring a U30 top four RD unless you’re willing to move Lekk, our first, etc.

We aren’t one player away to be doing that either.
They weren’t when they did it for JT Miller either, but now they’re commited to this path.

What’s a 1st this year or next doing for you during Demko’s deal anyways….everyone expects a playoff team, so some picks between 16-32? Lek seems like he needs years of development too.

Just waiting for the shoe to drop will leave you with nobody to dance with.

Literally a lot of people here have repeated all summer: “let bad contracts expire, stock prospect pool”. That’s waiting.

If you think I’m purposely arguing for the sake of it just read pitseleh’s posts. I agree with him and he’s smarter than me.
 
getting surprised by the market is something the past regime would’ve done.

Talking about doing something and not being able to get it done…..also similar.

Look I hate Benning. He did major damage but he also did some things that worked out.

The point is in general. It doesn’t feel to different.

The fact people get called stupid for thinking such is annoying.

Like JT Miller is the teams best forward….who acquired him?

Somebody who thought Schmidt was a top 15/20 Dman in the league cant see that trade as positive? There’s a reason why the exaggerations of what Mikheyev is cause me to pause as well.


Look I’m not saying the totality of what they’ve done will have the lasting negative impacts that bennings have but it doesn’t feel different.

But again I’m not hopped up on Bruce there it is, or so downtrodden by Benning that I put the rose view on everything.

I’m also not using Lazar as anything. But while we’re there. How many 3 year deals to sub 10 goal 20 point grinders were made. Shit I missed the real comp all along - Tim Schaller. Overrated Bruin grinder quotient. How’d I miss that?

It feels incredibly different to almost everyone but you.

The Jim Benning regime was a disaster from start to finish and one of the worst management debacles in the history of the NHL. This feels ... conservative and middlish. Nothing about this is remotely similar to Benning unless you have a Ricky Bobby 'if you're not first you're last' mentality.

Obviously this group has made mistakes. There are obviously things to criticize. If you have an overall slightly negative take, I'm not going to argue with that much although mine is overall slightly positive. But when you start equating what's happening now to the Benning regime, you've gone off the deep end. You're an anti-vaxxer comparing Trudeau to Hitler. It's absolute over-the-top nonsense that does nothing but get in the way of actual intelligent discussion.

And at this point you've set this absurd narrative that 'this is the same as Benning' and you're screening reality to fit that rather than using evidence to form conclusions. When you're taking a totally benign cheap signing like Lazar - of the sort that every team from Arizona to Colorado makes - as evidence that this is just like Benning, you're seeing Jesus in the toast, man.
 
Now that Myers is out 2-4 weeks things get really interesting. Again, if you continue to operate with this inefficient lineup, you are going to constantly run into issues with short- to mid-term injuries where you'll be juggling the cap to try to fill spots.

I'm sure they'd like to sign some depth, or pick somebody up off the wire, but they likely can't due to cap constraints. At least until line-ups are finalized on Tuesday.
 
I agree with most of your post. It was very good and well thought out. I do disagree with this bit though. I don't think it is fact we chose Miller over Horvat. Only that at this point we decided Miller on his new contract was better than whatever we would receive for him. We can still sign Horvat. If we don't we can than have this conversation. Mikheyev is a player we need, or that style, the price we paid was steep, but he wasn't another scoring winger we have a ton off. He helps what was our biggest problem last year our PK, and defending. If this stops us from being able to get a player I think should help us I may change my mind, I just don't think it has... or will.

All agreed. In Miller's case rationally I was against signing him but emotionally I was happy it got done because I think his drive and energy are needed. I think trading Garland and maybe even Boeser if it ever becomes necessary could always fix the cap and I'd value Miller and Horvat over those wingers (Miller could be moved back to wing which would re-balance the line-up, I'm just assuming that Horvat is our best bet to get a higher-end RHD. But anything is possible and I wouldn't pull my hair out if they keep both.

Mikheyev definitely brings a needed aspect to the team, I think my hesitance was that if he's going to be a third-liner, even elite third-liner, that's a lot to pay when we have more pressing needs. But if he plays as a legitimate top six then he's good value, or if we can address our cap by moving other wingers then suddenly it'll fit.

So I'm more or less happy and admittedly I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt that they see the same structural issues we all do, have a plan to fix it, and are patiently waiting for the right opportunity to strike as opposed to doing something rash for the sake of doing something.

Literally a lot of people here have repeated all summer: “let bad contracts expire, stock prospect pool”. That’s waiting.

But no one is saying that's the ONLY thing management should do, so ignoring everything else they're doing and then saying that they're not doing anything is just offside.
 
I can’t tell what you’re trying to say here.


Solve the puzzle? If they “need” Mik and Kuz, do they really need Garland?

Say they traded Garland for a 3rd and 4th and still signed those two wingers….

They now have $4.95m to allocate to so where else.


Whether they send a 1st rounder and Hoglander or some combination out to a team with a defensman I don’t know.

It looks like right now we do need the depth with injuries.

So who is this defensemen that was available?

As I have said in other threads, its actually our defense that is the big drag on our cap. We are one of the highest price defenses in the league.
 
At least we've gone a few pages without a photo of Jim Benning.
QOG6CWJQ6RB5NLOCOFTAE5YP5Y
 
i don't think it's unfair to compare this management group to the prior group. the prior group's biggest failing was a lack of planning. this led to constant suboptimal moves to bandage over self inflicted wounds

it's too early to really tell with the current group but the cap crunch this group has created both in the present and the future with their extending of boeser/miller and their signing of mikheyev doesn't bode well. right now june/july 2023 looks like it's going to be disasterous for this group
 
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All agreed. In Miller's case rationally I was against signing him but emotionally I was happy it got done because I think his drive and energy are needed. I think trading Garland and maybe even Boeser if it ever becomes necessary could always fix the cap and I'd value Miller and Horvat over those wingers (Miller could be moved back to wing which would re-balance the line-up, I'm just assuming that Horvat is our best bet to get a higher-end RHD. But anything is possible and I wouldn't pull my hair out if they keep both.

Mikheyev definitely brings a needed aspect to the team, I think my hesitance was that if he's going to be a third-liner, even elite third-liner, that's a lot to pay when we have more pressing needs. But if he plays as a legitimate top six then he's good value, or if we can address our cap by moving other wingers then suddenly it'll fit.

So I'm more or less happy and admittedly I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt that they see the same structural issues we all do, have a plan to fix it, and are patiently waiting for the right opportunity to strike as opposed to doing something rash for the sake of doing something.



But no one is saying that's the ONLY thing management should do, so ignoring everything else they're doing and then saying that they're not doing anything is just offside.
oh come on.

I’m not ignoring it, I’m not placing significant value on it.

Folks like yourself are patting their backs for hiring assistant GM’s.

Or acquiring picks for rentals.

Mikheyev looks expensive for what he brings after a double his career shooting %
Season. They locked up Brock with term and have the same blueline they did last season after complaining about it.

They’re not doing enough. They’re serving two masters.
 
It looks like right now we do need the depth with injuries.

So who is this defensemen that was available?

As I have said in other threads, its actually our defense that is the big drag on our cap. We are one of the highest price defenses in the league.
You’re completely missing the point if you’re looking for me to name a specific player.

But fine, before the draft - Mackenzie Weeger
 
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