OT: Lets talk about stocks (Part 3)

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They had an expert on after the Bell on Friday, he said what is happening shouldn't be happening. He said something wrong with the system but he didn't know what it is. Looked right frustrated.

Economy is strong and we still getting pounded. Jobs everywhere housing prices sky high earnings are there???

Sometimes I think the Chinese or Elon Musk are messing with our markets. Why the Twitter thingy?

HD crushed estimates on Tuesdays. Off the charts good earnings, stock has dropped from $300 to $287 since. It's Pejorative Slured!!

The market doesn't like uncertainty. No one knows what Putin is doing or going to do. If he invades Poland it's WWIII, will China get involved if this keeps going on?

Then add inflation is too high, rents are out of control, gas is just going to go higher most likely (I should have bought more oil but glad I have a few and got them at very good prices at least) the whole supply chain issues as who knows how long that will go on.

Housing has to cool off, it's way too hot but you don't want a repeat of '08 (unless you are short the market). If you start seeing layoffs in the coming months then I would expect a recession next year.
 
The market doesn't like uncertainty. No one knows what Putin is doing or going to do. If he invades Poland it's WWIII, will China get involved if this keeps going on?

Then add inflation is too high, rents are out of control, gas is just going to go higher most likely (I should have bought more oil but glad I have a few and got them at very good prices at least) the whole supply chain issues as who knows how long that will go on.

Housing has to cool off, it's way too hot but you don't want a repeat of '08 (unless you are short the market). If you start seeing layoffs in the coming months then I would expect a recession next year.
Things were already going to be f***ed up. Putin has thrown gas in the fire. It’s going to be bumpy for a while I think.
 
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Things were already going to be f***ed up. Putin has thrown gas in the fire. It’s going to be bumpy for a while I think.

maybe, I find it's hard to say where the market is headed since there are various factors that can change that direction rather quickly. I tend not to put too much stock into short term moves, just invest in good companies if you want to play it safe. I love my bio-tech though, can't wait till that's a lead sector again, though if rates keep going up that will be an issue for the small ones who need to borrow a lot of money for years to come.
 
Things were already going to be f***ed up. Putin has thrown gas in the fire. It’s going to be bumpy for a while I think.
This was popping with or without Putin. No doubt about it. The worse is yet to come. Some or a few I’d say are underwater. I believe a few will blow up.
 
I've just been buying some stocks every paycheque (NVDA, APPL, STEM, SNOW) and hoping couple years down the line the constant little by little investments work.

Fingers crossed.
 
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They had an expert on after the Bell on Friday, he said what is happening shouldn't be happening. He said something wrong with the system but he didn't know what it is. Looked right frustrated.

Economy is strong and we still getting pounded. Jobs everywhere housing prices sky high earnings are there???

Sometimes I think the Chinese or Elon Musk are messing with our markets. Why the Twitter thingy?

HD crushed estimates on Tuesdays. Off the charts good earnings, stock has dropped from $300 to $287 since. It's Pejorative Slured!!
By other metrics the economy is not strong...

Consider that fear, uncertainty and the cycling between those two things and "irrational exuberance" is what governs the price of stocks...supply and demand...and demand...just like your destiny is fluid...

Whatever is said about the economy or stocks, never waste an opportunity to advance your position. There is an abundance of opportunities right now for investors like you and me.
 
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The market doesn't like uncertainty. No one knows what Putin is doing or going to do. If he invades Poland it's WWIII, will China get involved if this keeps going on?

Then add inflation is too high, rents are out of control, gas is just going to go higher most likely (I should have bought more oil but glad I have a few and got them at very good prices at least) the whole supply chain issues as who knows how long that will go on.

Housing has to cool off, it's way too hot but you don't want a repeat of '08 (unless you are short the market). If you start seeing layoffs in the coming months then I would expect a recession next year.
Watching CNN this morning Biden really getting ripped. His ratings is at all time low. From baby formula shortages, to the stock market to housing for the poor. Some of it is not his fault, probably not. But that many Americans complaining I can't see all them being wrong.
 
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The market doesn't like uncertainty. No one knows what Putin is doing or going to do. If he invades Poland it's WWIII, will China get involved if this keeps going on?

Then add inflation is too high, rents are out of control, gas is just going to go higher most likely (I should have bought more oil but glad I have a few and got them at very good prices at least) the whole supply chain issues as who knows how long that will go on.

Housing has to cool off, it's way too hot but you don't want a repeat of '08 (unless you are short the market). If you start seeing layoffs in the coming months then I would expect a recession next year.

I work for a big tech and the CEO said that layoffs are out of question (for now)

The structure is still solid, but we were affected by China lockdown and the war.

Will see in 6 months how it goes.
 
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This was popping with or without Putin. No doubt about it. The worse is yet to come. Some or a few I’d say are underwater. I believe a few will blow up.
I think it was going to pop as well. But Putin's stupidity made this worse than it needed to be.
 
I think it was going to pop as well. But Putin's stupidity made this worse than it needed to be.
I think the impact Putin has had is marginal at best. If anything, it may have accelerated the timeline a bit. It’s 2008 on steroids. Trillions and trillions of dollars in derivative exposures. It’s going to get ugly. What could possibly go wrong when your side bets outweigh the value of the assets you are betting on? Bunch of degenerate gamblers treating this like a casino. The more things change the more they stay the same.
 
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I've just been buying some stocks every paycheque (NVDA, APPL, STEM, SNOW) and hoping couple years down the line the constant little by little investments work.

Fingers crossed.

You don't need to cross your fingers, you'll be fine.

 
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I think the impact Putin has had is marginal at best. If anything, it may have accelerated the timeline a bit. It’s 2008 on steroids. Trillions and trillions of dollars in derivative exposures. It’s going to get ugly. What could possibly go wrong when your side bets outweigh the value of the assets you are betting on? Bunch of degenerate gamblers treating this like a casino. The more things change the more they stay the same.
It’s not marginal at all. Inflation was already a problem and now we’ve got the oil issue to contend with. That’s not a small thing. It has a direct impact on rates which is a prime reason for things going sideways.
 
These bounce backs on Monday and today the DOW rallied late are a good sign. There is more money on the sidelines than ever before. Once a bargain is available there is confidence to snap them up

The Fed's slashed interest rates to near zero and printed money like crazy during dark days of covid. Then Trumps stimulus package. Every investor knew the economy needed to be slowed down. During the first two months of 2022 they factored it in. Expecting rate increases. The S&P fell from a high of $4,800 around Christmas time to $4,100 in early March.

Then confidence return and bargains available the S&P rebound to near $4,600 late March. With the onset of war and rising gas prices another spike in inflation was expected. Now S&P has fell again to $3,900.
 
It’s not marginal at all. Inflation was already a problem and now we’ve got the oil issue to contend with. That’s not a small thing. It has a direct impact on rates which is a prime reason for things going sideways.
The money printer going brrr is why we are in this mess. Rates are a direct necessity to that. Can’t stay at zero and print forever. This literally had almost zero to do with Putin.
 
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I think we will see a mini bounce back. S&P go up 10% or so. Might hit 4,300. A lot of money sitting on the sidelines. Then fall again, doubt gas prices have hit their high. War will drag on thru summer, maybe into fall. Feds going to have to tighten more than expect. Another Dip coming, mid to late summer. Likely go under 3800,
 
The money printer going brrr is why we are in this mess. Rates are a direct necessity to that. Can’t stay at zero and print forever. This literally had almost zero to do with Putin.
Again I think it was going to happen anyway. But Putin has taken a bad situation and made it far worse than it would’ve been.

I think we might’ve been able to have a soft landing but Putin took that away.
 
NVIDIA taking a beating. They met estimates but projects soft second Must be lost of Russian market. That's a large market. Cell phones, video gamers.

Long term I am still in. With AI coming, self driving cars, metaverses, this good time to add cheap for long term. This company known to make big bounces in past
 
'Cause you get a 20% discount vs when you sold? It might not get lower than that. Of course, if this is all your life savings and you're done with the markets, that's a totally other point, but that's not what I gather.
I don’t see the point in catching a falling knife. Stocks are still falling significantly.
 
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