GDT: Leafs @ Jets - 8PM - TSN

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Our line up feels so much different minus Marner. Jets are one of my top 5 most hated teams. Leafs due for a stinker. Don’t feel good about this one.
 
Happen with Sandin on Marner a few weeks ago. They definitely check during practice. It is a bit suspicious that no video was released on the incident and nobody claims to have seen it. I'm thinking that Muzzin got carried away and the team is just putting a blanket over it to prevent fan backlash.
They didnt even bring Muzzin on the pre and post game interviews. If that isnt news, I dont know what is. Hope the incident doesnt poison the locker room. We already saw Matthew's ripping into the other half of that pair (holl) a few weeks ago for an offside. Maybe there is already some friction

A little bit of friction can be healthy. A great deal of friction is a death knell.

These are men playing a kids sport for serious money. If anyone is "me first" they would hold no place on my team.

Incidents happen, players don't have to be best friends, They need to battle together though and have each others backs regardless of any personality differences.
 
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Jets fans always have this one sided rivalry with us while Leafs fans don't give a shit about them.
 
I used to be big on this rivalry cause Matthews vs. Laine but now that one guy is a dominant player and the other is a lazy middling player on another team, it isn't really a thing anymore. Remember "Laineux", the comps to Mario? Lmao.
 
If Woll can't go I might actually consider going with Campbell again. Hutchinson is pretty damn close to being a non-option, he's been horrid in the AHL as well this year.

Also there is no way Justin Holl should play this game after last night, but we shall see. Keefe will probably switch Liljegren in for Dermott.


So much hate for Holl. Was Muzzin any better? I thought he was brutal the entire game. His very first puck touch was him sending it into our own slot directly on the stick of a Wild player for an A+ chance. Muzz concerns me more and more as each game goes by. In fact, how does anyone know Holl is the problem in that pairing?
 
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Been hearing a weird attack on the Leafs lately, even from more mainstream sources....that they haven't played anyone good very often and so their record is inflated.

Then I looked and saw that 16 out of the 25 team they have played have, nevermind points %, more wins than losses even if you include OT/SO losses.

Even looking at points%, the Leafs have played 4 games against the 5 teams above them (going 2-0-2)

If someone tries to use that new line of attack on them, let em know they are full of it.
 
Been hearing a weird attack on the Leafs lately, even from more mainstream sources....that they haven't played anyone good very often and so their record is inflated.

Then I looked and saw that 16 out of the 25 team they have played have, nevermind points %, more wins than losses even if you include OT/SO losses.

Even looking at points%, the Leafs have played 4 games against the 5 teams above them (going 2-0-2)

If someone tries to use that new line of attack on them, let em know they are full of it.

The best part about a 32 team league is that it makes life for us nerds much easier. We can split the league into even quarters now of 8 teams each.

Competition by pts%:

Vs Top-8: 5gms, 2-1-2, 6pts, 98pt pace
Vs 2nd-8: 6gms, 6-0-0, 12pts, 164pt pace
Vs 3rd-8: 8gms, 4-4-0, 8pts, 82pt pace
Vs Bot-8: 6gms, 5-1-0, 10pts, 137pt pace

So technically we have played the fewest against the top quarter, except not really, because we can only play 7 teams in the top quarter because we can't play ourselves.

And of course the only quarter that we've messed up against is the 3rd quarter - with annoying losses to PIT (x2), LA, and SJ.

Of note, the 5gms against the top 8 include 4gms against the top-4, the best of the best, and the Leafs are 2-0-2 in those 4gms.
 
The best part about a 32 team league is that it makes life for us nerds much easier. We can split the league into even quarters now of 8 teams each.

Competition by pts%:

Vs Top-8: 5gms, 2-1-2, 6pts, 98pt pace
Vs 2nd-8: 6gms, 6-0-0, 12pts, 164pt pace
Vs 3rd-8: 8gms, 4-4-0, 8pts, 82pt pace
Vs Bot-8: 6gms, 5-1-0, 10pts, 137pt pace

So technically we have played the fewest against the top quarter, except not really, because we can only play 7 teams in the top quarter because we can't play ourselves.

And of course the only quarter that we've messed up against is the 3rd quarter - with annoying losses to PIT (x2), LA, and SJ.

Of note, the 5gms against the top 8 include 4gms against the top-4, the best of the best, and the Leafs are 2-0-2 in those 4gms.

If we don't think standings tell the whole story, we can do it by xGF%. xGF% says that a team like PIT is actually a top-8 team and LA and SJ are top half teams, for example.

xGF%

Vs Top-8: 6gms, 3-3-0, 6pts, 82pt pace
Vs 2nd-8: 8gms, 4-2-2, 10pts, 103pt pace
Vs 3rd-8: 4gms, 4-0-0, 8pts, 164pt pace
Vs Bot-8: 7gms, 6-1-0, 12pts, 141pt pace

Looking at the underlying performances, our schedule has actually been more tough than easy, and the struggles against teams like PIT, LA, SJ make more sense - and the performance against each quartile makes more sense too.
 
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If we don't think standings tell the whole story, we can do it by xGF%. xGF% says that a team like PIT is actually a top-8 team and LA and SJ are top half teams, for example.

xGF%

Vs Top-8: 6gms, 3-3-0, 6pts, 82pt pace
Vs 2nd-8: 8gms, 4-2-2, 10pts, 103pt pace
Vs 3rd-8: 4gms, 4-0-0, 8pts, 164pt pace
Vs Bot-8: 7gms, 6-1-0, 12pts, 141pt pace

Looking at the underlying performances, our schedule has actually been more tough than easy, and the struggles against teams like PIT, LA, SJ make more sense - and the performance against each quartile makes more sense too.
Some of us non nerd prodigies can do this shit in our heads
 
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