LD Albert Johansson (2019, 60th, DET)

[RedHawkDown]

Im going to go against some of the other wings fans here. The 2nd round drafting those years was plain bad.
In the same time frame:
Anaheim: LaCombe, Zellweger, Colangelo
Boston: Lohrei
Buffalo: Peterka
Carolina: Kotchetkov, Nikishin
Chicago: Colton Dach, Vlasic
Dallas: Stankoven

And this is jsut me going through a few teams alphabetically. Most teams had one or two 2nd rounders those years at most, we had among the most in the whole league with 3 in multiple years and there’s very little to show for it.

 

[Pavels Dog]

Im going to go against some of the other wings fans here. The 2nd round drafting those years was plain bad.
In the same time frame:
Anaheim: LaCombe, Zellweger, Colangelo
Boston: Lohrei
Buffalo: Peterka
Carolina: Kotchetkov, Nikishin
Chicago: Colton Dach, Vlasic
Dallas: Stankoven

And this is jsut me going through a few teams alphabetically. Most teams had one or two 2nd rounders those years at most, we had among the most in the whole league with 3 in multiple years and there’s very little to show for it.

Wallinder is nearly 2 years younger than Lohrei, just as a reference. It takes time for defense to develop which almost feels redundant to say when we're seeing the result of that development time with Johansson right now.

Also I personally don't understand the obsession with the 2nd round. Maybe Colangelo and his 2 NHL points was a better pick than Wallinder. Maybe. Lacombe and Zellweger also look like good picks. Does it matter when they drafted Zegras and Drysdale? Mactavish is also not really looking special, yet. No team has a 100% success rate in every round of every draft.

 

[RedHawkDown]

Wallinder is nearly 2 years younger than Lohrei, just as a reference. It takes time for defense to develop which almost feels redundant to say when we're seeing the result of that development time with Johansson right now.

Also I personally don't understand the obsession with the 2nd round. Maybe Colangelo and his 2 NHL points was a better pick than Wallinder. Maybe. Anaheim also drafted Zegras and Drysdale in the top 10 those years who are both looking incredibly disappointing. Give me good 1st round drafting over good 2nd round drafting all day, every day, twice on sunday and anyday.

I agree with you, as I said earlier in the thread. Yzerman has absolutely knocked 1st round drafting out of the park, so our drafting has been quite good overall with that in mind. But with better 2nd round drafting we’d be at that next level. Hopefully that next group of Buch, Augustine, Plante etc can turn it around.

 

[Pavels Dog]

2/7 I think is a reasonable assumption of players that become NHLers full time - certainly not a great ratio for how many swings the Wings made during that time frame.

Statistically, only about 25% of 2nd round picks go on to play 300+ NHL games.

 

[RedHawkDown]

Statistically, only about 25% of 2nd round picks go on to play 300+ NHL games.

Right, but if you have 7 picks over 3 years and none hit, that’s a 0.75^7 chance of having 0 picks play 300+ games. Thats a 13% chance.

Johansson looks to be on the right track though.

 

[theVladiator]

Im going to go against some of the other wings fans here. The 2nd round drafting those years was plain bad.
In the same time frame:
Anaheim: LaCombe, Zellweger, Colangelo
Boston: Lohrei
Buffalo: Peterka
Carolina: Kotchetkov, Nikishin
Chicago: Colton Dach, Vlasic
Dallas: Stankoven

And this is jsut me going through a few teams alphabetically. Most teams had one or two 2nd rounders those years at most, we had among the most in the whole league with 3 in multiple years and there’s very little to show for it.

You should look at all of the draft picks, rather than go by team. You will see that you likely have listed almost all impact guys already (although I would not have included Dach/Colangelo). The Wings have missed on those, sure. I think most here accept that it could have been better. At the same time, it almost always could, even for the best.

To me the more relevant question is whether DRW 2nd round draft picks over those years come out below average, about average, or above. Indeed, I am not excluding the last choice either. This is a 2nd AHL year for Wallinder and Tuomisto; 1st AHL year for Buium. Johansson spent 2 years in the AHL, and for now has grabbed a top4 role, and is doing well. As this moment's snapshot, the results arebelow average (1/7). But the results are still coming in. Johansson could still regress and fail, and 0/7 would be a clear disaster. If one of Buium/Wallinder/Tuomisto joins Johansson we would have 2/7 which would be average. I do not think you can exclude 3/7 or even 4/7 at this point either, which would be above average. The point is, it's not looking good today, but it's also a bit early to make final conclusions today.