Not so sure about that.
Erik Johnson traded midway through his 3rd season
Yakupov was traded after his 4th season
Berard was traded during his 3rd season
Murphy was traded before his 100th game with Detroit
Wickenheiser was traded during his 4th season
So it seems to happen 1-2 times a decade. It wouldn't shock me at all if Lafreniere was moved some time in the next 15 months.
So let’s talk about the Erik Johnson trade because that’s kind of an interesting one. He was dealt, with Jay McClement, for Kevin Shattenkirk and Chris Stewart. This was the year after Johnson’s knee exploded. McClement was a nice player but was basically a throw in.
Shattenkirk was a first round pick at the same position as Johnson, taken in the draft after, with a different play style and Steward was a power winger with upside.
So we have Lafrenière here being Johnson, and if we are looking at the Johnson trade, which you brought up, who are some other wings that went in the following draft? Funny enough the best mid first round winger that draft was probably Othmann, but some of the other names would be guys like Boucher (OTT), Coronato (CGY), Rosen (BUF), Lysell , (BOS), Samoskevich (FLA), L’herveau (NSH), and Olausson (COL). If the Rangers would be looking for a ‘Shattenkirk equivalent’ those are the players that fit the criteria; but unlike a lot of those guys, Shatterkirk has played NHL games before he was traded. And again I’m not saying these are players that would or wouldn’t be traded, we are just looking at a winger drafted in the first round the year after Lafreniere.
Chris Stewart was drafted same year/same round as Johnson. Like Shattenkirk another mid first rounder. And I am not going to go through like every name again like I did with the last paragraph but if we are looking at a team that wants Lafreniere and we are using the Johnson trade as a comp you are looking at something like this, (yes pick swap was involved and yes there was a vet throwin)
- Ceulemens and Chinakov from CBJ
- Boucher and Greig from OTT (this one probably makes the most sense to the Rangers)
- Coronato and Zary from CGY
Those are the strictly criteria based trades that would fulfill the Erik Johnson scenario. Just some food for thought. These aren’t perfect but based on precedent. Dallas could theoretically fulfill this with W. Johnson and Bourque but that isn’t happening. NJ could put something together but that isn’t happening; although if Lafreniere was dealt for Mercer that would be very eerily similar to though (but again wouldn’t happen); Chicago could potentially do Reichel and Allen but that’s less. Sorry if I missed anything else but I think that’s enough from me