Gibson is a marginal upgrade over Hopkins? You can't be serious. If you get Allard too, it's frankly a big upgrade at 2 positions. That's two Team Canada World Junior caliber players.
When a team trades an ‘08, the ‘08 is usually 4th line. The player isn contributing at a high level. When you trade a kid like Hopkins, you need to ALSO replace that player’s production. You are not replacing any production with an ‘08. So, yes, it is a marginal upgrade. We can debate how wide the marginality is but it is still marginal.
You can equate the ‘08 to a draft pick. Neither are producing at a level that is not easily replaced. The five ‘08s that may be available (Vaughn, Challenger, O’Donnell, Blonda, and Smith) have a combined 27 points with O’dDonnell leading the charge with 9. Hopkins has 26.
No matter what Kingston brings in, they need to FIRST replace Hopkins 26 point before they can rep the benefit of the additions. That makes it a MARGINAL upgrade. Using last year’s stats because it is a full seaosn on a quality roster for Allard and this years stats for Hopkins, they are EQUAL production players offensively. So, the two square each other off. Allard has higher level attributes (non-scoring) than Hopkins so that obviously makes Allard far more valuable for a playoff run but again, when it comes down to offence in and offence out, the difference between Hopkins and Allard is Marginal.
Since Kingston needs to measure the offence out vs the offence in, it is less likely they find a deal that makes sense using Hopkins. One of the reasons for this is opposition teams will look at Hopkins or any of the ‘08s I listed as equal. Some may think that having Hopkins is better because he is a more known quantity and others may prefer the younger player so they have the extra year but asset to asset, they are relatively equal BUT not to the team trading the player. It is why we are starting to see a lot more 1st rounders traded because they don’t have the same “current” impact.
Of course, player to player (‘08 or ‘07) are not equal. I am referring to age and ceiling. Receiving an ‘08 vs ‘07 from a calculated ceiling perspective makes them equal. That does not mean Parker Vaughn , Luca Blonda, and Tyler Hopkins are equal value. You still need to factor in ceiling which makes the players differing in overall value.