Seravalli: Josh Norris

Wpgpage

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Nov 25, 2010
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Why are the Jets doing that?
Move a player that the org has clearly identified as a winger for a center. Once Cole's current deal is up if he continues on his current trajectory of being a mid 50 point player you are probably talking about a cap hit in the 6-7 mil range on his next deal so the contact is at least somewhat similar form 25/26 onwards. Technically the same amount of team control 5 years.

I can't say I would be super in favor of such a deal but as a hypothetical I think it's relatively balanced.
 

frightenedinmatenum2

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Sep 30, 2023
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He is getting traded back to the Sharks tonight, and he will have to switch teams in the arena. They will get a tight shot before the game of Brady leaning on his stick, staring off as Norris walks down the hall, a single tear streams down his face as his new teammate Cody Ceci places a hand on his back to console him - which Brady annoyed nudges off.
 
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Huffer

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Jul 16, 2010
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Move a player that the org has clearly identified as a winger for a center. Once Cole's current deal is up if he continues on his current trajectory of being a mid 50 point player you are probably talking about a cap hit in the 6-7 mil range on his next deal so the contact is at least somewhat similar form 25/26 onwards. Technically the same amount of team control 5 years.

I can't say I would be super in favor of such a deal but as a hypothetical I think it's relatively balanced.
Perfetti is younger, putting up similar points, and his next contract will still likely be less than (or at least close to) Norris's. Perfetti also has 1 year left at 3.25, and then they likely try and go long term. So there will be more control with Perfetti as well. And he has no current shoulder issues that will likely follow him for his career.
The only plus in Norris's side is playing centre. And the Jets have Lambert and Yager (and possibly Lucius if he can stay healthy), as possible upcoming centres.

I wouldn't be against them looking into Norris, but it would have to be cheap and possibly with some retention for it to make sense for them to take on all that risk. At that point the Sens likely just keep the player and keep hoping he stays healthy.
 
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Wpgpage

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Nov 25, 2010
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I agree a trade is unlikely given his current value, worth way more to the Sens as a player. If he has a clean year plays close to 82 games and put up 50-60 his entire value proposition changes.
 
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GhostofYotesFan47

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Jun 16, 2012
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I wonder if a Schmaltz - Norris 1:1 swap could benefit each team? I think Norris is the more productive player at the moment and is younger but certainly has the injury concerns and a lengthier contract.

I think they would both just insert at each others respective positions on the other's team. 2C for 2C.
I think Ottawa would be disappointed if they want Schmaltz as the 2c. He's fine as a fill in, but not as a primary center. He's a RW, and a good one, albeit streaky at times. He's worth what 2rw are worth.

Norris is about the same player, with a different skill set which makes him a much better center, which increases his value. Now he has a longer contact left and injury concerns, that hurts his value and may make a 1:1 viable, but a healthy Norris is far more valuable.
 

KevinRedkey

12/18/23 and beyond!
Jan 22, 2010
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I mnetioned Farabee earlier, and a Flyers fan liked it.

Anyone else want to chime in with their thoughts on that?
 

SnS

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Jan 27, 2009
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I mnetioned Farabee earlier, and a Flyers fan liked it.

Anyone else want to chime in with their thoughts on that?

I don’t think a straight across deal covers the risk with Norris.

I’ve also given up on Farabee. I am convinced he’s never gonna score again. So I’m not sure why the Senators would do that trade. But I’m also not sure why the Flyers would do the trade because of Norris’ shoulder.
 
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Figgy44

A toast of purple gato for the memories
Dec 15, 2014
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Would love him on the Flames.. I feel he fits our timeline, but unless it's Huby or Kadri going back (with retention?) I don't see how it could happen.

It seems like a Kadri for Norris basis of discussion is worth investigating based on a Sens fan earlier. But I don't know if that means enough Sens fans think it's worth discussing.

Kadri might do it because he'd be closer to home (Toronto).
Calgary IIRC is looking to add a middle 6 C though, so not sure how moving Kadri will affect those plans. (Centre backbone of Backlund, Norris, Zary? Another deal for another middle 6 C?)

I also assume Ottawa wants reasonable value or they'll take the risk on Norris. They aren't necessarily paying to get out of his contract. Kadri offers value now, but also has the same contract value concerns as Norris. But Kadri's concerns are more value vs contract in later years, not all or nothing like Norris is. Ottawa might prefer someone who has more NHL GP/ year to year average than ceiling upside vs Calgary might be happier with younger player + higher ceiling upside with potentially lower GP. Swapping these risks might work for both teams.

It might be doable.


As a Flames fan, I'd kinda hope for a little bit of insurance that we can get a minimum amount of games from Norris... Something like if Norris plays less than X amount of games for the first 2-3 years Sens owe any 2nd or 3rd in those seasons he doesn't play enough games (Sens can trade for the pick to fulfil the conditions if needed).

Conditions something like, if Norris plays more than 40 regular season games, no picks transfer. If less than 40 regular season games played 3rd. If less than 20 regular season games played pick upgrades from a 3rd to 2nd.

To ensure Flames get a pick, if somehow Sens don't have a pick they want to transfer to fulfil conditions, pick can be deferred a year and bumped up a round if somehow they can't get a pick in that season to fulfil the conditions (Sens unlikely to exercise this option). Just a back up clause in case of something weird like Sens don't have a pick or want to retain the pick for an offer sheet.

The intention of the "any pick" is also so that picks don't get locked up in insane conditions like the Monahan trade conditions. As a Flames fan, I don't wish such crazy conditions that lock up picks on any other team.
 

KevinRedkey

12/18/23 and beyond!
Jan 22, 2010
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I don’t think a straight across deal covers the risk with Norris.

I’ve also given up on Farabee. I am convinced he’s never gonna score again. So I’m not sure why the Senators would do that trade. But I’m also not sure why the Flyers would do the trade because of Norris’ shoulder.

What would be the ask in terms of 'futures' if it was Farabee and Frost for Norris?
 
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biturbo19

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Jul 13, 2010
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I wonder if a Schmaltz - Norris 1:1 swap could benefit each team? I think Norris is the more productive player at the moment and is younger but certainly has the injury concerns and a lengthier contract.

I think they would both just insert at each others respective positions on the other's team. 2C for 2C.

If they offered that to Ottawa, the Sens should probably jump on it tbh. Schmaltz is so much cheaper on the cap, even if the actual dollars are backloaded. However...plugging him in at 2C is probably not realistic. I haven't really seen Schmaltz playing Center consistently over a long period of time in a bunch of years now. I'd consider him more or less strictly a Winger at this point...who can sub in as an "emergency Center". But i wouldn't want to pencil him in as an expected 2C. Basically the same deal as Giroux, who is also more or less a full-time Winger at this point...even if he can still take some draws and has played Center in the past.

Which is part of what makes this situation even more complicated for Ottawa. The teams that might be willing and able to take on the risk of that Norris contract...probably aren't going to have all that much in the way of Centers to ship back the other way. So the Sens will have to basically lean on the hope that Pinto can take the reins there, or find another Top-6C themselves, somewhere else.
 

biturbo19

Registered User
Jul 13, 2010
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It seems like a Kadri for Norris basis of discussion is worth investigating based on a Sens fan earlier. But I don't know if that means enough Sens fans think it's worth discussing.

Kadri might do it because he'd be closer to home (Toronto).
Calgary IIRC is looking to add a middle 6 C though, so not sure how moving Kadri will affect those plans. (Centre backbone of Backlund, Norris, Zary? Another deal for another middle 6 C?)

I also assume Ottawa wants reasonable value or they'll take the risk on Norris. They aren't necessarily paying to get out of his contract. Kadri offers value now, but also has the same contract value concerns as Norris. But Kadri's concerns are more value vs contract in later years, not all or nothing like Norris is. Ottawa might prefer someone who has more NHL GP/ year to year average than ceiling upside vs Calgary might be happier with younger player + higher ceiling upside with potentially lower GP. Swapping these risks might work for both teams.

It might be doable.


As a Flames fan, I'd kinda hope for a little bit of insurance that we can get a minimum amount of games from Norris... Something like if Norris plays less than X amount of games for the first 2-3 years Sens owe any 2nd or 3rd in those seasons he doesn't play enough games (Sens can trade for the pick to fulfil the conditions if needed).

Conditions something like, if Norris plays more than 40 regular season games, no picks transfer. If less than 40 regular season games played 3rd. If less than 20 regular season games played pick upgrades from a 3rd to 2nd.

To ensure Flames get a pick, if somehow Sens don't have a pick they want to transfer to fulfil conditions, pick can be deferred a year and bumped up a round if somehow they can't get a pick in that season to fulfil the conditions (Sens unlikely to exercise this option). Just a back up clause in case of something weird like Sens don't have a pick or want to retain the pick for an offer sheet.

The intention of the "any pick" is also so that picks don't get locked up in insane conditions like the Monahan trade conditions. As a Flames fan, I don't wish such crazy conditions that lock up picks on any other team.

I think the problem with all these sort of "conditions" on a Norris trade, is...well, obviously they make things a little complicated for starters. But the other big issue is, if the Sens are dealing Norris away...it'd be primarily to free themselves of all the uncertainty and "risk" of his contract. Whereas, these sort of conditions would keep them tethered to at least some of the risk involved. Especially if we're talking about conditions spanning multiple years into the future. It kind of defeats a lot of the purpose of dealing him in the first place.
 

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