ChesterNimitz
governed by the principle of calculated risk
- Jul 4, 2002
- 5,829
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I agree. There is no certainty in the development curve of any, except the most exceptional, young player, At the U18s, Guhle looked like a much better prospect that Schneider. Yet, one year later, at the WJC, Schneider looked to be the far more dynamic player. Similarly, Suzuki, looked slow and tenative when he played at the WJC. And now, he is one of the young stars in the NHL. It is truly an inexact science, that is part appreciation and part luck.Mailloux has a good toolbox of size and potential skill but it's too early to project. He needs to put it all together from age 18+. The Guhle you watched play at the WJC was at age 18. Harley and Schneider would have looked like that too if they actually made the team at age 18 but they didn't. What you seen from Guhle was a limited role to some degree cause they leaned on the 19 year olds more
Both players could stall in development moving forward but as it stands now, Guhle development resume and high end ceiling is better than Mailloux. Doesn't mean you will be wrong, it's just where it stands today. Things can from year to year and it usually does.
Aside from what I saw of Mailloux's on ice potential, I was struck by his demeanor and intelligence during the few interviews that are on the internet. I was a trial lawyer for thirty years and represented a number of youthful offenders and, for the past 9 years, I have managed a large amateur sport body and was required to deal with scores of troubled youth. Mailloux displays a level of articulation and native intelligence that far exceeds most of the youths that I have and continue to deal with. Will that allow him to modulate his behaviour in the future? Who knows? He's young and made a mistake which confirms that athletic prowess is no guarantee of common sense and good judgement. But our jails are filled with adults who show a disturbing lack of judgement. I hope for Mailloux's sake that he can alter his conduct and grow to be a good person. If he can, then Bergevin may well have hit a home run.
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