Prospect Info: Jets Prospects

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Is this for real?

18 year old, 6'6", Centreman on pace for 100pts in the OHL. Picked by Wpg in 6th round?


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This just came to my attention so Im probably late to the celly, but my god this sounds promising.
 
Kieron Walton's having a monster season. He's got a little Tage Thompson in him.
I asked Elon's AI how it would expect Walton to do if he was magically dropped in Tage's D+1 situation next year. Disclaimer: not scientific, just for fun!


With Walton’s updated 1.51 PPG in the OHL, his 2025-26 NCAA production in Thompson’s UConn setup would likely be 37-39 points (16-17 goals, 21-22 assists) in 34 games, or 1.09-1.15 PPG. This is a notch below the earlier 40-42 estimate (17-18 goals, 23-24 assists), reflecting his cooled 1.51 vs. 1.77 pace. He’d still top Thompson’s 32 points (19 goals, 13 assists), driven by better playmaking (21-22 assists vs. 13), though goals dip closer to Thompson’s 19 as the NCAA limits chances. Variables like linemate quality or a hot streak could nudge him to 40, but 38 feels like the sweet spot—strong, not spectacular, fitting his revised trajectory.

Some background on Thompson as he progressed.

D+5 (2020-21, NHL):
At 23, fully in Buffalo, he played 38 games amid a COVID-shortened season, tallying 14 points (4 goals, 10 assists, 0.37 PPG). Ice time crept up (13:40 ATOI), and assists outpaced goals, hinting at a broader game. Still, no dramatic shift—just steady NHL footing.

D+6 (2021-22, NHL):
Here’s the turning point. At 24, Thompson exploded for 68 points (38 goals, 30 assists) in 78 games (0.87 PPG). Shifted to center, bulked to 220 pounds, and given top-six minutes (17:24 ATOI), he unleashed his shot and size. His 38 goals tied for 10th in the NHL—a true breakout, five years post-D+1. But it built on prior hints: AHL growth, NHL reps, and Buffalo’s patience.

D+7 (2022-23, NHL):
The ascent continued—47 goals, 47 assists, 94 points in 82 games (1.15 PPG) at 25. Now a star, he cemented his trajectory, but this flowed from 2021-22’s foundation.
Jump or Slow Build?
No single post-D+1 season screams “significant jump” until D+6 (2021-22). His NCAA-to-AHL transition (D+2) was modest (0.97 to 0.60 PPG), early NHL years (D+3, D+4) were rocky (0.18-0.38 PPG), and even his AHL peak (0.85 PPG) wasn’t a rocket launch.

The data shows gradual climbs:
NCAA: 0.94 to 0.97 PPG.
AHL: 0.60 to 0.85 PPG.
NHL: 0.18 to 0.37 to 0.87 PPG.
The 2021-22 leap (0.37 to 0.87 PPG, +34 goals) altered his trajectory, but it wasn’t sudden—it rested on years of slow skill accretion, physical maturation, and opportunity (trade, position switch, ice time). St. Louis saw a project; Buffalo unlocked it.
 
Another two assists for Yager tonight

Lethbridge played 11 games in the first 21 days of February.

They scored 36 actual goals as a team in those 11 games (not counting the “goal” awarded for winning a shootout last time out), an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Yager has 23 points in those 11 games (8 G, 15 A), an average of 2.1 PPG. Since the month started with a shutout loss, he’s actually put up those 23 points in the last 10 games, for 2.3 PPG.

Yager’s registered a point in 63.9% of the team’s actual goals this month. He’s now 4th in scoring for Lethbridge, despite playing less than half of the team’s games this year.
 

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