I think this is a very good post. Also looks like it inspired a very healthy conversation about a typically controversial topic, so kudos on the post and kudos to those involved.
I strongly agree that the coaching staff has access to more information than us. The belief that anyone who just looks at numbers and watches games can come up with clear cut, easy improvements is almost always misguided imo. Generally speaking I think that is your mission to talk back against, and I do respect that haha (not to put words in your mouth!)
That being said, _did_ the coaches see anything in particular that made it right to keep them together while they were not getting the results we might have wanted out of a top line? If this turns out to be a hot streak and they fall off for the second half of this year, do we still reward the coaches for seeing something and sticking with it? What we are seeing now isn’t really proof that they were correct, for just as many reasons as what we were seeing before wasn’t proof it couldn’t work.
Moral of the story is that we just don’t have enough information, as fans, to make conclusive decisions either way. Dumb, considering we are on a message board where the entire point is prognosticating over what teams should and are doing, but like, go crazy. But go crazy with a healthy dose of realism knowing you really don’t know the actual answer. Basically ever. Don’t attack other posters, don’t attack the players.
I dunno, I’m on way too much of a high horse here, but I do find the atmosphere on hfboards to be pretty rough at times and wish everyone could just take a healthy step back sometimes.
Well said
Whenever someone makes a decision that I don't agree with, the first thing I always ask myself is "do they know something I don't know?". Looking at the same circumstances with less or different information can make my opinion wrong, even though it seems right based on what I know
With regards to CSV, it was clear to everyone that on ice results were better with ESV than CSV. Clearly, both Bonea and Arniel had all the same info we had, plus it's safe to say that they had more insight that we weren't privy to
So either they were wrong, or the info they had that we didn't have made them right... but since we don't know what it was, people just assumed it was the former
What I found curious is that both of them were outright asked about it by the press (Murat and maybe someone else). BOTH coaches sort of danced around the answer in such a way that it seems obvious to me that they knew something but weren't willing to share it for whatever reason
This all goes back to the Dunning Kruger thing where people think they know best because they know a little. I've been training jiu jitsu for a long time and back when I was starting to get good at it, my coach would show us a technique and I'd say "it seems like it would be better if you did it this way"... to which he'd always respond "you'd never do it that way because if you did, your opponent could easily do X or Y or Z"
The irony is now that I'm far beyond that point, when I see a technique and think that I'd do it differently, I immediately say "I'd think it would be better to do it this way, but I'm sure that there's a really good reason not to,... I just don't know enough to know what it is"
Knowing enough to know that you don't know much is a very comfortable and happy place to get to on a topic. The top experts in topics are the ones that say "we don't know" and "were not sure" and "I used to think x but then I changed my mind when I found out y" the most often