Those who thought Danault was worth $4.5M or under were just completely wrong. The obsession with offense and complete disregard to an elite defensive center is nonsense. I hope Evans is up for the challenge but we will miss Danault. Every single team looking to make the playoffs needs a player like Danault. Evans can probably put up offensive numbers similar to Danault but he's not elite on the D end. He's good but his game has to evolve a lot to do what Danault does in the 200' game and how he can shut down other teams top centers.
I fear this season will be entertaining but being mid pack in both offense and defense has me concerned. That's no man's land. Does anybody think we can be a top 5-10 range offensive team this year? A very small chance but possible. We will see
a few things...
who was the C on the Bolts "like Danault" last two years? Cirelli... Gourde... maybe one slots Johnson in there?
Blues? Bozak...
Caps? Eller...
last 4 cup winners had more productive and/or cheaper (than the long-term 5.5M extension Danault needed to re-up) players in their 3C role.
So yeah, certainly agree that every team wants to have a C like Danault going into the playoffs. His value on-ice is certainly clear.
The question, though, isn't one of simple value, it's value relative to cap hit and relative to roster construction.
For the habs, with the roster/cap situation that MB has built, there was no way to justify adding a talented but limited C like Danault @ more than 4-4.5M... it just wouldn't have made sense. Danault is better than any of those players listed defensively, i'd agree... and i'd even agree that his production at least with the Bolts would've been higher given their overall team offensive talent.
At 3M, he was an absolute steal this year.
At 5.5M? a very expensive commodity that, for a team already flirting with the cap ceiling (minus the Weber/Byron LTIR revelations), wouldn't make sense given the other holes in the roster.
That MB hasn't addressed any of our major roster holes (top-6 C & top-3 PMD), while yet again fielding a cap spent roster, speaks to his poor roster building approach... but that's a separate issue.
The decision not to pay the market premium for Danault, given the situation, was a good one imo. Which doesn't preclude the reality that, as is, our C group has likely taken a bit of a step back unless JKO takes huge strides and, like Suzuki did last year, vaults into a quality top-6C impact level. Evans, Perreault or Paquette surprising and playing at high- quality 3C level could also buffer the loss, but would still require JKO to be giving us solid 2C minutes.
cap-wise... MB is putting his money on Gallagher, Drouin, Hoffman, Anderson, Toffoli, Armia to deliver and really to lead the forward group... 30M$ for 6 wingers is a big investment, especially without at least 1 clear cut all-star/top-tier in the group... Bolts spend the same amount on their top-6 wingers, which includes (Kuch/Stamkos)... Avs spend 26M$ (Mackinnon, Landeskog)... Knights... Panthers... Caps... go down the list of teams with top fwd groups, and we match or outspend most of them, yet they all have 1-2 elite guys + 2-3 guys just as good as any of our top wingers.
That's why there was no chance it made sense for us to pay Danault what he got.