If you want to play a run and gun style or you need a player to try to erase a 2 goal deficit in the 3rd, McDavid's your guy. If you want to have the best chance of your team not being down 2 goals in the 3rd, you take Crosby because he is just as productive as McDavid but is more versatile
You could well be right, but this analysis falls short in the SCF last year. 97 was 2 goals against all series, so the Oilers being down 2 or three in the third was on the Goaltending and losing the depth battle. McDavid couldn’t have played better defensively, so we can put away the ‘he could’ve been more versatile defensively’ for this series atleast. We don’t know how the first few games go with a healthy Draisaitl, just like Malkin was fully healthy in 2009. Maybe he carries his own line, who knows.
Crosby was more proven to be able to produce regardless of the quality of his linemates
It depends what’s the definition of production. His 0.8 in 2016 was a good number overall, but not compared to his standard. Yes he shut down loaded lines and full credit to that, but strictly speaking for on-ice prefomance, 0.8 for 1C is subpar production. He provided far greater intrinsic value by playing with plugs, so I’m not criticizing it. Here’s the problem for me, I don’t know how much of HBK’s success is on Crosby making sacrifices, and how much is on each member of that line overplaying their ability and usual stat line massively. It’s a combination of both. Everyone would use that formula if it garanteed a Kessel type player to play that great without a star center on his side, but there is no guarantee.
It’s not a matter of McDavid can’t produce with plugs for me, it’s taking that risk betting on McDavid’s usual wingers to produce like HBK did on the third line.
Their team GA was by far the worst for a conference finalist in the past 30 years.
A big reason for this was Oil starting a 40 year old Mike Smith, who had let in some absolute head scratchers, especially in that Calgary series. If you look at the goals conceded, it’s fair to say the majority of the goals conceded were a result of bad goaltending and/or individual mistakes, atleast in the Calgary series. Some were a result of a run and gun playstyle, just not the majority.
Just look at some of the goals conceded here. The 135 foot slapper is just a cherry on top.
Link all Calgary goals