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How Many Points Would Gretzky Have In Today's Game?

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He as he was, is not built for today's hockey.

Yeah....not everyone can be built like Mitch Marner.

Reality is, Gretzky was never the most physical, fastest, biggest guy ever. He out thought everyone. He passed like no one before. This weak kid knows for his passing scored the most goals ever in a season.

They changed the 4vs 4 rule in large part due to Gretzky.

He would adapt. He would control pace of play. He would dominate.
 
Yeah....not everyone can be built like Mitch Marner.

Reality is, Gretzky was never the most physical, fastest, biggest guy ever. He out thought everyone. He passed like no one before. This weak kid knows for his passing scored the most goals ever in a season.

They changed the 4vs 4 rule in large part due to Gretzky.

He would adapt. He would control pace of play. He would dominate.
And Gretzky actually was pretty fast.
 
Even if Gretzky were playing around 25 minutes a game, guys like Crosby would need to play 100 or so games to even match the total ice time played.

At his best, Gretzky would score a point roughly every 9.5 minutes of ice-time. Gretzky was playing at least 410 minutes more than Crosby, so that's a rough deduction of 43 points. Let's say that 215 point season is like a 170-175 point season in terms of normal TOI.

Now factor in the tougher matchups (not playing tons of ice-time against the worst pairings), better goalies, better defenses, better competition, and Gretzky would never be able to score absurdly high numbers.

The best players today would definitely be scoring over 120 points if they played as much as Gretzky, Lemieux, Jagr, etc. were playing.

If everything were adjusted correctly, I think you would find that Gretzky, Crosby, Lemieux, etc. would be very close at the top of the best scoring seasons ever.

Where did you come up with that "score a point roughly every 9.5 minutes"? How do you know its not 8.5? That would translate better to what ice time he like had, instead of this ridiculous notion he played 30 minutes or higher per game.

I already proved with the math that in order for his teammate to put up the numbers they did, there is no way he plays even 28 minutes per game. High TOI in todays game is 21.5 go 22 minutes of TOI. Of course there is more depending on if there is OT or not or how many special teams had to be used during that time.

This is simple man. What ever Gretzky played, Kurri also played. You minus their minutes played from 180 minutes per game of possible forward ice time. The other players on his team must have minutes.

At a 26 minute module, that equals approximately, 52 minutes of that possible 180 minutes of forward minutes. That leaves 128 minutes left for guys like Messier, Mactavish, McClellan, Tikanen ( and he played a ton), Anderson, Hunter, Summonen. Those players put up big points and they used ice time. That only gives those players approx 18 minutes of ice time. Did Anderson put up 54 goals in 18 minutes of ice time? NO he did not. That leaves zero minutes for the other 3 players like the goons and Lumley etc.

The math doesn't even add up on 26 minutes. And, then to suggest he did it nightly during his career is absurd.

It could be done at 22 minutes but you have to remember, Kurri always always played with Gretzky.

A person, given the time needed to could figure out near exactly what he played by averaging what the other players ice time must have been in order to put up the points they did and subtract it from Kurri and Gretzky's ice time.

You have to remember, there is max 180 minutes of forward ice time in a game and that has to go out to players on all lines. Messier, Anderson, Summonen, Mactavish and McClelland had significant ice time and you can pretty much figure out what MacT and McC had as 3rd and 4th line centres. It would be comparable to todays NHL. If you say they had more, then Kurri/Gretzky had less.

The 4 centres were Gretzky, Messier, Mactavish and McClelland. I would wager that Messier got better than 2nd line centre minutes. MacT and McClelland got average 3rd and 4th line minutes.

When you do the math, its clear that there is no way Gretzky/Kurri played more than 22 to 24 minutes per game.

Take the 4th line and minus it from the 180 forward minutes. its likely about 9 minutes per player per game. Thats 27 minutes. Minus 3rd line minutes from the 180 and that is about 15 minutes (likely a bit more) from the 180 minutes and that is 45 minutes. So 3rd and 4th line minutes are about 72 minutes from the 180, which is about 102 minutes left for the second line and 1st line. The second line likely got between 16 and 18 minutes but I would argue that Anderson and Messier and Summonen got more. Probably close to 19. That comes to 57 minutes from the 102 left. That leaves 45 minutes for Kurri/Gretzky and a goon.

Well guess what, its even worse now because a goon was on Gretzky's wing most of his career.

Its no longer just Kurri and Gretzky, Its Kurri, Gretzky and Semenko or McSorley.

What ever you give gretzky for minutes, you have to give Kurri and a goon the same minutes. There were never a goon receive more ice time than a goon riding shotgun with Gretzky.
 
Yeah....not everyone can be built like Mitch Marner.

Reality is, Gretzky was never the most physical, fastest, biggest guy ever. He out thought everyone. He passed like no one before. This weak kid knows for his passing scored the most goals ever in a season.

They changed the 4vs 4 rule in large part due to Gretzky.

He would adapt. He would control pace of play. He would dominate.

Fully agree. good post
 
To me, it's really simple.

Yzerman has the highest non-Gretzky/Mario season ever. And Gretzky's best was 60 points more than Yzerman....that's almost a PPG better then everyone else...excluding Mario of course.

Yet today's biggest star Crosby was beaten in scoring races by H.Sedin, Ovi, Thorton, Jagr, Healty, Alfredsson, Malkin, Benn, Kane, and McDavid .....WHILE HEALTHY.

Gretzky never would have lost them.

Crosby's first 12 seasons....8 healthy....2 Art Ross wins
Gretzky's first 12 seasons...11 healthy...1 2nd place, 1 tie for 1st, 9 Art Ross wins

And in no way is this an attempt to bash Sid. It's just how good Gretzky was. The fact that Gretzky played 12 season...and only Mariox2 manages to beat him in points, and no one else does....is amazing.
 
http://www.sciencewitness.com/the-wayne-gretzky-analysis/

"So, being a complete geek, I grabbed two game tapes of Gretzky and recorded his TOI. Did Wayne have some special energy saving technique or freaky physiological mutation? Well, the game tape should help answer those questions. The games were game 5 from the 1984 Stanley cup finals between Edmonton and New York and game 7 of the western conference finals between Los Angeles and Toronto."

"Wayne Gretzky Kings-Leafs Conf. Finals Game 7, 1993 23:54
Wayne Gretzky Oilers-Islanders Stanley Cup Game 5, 1984 23:00"

I know it's only 2 games, but they were also some important games not just a meaningless regular season game.
 
Here is a way for some of you guys to figure out Gretzky's approximate TOI. Just fill in what you think each player would have on that line. There are some basic rules like each line should have approximately the same ice time as each other. Also, Semenko was not on the PP and Gretzky played about 1:40 seconds of PP time so you can give Semenko 5 minutes less than Kurri. Also, there are 180 forward minutes available in a game for forwards. But there was an average of 3 power plays per game. So the actual minutes available for forwards was 174 minutes. That doesn't count fighting major where there would be even less minutes available. But for arguments sake, lets base this on 174 minutes available.

Here are the lines and total goals and points for each player on each line on the 1985/86 roster. Just put in a number of TOI you think beside each player.

1st line

LW Semenko 6/12/18---------------------TOI-
C Gretzky 52/163/215--------------------TOI-
RW Kurri 68/63/131----------------------TOI-

2nd line

LW Summanen 19/18/37-----------------TOI-
C Messier 35/49/84-----------------------TOI-
RW Anderson 54/48/102-----------------TOI-

3rd Line

LW Hunter 15/22/37----------------------TOI-
C Mactavish 23/24/27--------------------TOI-
RW Napier 24/32/56----------------------TOI-

4th line

LW Krushelniski 16/24/40---------------TOI-
C McClelland 11/25/36------------------TOI-
RW Lumley 11/9/20---------------------TOI-

Side note. Tikanen would often take Hunters spot in the 3rd line but we will stick with Hunter.

It will become very apparent to many of you what Gretzky actually got for ice time. As I stated before, it was very similar to what the current stars get, maybe 30 seconds to a minute more.

It will also become aware of how good Gretzky was, playing with one winger in Kurri and one goon who could barely skate That is a handicap that you have to apply to any of the current stars today. How would any of the stars do handicapped like that with only having one good winger to play with? Cement head, aka cement hands could not play hockey but he sure could fight.
 
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To me, it's really simple.

Yzerman has the highest non-Gretzky/Mario season ever. And Gretzky's best was 60 points more than Yzerman....that's almost a PPG better then everyone else...excluding Mario of course.

Yet today's biggest star Crosby was beaten in scoring races by H.Sedin, Ovi, Thorton, Jagr, Healty, Alfredsson, Malkin, Benn, Kane, and McDavid .....WHILE HEALTHY.

Gretzky never would have lost them.

Crosby's first 12 seasons....8 healthy....2 Art Ross wins
Gretzky's first 12 seasons...11 healthy...1 2nd place, 1 tie for 1st, 9 Art Ross wins

And in no way is this an attempt to bash Sid. It's just how good Gretzky was. The fact that Gretzky played 12 season...and only Mariox2 manages to beat him in points, and no one else does....is amazing.

Yup and all with playing with a goon on his line.
 
http://www.sciencewitness.com/the-wayne-gretzky-analysis/

"So, being a complete geek, I grabbed two game tapes of Gretzky and recorded his TOI. Did Wayne have some special energy saving technique or freaky physiological mutation? Well, the game tape should help answer those questions. The games were game 5 from the 1984 Stanley cup finals between Edmonton and New York and game 7 of the western conference finals between Los Angeles and Toronto."

"Wayne Gretzky Kings-Leafs Conf. Finals Game 7, 1993 23:54
Wayne Gretzky Oilers-Islanders Stanley Cup Game 5, 1984 23:00"

I know it's only 2 games, but they were also some important games not just a meaningless regular season game.

Awesome. Proves might point almost to the minute. Thanks for doing that.
 
Awesome. Proves might point almost to the minute. Thanks for doing that.

I did the math on Gretzky playing 25 minutes a night. I took an educated guess because we know guys like Lemieux, Kariya, Jagr and Sakic were playing close to or more than 25 minutes a night.

Lemieux at 35 was playing 24:20... You know the narrative about "broken down" Lemieux. A "broken" Lemieux could play 24:20 but a super god-like player in Gretzky was playing less? I highly doubt it.

Even so, my point still stands. These guys played a LOT more. Like I said, Crosby would probably have to play around 105 games to match what Gretzky would play in a regular 82-game season. Gretzky in his last season was playing more than Crosby and as much as McDavid played this season.

No forwards on Pittsburgh even played 20 minutes tonight and it was the cup-clinching game. Crosby played 17 minutes and Malkin 15.
 
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well depends, what team is he on, who is he playing with, does he get the advantage of modern training like every player nowadays through his whole life, modern equipment and etc?

if you just transplant 80s gretzky into todays nhl with his old equipment and nothing else maybe 70-80 points. If he gets the benefit of modern training his whole life, modern equipment and etc probably 130-150 depending on the year.
 
The players are significantly faster and stronger than the 1980's.
People back then said he wasn't strong enough.

Current NHL forward

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In most sports that are measured, you can see the difference in the decades. For example, Usain Bolt would crush the runners of the 1980's. He's almost a full second faster than some.
Running isn't based on fundamentals.
In the end hockey is still a team game based on skill, decision making, anticipation...
 
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130-160

As some have said, he would actually benefit from the rule changes, however, goalie equipment and overall better skill, skating and parity would chop a good 40-50 off his best years.
 
I did the math on Gretzky playing 25 minutes a night. I took an educated guess because we know guys like Lemieux, Kariya, Jagr and Sakic were playing close to or more than 25 minutes a night.

Lemieux at 35 was playing 24:20... You know the narrative about "broken down" Lemieux. A "broken" Lemieux could play 24:20 but a super god-like player in Gretzky was playing less? I highly doubt it.

Even so, my point still stands. These guys played a LOT more. Like I said, Crosby would probably have to play around 105 games to match what Gretzky would play in a regular 82-game season. Gretzky in his last season was playing more than Crosby and as much as McDavid played this season.

No forwards on Pittsburgh even played 20 minutes tonight and it was the cup-clinching game. Crosby played 17 minutes and Malkin 15.

Sure, but Gretzky didn't play 25 a night. See my chart and try filling it in for yourself. He might play 22 or 23 minutes, but even then that is rare for a forward to do. Just take the L and be done with it.
 
Sure, but Gretzky didn't play 25 a night. See my chart and try filling it in for yourself. He might play 22 or 23 minutes, but even then that is rare for a forward to do. Just take the L and be done with it.

Unfortunately, your chart doesn't give a good enough answer. Just because players are on the same line, it doesn't mean their time on ice stats will be close. The differences between Bure, Jagr and Kariya and their team's next forward were 8.5, 2.5 and 3.

I really don't think Gretzky was rarely playing 22-23 minutes a game. 22-23 minutes for a forward was definitely not rare, but rather the norm for a superstar player. Bure was playing 27 minutes and Jagr, Mario, Sakic, Kariya were playing 24-26.

I just think it's reasonable to think that Gretzky was playing close to 25 minutes a game because other star players were doing the same. If you disagree with this statement, you at least have to agree that Gretzky was definitely playing more than the average star player today. Back in 1999, over 20 forwards logged more time per game than any forward in 2017..
 
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Here is a way for some of you guys to figure out Gretzky's approximate TOI. Just fill in what you think each player would have on that line. There are some basic rules like each line should have approximately the same ice time as each other. Also, Semenko was not on the PP and Gretzky played about 1:40 seconds of PP time so you can give Semenko 5 minutes less than Kurri. Also, there are 180 forward minutes available in a game for forwards. But there was an average of 3 power plays per game. So the actual minutes available for forwards was 174 minutes. That doesn't count fighting major where there would be even less minutes available. But for arguments sake, lets base this on 174 minutes available.

Here are the lines and total goals and points for each player on each line on the 1985/86 roster. Just put in a number of TOI you think beside each player.

1st line

LW Semenko 6/12/18---------------------TOI-
C Gretzky 52/163/215--------------------TOI-
RW Kurri 68/63/131----------------------TOI-

Gretzky had 106 ES assists. Kurri had 46 ES goals, Semenko 6 ES goals. If Gretzky assisted on every one of those goals (he didn't) that's still only 52. Where did the other 54 ES assists come from? Sure you could pretend that every single one of Coffey's 30 ES goals came with Gretzky and all 5 of Huddy's (they didn't for either). That leaves at least 19 ES goals that I guess Moog and Fuhr scored.

Or we could just realize that Gretzky played with everyone - in part because he played far, far too many minutes for Semenko to match.
 
Gretzky had 106 ES assists. Kurri had 46 ES goals, Semenko 6 ES goals. If Gretzky assisted on every one of those goals (he didn't) that's still only 52. Where did the other 54 ES assists come from? Sure you could pretend that every single one of Coffey's 30 ES goals came with Gretzky and all 5 of Huddy's (they didn't for either). That leaves at least 19 ES goals that I guess Moog and Fuhr scored.

Or we could just realize that Gretzky played with everyone - in part because he played far, far too many minutes for Semenko to match.

Great post.

Makes a lot of sense. Gretzky's plus-minus numbers are also way higher than Kurri's.
 
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