How many points for the Sharks in 2024-2025? Poll/discussion

[coooldude]

HALFWAY+1 MARK REPORT CARD

OVERALL, We're tracking for 62.5 points. Right in the middle of our pre-season poll distribution.

Via Tankathon, we're firmly in position to be bottom 3, are currently strong bot2. CHI may be more likely to out-tank us for #1 chance in the lotto though, with the 4th hardest remaining strength of schedule vs. our 16th hardest (middle of pack). We play them once more on March 13.

Moneypuck has us projected to finish dead last, with 64.3 points** before the NJD win. Chicago is next with a projected 68.8.

This is because Moneypuck's power ranking (which takes into account a number of stats and advanced stats over the last 20 games) has us in dead last, mostly because of a league-worst 41.39% xG% at EV, and a league-worst Fenwick (unblocked shots for %) of 44.43%.

OFFENSE - Moneypuck - we are bad. all 5v5...

• 7th worst GF/60 (2.15)
• 3rd worst xGF/60 (2.15)
• 13th worst SOG for (854)
• 9th worst PP xGF/60 (6.06), with the 4th most SH chances against (5v4 xGA/60 = 0.91), overall 8th worst at xGdiff/60 on 5v4.

DEFENSE - we are bad. all 5v5...

• 3rd worst GA/60 (2.94)
• 2nd worst xGA/60 (2.91)
• Worst SOG against in the league at 5v5 (1043)
• 13th best PK xGA/60 (6.81) with 11th worst shorthanded chances at 0.57 xGF/60... overall, a middle of pack PK for xGdiff/60.

Overall/possession/Corsi/fenwick - v v v bad at 5v5.

• Worst Corsi at 45.02%
• Worst Fenwick at 44.19%
• Worst xGdiff overall at -25.28.
• 2nd worst to Chicago at xGdiff/60 of -0.79

All Situations advanced stats: bad bad bad.

• 2nd worst xG% (ANA)
• 2nd worst Corsi% (CHI)
• 2nd worst Fenwick% (CHI)
• 2nd worst xGdiff (ANA)
• Worst xGdiff/60

My prediction: We stay on pace.

• We'll have some more streaks both ways.
• Askarov will win us 3+ games we should lose.
• Georgiev may lose us 3-5 games we had a chance in.
• We'll lose some critical pieces at the deadline, but that might offset by exciting prospect growth.
• We'll end up 2nd worst to Chicago but an unexpected team wins the lotto, throwing the whole Schaefer-Hagens-Misa-Martone calculus in disarray.

 

[Barrie22]

Why can't these polls be for money and betting reasons. Got last years win total correct and this year pacing for the point total

 

[OrrNumber4]

We know who the Sharks are expected to lose at the deadline. What about the Blackhawks or the other bad teams?

 

[sampler]

I expect the sharks may not trade Ceci if they dont get at least a 2nd for him. I would not be surprised to see him resigned. Same for granny except a 1st. may be same for kunin and sturm.

I was of the thinking that the sharks will clearly unload all at the deadline, but I am not 100% sure if the deal isnt good enough...