How many goals for Ovechkin this season?
- Thread starter BallardEra
- Start date
Breakers
Make Mirrored Visors Legal Again
Looked good in the promotional video for the new screaming eagle jersey
Healthy and fit
Which is surprising as the photos he was captured in from the summer, he was damn morbidly obese
Healthy and fit
Which is surprising as the photos he was captured in from the summer, he was damn morbidly obese
- Apr 27, 2005
- 35,400
- 34,150
After a cold start with a new coach, he finished with 23 goals in his final 36 games last year. That's a 52 goal pace.
If he's healthy I think he's got a really good shot of breaking the record this season. I'd expect a healthy OV to pace for between 35-45 goals.
If he's healthy I think he's got a really good shot of breaking the record this season. I'd expect a healthy OV to pace for between 35-45 goals.
CaptBrannigan
Registered User
31, if he plays 75 or more games. Major or lingering injury could reduce it of course.
Fatass
Registered User
- Apr 17, 2017
- 23,952
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17. Caps are not a good club. OV will need to produce a lot on his own.
Misery74
Registered User
- Nov 20, 2017
- 2,530
- 2,500
37
Caps much improved club. Adding lots of scoring punch this offseason.
Caps much improved club. Adding lots of scoring punch this offseason.
BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
17?
Maybe if he misses a third or more of the season.
Even a guy like Doan hit 28:
Most NHL Goals By 39 Years Old | StatMuse
Gordie Howe has collected the most career goals by a 39-year-old player, with 39 scored.
EdJovanovski
#RempeForCalder
GIN ANTONIC
Registered User
Man... I feel like the Caps actually made a ton of good moves over the offseason. Should be better than last season and I wouldn't be shocked to see Ovi in the 35-40 goal range.
BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
filinski77
Registered User
- Feb 12, 2017
- 2,713
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Maybe he meant McDavid will only score 21 this year
JFedol
Registered User
49 goals this year, eclipses 900
Can't believe he's a mere 33 goals away tho
Can't believe he's a mere 33 goals away tho
BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
Almost halfway there in under 70 shots.
Fantomas
Registered User
- Aug 7, 2012
- 13,662
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Sorry for your loss.
Fred22406Capsfan
Registered User
- Jan 19, 2020
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This hasn't aged well. Ways to go yet but....
Gonna say Eightyyyyy....seven. 87 goals. Why not? Maybe he's only just now heating up.
He's on pace for 52 goals for this season.
Basically comparing the first 17 games from each season he played and just mapping it on. The R² is 0.27.
Basically comparing the first 17 games from each season he played and just mapping it on. The R² is 0.27.
Demandedace
Registered User
- Apr 9, 2015
- 1,446
- 1,887
By regular math he's currently on pace for 63 goals / 111 points with a +/- of +63.
Pavel Buchnevich
"Pavel Buchnevich The Fake"
Hate to break it to people, but he’s gonna regress hard. He’s shooting about double what he did last season.
It is very rare to see anyone put up a season above 20% shooting, even the best shooter of all time.
Most likely he ends up with like 40-45 goals this season.
It is very rare to see anyone put up a season above 20% shooting, even the best shooter of all time.
Most likely he ends up with like 40-45 goals this season.
I am using regular math. I'm just looking at what the first 17 games each season looks like for Ovechkin and what that means for the whole season. It's simple really.
Also to remark, Ovechkin has been extremely consistent his whole career.
torniojaws
Registered User
Yes, in normal circumstances. But Washington is clearly playing in support of breaking the record, which skews the result compared to normal shooting.
Edit:
I don't mean this as a bad thing. It obviously works for Washington.
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yeah you said in the other thread.
you're using garbage data.
what Ovechkin did 20 years is pretty worthless in terms of trying to model his current play.
that would be a pretty minor regression and a phenomenal season -- and more than almost anyone here was predicting.
if that were true, i'd expect his shooting percentage to be lower or at best the same, as they forced the puck to him and he forced shots. You'd also expect the team to be not very good if they were sacrificing sound, smart hockey for the sake of a record.
But that narrative doesn't match the reality of the Caps being 2nd in the NHL in win percentage, let alone work as an explanation for the increase in shooting percentage.
What it looks like to me is Carbery's system is generating lots of extremely high quality chances, and not just for Ovechkin. Connor McMichael, who plays on the second line, is only one goal behind the league leaders with 12 goals.
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And the first 17 games don't matter for the rest of the season. Your data is just as much garbage. You see how we can both play this game?
