HisNoodliness
Safe is death
I think that Yzerman is arguably the best GM in the league. On the whole, I can rationally understand the moves he makes, and see a clear vision that is more or less, effectively executed. However, two failures have really dampened the results thus far.I'll be honest, a lot of guys could have similar results with the same timeline right now. I thought he was really special. Like Baseball's version of Theo Epstein. (He's still good just not like a prodigy.)
Not saying another GM would have drafted Seider, etc, etc, but team itself might be in a similar situation. His magic touch, to me, so far is getting DeBrincat/Kane/Seider.
Everything else done so far seems like any regular GM could have done going through the motions.
Firstly, free agency. Yzerman has gone hard in free agency trying to supplement our young core with some reliable vets. It's been too often that these reliable vets been the anchor, dragging that young core down; too often have they been overpaid, given too much term and trade protection. Edvinsson and Berggren were kept off the team this year because of it. The few instances of "yeah that went okay" in Perron and Compher don't outweigh the, "we'd really be better off, if you would retire:" Copp, Petry, Holl, Maatta, Chiarot crew. Most of us hated most of these signings from day one too. We're always telling ourselves "let's give them a chance. They haven't even played a game yet." By my estimation, Christian Fischer is his only FA signing that's been better than I expected.
Second, drafting after the first round. His first round drafting is looking stellar. Raymond and Seider are big hits. Edvinsson seems very likely to be a hit as well. The jury is still out on Kasper, Danielson, ASP and Cossa, but all of them are performing at least on par with their draft position expectations.
However, he's yet to really hit on anyone after the first. There are definitely players with promise and it's way too early to judge a lot of the players... But we should be seeing a lot more promise in our system considering the number of picks that we have had. Yzerman has done a great job on the trade market. He's gotten us a lot of draft capital and we have used it poorly. I get that every team has their list, you probably don't want to employ a team that just follows the consensus etc. I get it.
We've consistently gone off the board, taking guys in the second that are projected to go thirty picks later, and those players have consistently lived down to expectations. What's our refrain on draft day 2 here? Something along the lines of "Oh man, bla bla blah is still on the board. And we take... Never heard of him. And Dallas takes Bla bla blah with the next pick." It's still too early to really condemn this aspect of the rebuild. A big season from someone like Mazur, Wallinder, Augustine or Lombardi could change this narrative very quickly. I'm starting to worry that we're not getting anyone that plays above the 3rd line/3rd pairing from the second onwards though.
Those are the two aspects of Yzerman's tenure that to me have been hard to defend. He's missed more often than he's hit and there just hasn't been the proper justification for half of these decisions. Besides that, I think he's done a great job. Internal Contract Negotiations: great, trades: flawless, first round drafting: great, reputation: great, personnel decisions: pretty good. If we could somehow replace Kris Draper with Al Murray and give Prashanth Iyer veto powers on any UFA signings, the team would be unstoppable.