My thought on the 3 are that Zucc should have been locked up because his numbers in arbitration can be really high. Say the Rangers push for 3.5, while his agent argues 6. The AAV will be somewhere in the middle. Say Zucc gets 5 because 60 point scoring wingers are getting 5, and the precedent is there.
Say Brassard goes to arbitration and gets to UFA next year while getting a high AAV this year at 4.8. All viable possibilities because the arbiter will split the difference and base the judgement according to precedents set by the current market value, which does not favor the Rangers.
Kreider is the one that doesn't have the leverage because of his numbers not being all that high, but Zucc can cash in and then cash out as a UFA next year, and so can Brassard.
That's the price of waiting with these two.
Agreed,
The leverage on the players side, Brassard and Zucc is they are both only a year away from UFA, since arbitration with those players can only be awarded a one year term, both players if they went through with it would be UFA next off-season.
The leverage on the Rangers side would be larger guaranteed money in longer term contracts. Something an arbitration award can not give out since they can only be one year terms.
So the player has to choose, does he want to go the safer route and take more guaranteed money over a longer term, or does he want to take a one year short term deal, hope for no injury or regression in play and shoot for more overall money next off season, or does he settle somewhere in between?
To me there are certain players the Rangers should be doing this process with, then there are safer players where they could be getting a bargain on cap hit on future years by forgoing some space now.
Not long ago when Stepan was up for contract, and was asking for a longer term I argued that the Rangers should absolutely pay then to reap the benefit of reduced cap hit later. I still believe my stance was correct and I think that will become more apparent next off-season when he is up for contract again.
I made no similar argument for Hagelin as he did not have the body of work to command such a risk. Nor Del Zotto when it was him.
What did the Rangers get out of not making Stepan a long term signing? The chance to sign Halpern, Asham, Pyatt?
To the present, I will not argue that I think Kreider should get a long term UFA year buying up contract, as he does not have the body of work to support it, nor is he slated to become a UFA next off-season. Same for Moore
Normally I would not argue for Zucc either, however he is one year away from UFA, so they have a choice to make there. Brassard similar choice but he does have the overall body of work to predict what he will likely bring going forward.
Now even with that said, what do the Rangers get for not buying up at least some of those UFA years if they choose not to? Where would that extra cap space be allocated? Glass? Whomever else they'd likely sign this or next off-season? Would they use it to buy up some of Stepan's or Hagelin's UFA years, MSL's? or would they just play the same strategy over again?
To sum it up the best I can, the Rangers only currently have McD as their only contract that can and will be considered a bargain going forward on the whole team, how much longer can they go that route and still remain competitive?