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Games tonight affecting Sens

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Sens have 2 tough games with their depleted lineup ahead of the break.

A win is doubtful imo. It will take a steal from Ullmark
If we can get a game to overtime we may scratch one out.

Before the break
These teams could catch the Sens in pts
Lightning play Sens tomorrow, Followed by Wings on the 8th and Habs on the 9th ; 2 pts back
Wings only have 1 game vs the Lightning; 1pt back
Bruins play NYR tonight , Knights on the 8th ; 2pts back
CBJ play Utah tomorrow, Rangers on the 8th; 3 pts back

If the Sens can be healthy coming out of the break .. they will remain in the thick of it and can battle to stay in but 3rd place will be tough to hang on to
 
Sens of Anarchy said:
Sens have 2 tough games with their depleted lineup ahead of the break.

A win is doubtful imo. It will take a steal from Ullmark
If we can get a game to overtime we may scratch one out.

Before the break
These teams could catch the Sens in pts
Lightning play Sens tomorrow, Followed by Wings on the 8th and Habs on the 9th ; 2 pts back
Wings only have 1 game vs the Lightning; 1pt back
Bruins play NYR tonight , Knights on the 8th ; 2pts back
CBJ play Utah tomorrow, Rangers on the 8th; 3 pts back

If the Sens can be healthy coming out of the break .. they will remain in the thick of it and can battle to stay in but 3rd place will be tough to hang on to
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We managed to keep it within one with this depleted lineup on the tail end of a back to back with travel and losing Pinto after less than three mins of play, so while I'd agree the odds aren't in our favour, i do think we had some stretches where we controlled the play and could surprise tomorrow.

Fla will be a tougher challenge though, I'm less confident about that one.
 
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I want the Battle of Ontario to happen this year so badly. How amazing for hockey would that be to revive one of the best rivalries of the past 30 years? It would be a fantastic series.

Pretty exciting that it's looking like the most likely matchup so far. They just got to stick with it and keep winning games.
 
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Erik Alfredsson said:
I want the Battle of Ontario to happen this year so badly. How amazing for hockey would that be to revive one of the best rivalries of the past 30 years? It would be a fantastic series.

Pretty exciting that it's looking like the most likely matchup so far. They just got to stick with it and keep winning games.
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This would be the year to do it. Once the Sens make the playoffs, their big goal for the season is more or less done.

They're supposed to be the loser in any round one matchup. The Leafs are long overdue for any sort of playoff success, have a much more experienced group, and have all the pressure behind them to do something. Losing to them really wouldn't change much. But if we win, then that's really going to break some brains across the country.
 
Sensrule said:
I think the Wings will make it in. Their PP efficiency alone is insane.
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I don't think they will, they don't have the goaltending, and their PP will cool down. And they have toughest strength of schedule remaining.

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Rangers winning helps. Hopefully LA doesn't choke tonight.

Strength of schedule means jack shit imo.... You are your own worst enemy in this league. With Pinto and Norris out. Stutzle can't be producing like a borderline superstar anymore. He needs to be making headlines every night until those guys get back for the sens to stay alive.
 
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Sensrule said:
I think the Wings will make it in. Their PP efficiency alone is insane.
Click to expand...

They've been outplayed in like 4 out of the 7 games they have won in a row, but have gotten bailed out by unreal goaltending (from two guys who are hardly elite) and unsustainable finishing.

Maybe they Hamburglar their way to the playoffs like we did in 2015, but I seriously doubt it.
 
Sensrule said:
I think the Wings will make it in. Their PP efficiency alone is insane.
Click to expand...
So I keep seeing this when people talk about Detroit, so I wanted to look into it their PP% compared to us and the league leader over the season so far:

Detroit: 27.7% for 3rd
Ottawa: 23.6% for 9th
League Leader: Winnipeg at 33.8%
League Average: 21.3%

For what it's worth, the gap between us and Detroit is less than the gap between 1st and 3rd.

So then I looked at the last 10 games Detroit has played, and included our last 10 as well:

Detroit: 18.5% for 21st
Ottawa: 24.3% for 12th
League Leader: Toronto, 43.8%

So then I looked at the last 5 games as well. These aren't date aligned, so positioning isn't comparative, but they reflect each teams standing at the 5 game mark:

Detroit: 27.3%
Ottawa: 30.4%
League Leader: Jets, 46.7%

So then I looked at just the last 3 games:

Detroit: 40% for 6th
Ottawa: 33.3% for 12th
League Leader: Toronto, an impressive 57.1%

Detroit has been at 36.1% since bringing in their new coach (20 gp), so it's a definite improvement, but they're no where near the top of the league.

I do expect them to falter a bit here down the stretch as teams figure out their routes and set plays under the new coaching system.
 
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