Proposal: Free agency edition Trade Rumours/Proposals [MOD - Stay on Topic] 5

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Sounds like a 97M cap next according to Alan Walsh going to 105M two years later.

In that scenario we have 1827M of cap space with Ostapchuk on the roster and Sogaard and MacEwan buried. 14 players, 9 Fs, 4 D and Ullmark.

Gregor, Mantipalo, JBD, Kleven and Leevi are RFA.

Friedman put this in his column today, but it remains to be seen whether this many teams keep spending to the cap as it increases. He didn't name Ottawa, but I could definitely see us being a team that starts spending to an internal max budget, especially with Canadian dollar uncertainties.
 
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Frankly, I'd go full throttle on Peterka.

Conditional 1st+Ellinas and Crookshank

I'd even shake things up and do:

3rd team: Norris/Batherson

Ottawa: Peterka

Buffalo: 1sts+prospects from 3rd team

I can't see us moving a 1st. We owe a 1st to the league this year or next and teams will not take a first protected for two seasons without some major additional assets. That was what Doug Wilson Jr. said was the reason why they didn't protect the San Jose pick in the Karlsson trade.

We're still not locks for the playoffs this year, and we certainly aren't locks next year with how competitive the league is.

If we do trade our 1st, we might as well reverse-protect it to get the most value out of it. Trade a team their choice of our unprotected 1st in either 2025 or 2026. With the condition being that they have to choose before the deadline we have to inform the league which pick we will give them. That's basically what happened with the San Jose pick. If the protection was met (it wasn't), we could have taken the 2019 pick and given Buffalo the 2020 pick. So while it seemed unlikely that San Jose would pick in the top 10, we basically got two shots at them screwing up and handing us a high pick.

So if we moved our 1st now, and we allowed a team to choose which 1st they get since we have to give up one of them to the league regardless, I think it would be very valuable. But it also would be stupid to do that. I mean, maybe you can justify it for Peterka if you view him as a top 10 talent, but we don't get his ELC and we will lose someone else when we pay him.
 
Friedman put this in his column today, but it remains to be seen whether this many teams keep spending to the cap as it increases. He didn't name Ottawa, but I could definitely see us being a team that starts spending to an internal max budget, especially with Canadian dollar uncertainties.
I see us sticking to around $90M next season, maybe $92M at the top end. We have about $79M committed to the roster next year, which would give us about $11M-$13M to plug some holes. Leevi has played himself into a backup position, he should come in at $1M or less. Kleven has solidified his place in the lineup, he should come in at $1M or less. We'll need a bottom pairing RD, we can probably find one for $1.5M or less. We need some 4th line guys, we should be able to get 2-3 guys at league minimums going up to $1M. That should leave us with $5M-$7M to resign Giroux and/or get a quality free agent.

If we look like we're gonna be very competitive next year, we'll have all kinds of cap space to do something big heading into the trade deadline.
 
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I doubt we want to spend 100M+ USD on a roster, but we cannot be competitive without doing that because Dorion and Melnyk backloaded all the long-term contracts to save money, and our roster isn't one that is easily changed due to how many big and long contracts there are. If we want to add to our roster, we have to spend 100M+.

For example, Tkachuk, Chabot, and Norris make a combined 30M against 24M of cap.
 

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