HF Habs: Flames or Panthers 1st Round Pick 2025: Part II

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Calgary is 5 points ahead of a top 10 picks with 1 game in hand.

Let's say the team currently 10 finish the season with 11-12-3 so they'll finish with 80 points.

Calgary would need 21 points to beat that in 27 games. So 10-16-1 which is a P% of .388. Only SJ and Chicago currently have a P% of 388 and lower.
Not sure this tells the whole story.

There are currently 11 teams between Calgary and 5th overall and they are only separated by 8 points.

Calgary has an extremely difficult schedule and it’s more likely than not that a handful of teams between them pass them given their schedule.

I hope you’re right, but I’m planning to have the Panthers pick.
 
Not sure this tells the whole story.

There are currently 11 teams between Calgary and 5th overall and they are only separated by 8 points.

Calgary has an extremely difficult schedule and it’s more likely than not that a handful of teams between them pass them given their schedule.

I hope you’re right, but I’m planning to have the Panthers pick.
5 points lead is honestly bigger than people think at this time of the year. It will require one of the team 5 points behind Calgary to go hot unless Calgary is one of the 2-3 worst teams in the league.
 
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Let's say the Ducks finish the season with 14-11-3 so they'll finish with 85 points.

Calgary would need 26 points to beat that in 27 games. So 12-13-2 which is a P% of .481.


They have a super tough schedule for the rest of the season.
They have about 10 winnable games left and most of them will be at the very end of their schedule. They'll probably already be in the bottom 10 by that time and i don't think they'll be super motivated to win those games at that point.

We can make numbers say pretty much what we want when they're made up.

That's one team though. For Calgary to pick top 10th a great total of 6 teams must pass them so even if Anaheim continue their hot streak which like Montreal they probably wont it would still require 5 other teams to pass Calgary. Those teams are bad they'll lose too. People act like only Calgary has the right to lose games starting from now all other teams will transform into Vegas all of a sudden.
 
We should have traded vets to pittsburgh to help them beat out Florida. It ended up coming down to the last day of the season for Florida to get in...

Pittsburgh's issue was goaltending. Did you see the f***ing game winning goal that Jarry gave up! It was bad, man. He killed the Pens.
 
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That's one team though. For Calgary to pick top 10th a great total of 6 teams must pass them so even if Anaheim continue their hot streak which like Montreal they probably wont it would still require 5 other teams to pass Calgary. Those teams are bad they'll lose too. People act like only Calgary has the right to lose games starting from now all other teams will transform into Vegas all of a sudden.
Yes, that's only one team besides the other 5 teams that are within 3 points of the Flames and will likely pass them.

I'm not saying the Ducks will pass the Flames but my point is, i'm not sure how you came up with that 11-12-3 record for the Habs/Blues and then came to a conclusion based on that hypothesis.
What happened so far this season or in previous seasons is not a predictor of what will happen for the rest of the season.
 
Calgary is exactly where I wanted them to be nearing the trade deadline. They have what 5, 6 or 7 games left before the deadline? And they are in the middle of a race for the last playoffs spot. They won't sell and if anything, they might add a piece or 2 to help them.

I would be very surprised to see them falling in the bottom 10 unless Wolf gets injured.
 
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Calgary is exactly where I wanted them to be nearing the trade deadline. They have what 5, 6 or 7 games left before the deadline? And they are in the middle of a race for the last playoffs spot. They won't sell and if anything, they might add a piece or 2 to help them.

I would be very surprised to see them falling in the bottom 10 unless Wolf gets injured.
It's very close for Calgary to hit bottom 10. They have ccx a tough schedule coming up. Too close for my comfort.
 
In other news, Calgary plays San Jose tonight at 8 PM. It's in Calgary.

A win would put Calgary one point behind Vancouver for WC2. This is pretty much a must win game for Calgary because they have a really tough March.

9 of their next 17 games are against top 10 teams. They only play 5 non-playoff teams (Montreal, NYI, Philadelphia, NYR & Seattle).

12 of 17 games are also on the road, where they are below .500 (only slightly).

The good news is Calgary shows no interest in trading anyone away (like Andersson).

They are 3 points from a playoff spot & 3 points from drafting 10th. Standings are tight.
 
Any chance Florida slide out of the playoff picture with Matthew Tkachuk possibly being out long term?

No, they have way too big of a lead. They've also played and won without him before.

I do expect Toronto to catch them again and finish 1st in the Division. And, there is potential that they drop out of top 10 in standings.

11th OA has the 22nd pick - assuming Florida doesn't get to Final Four. I think they will, though.
 
In other news, Calgary plays San Jose tonight at 8 PM. It's in Calgary.

A win would put Calgary one point behind Vancouver for WC2. This is pretty much a must win game for Calgary because they have a really tough March.

9 of their next 17 games are against top 10 teams. They only play 5 non-playoff teams (Montreal, NYI, Philadelphia, NYR & Seattle).

12 of 17 games are also on the road, where they are below .500 (only slightly).

The good news is Calgary shows no interest in trading anyone away (like Andersson).

They are 3 points from a playoff spot & 3 points from drafting 10th. Standings are tight.
It's so tight for that Calgary pick.

At this point I'm definitely more worried about them finishing bottom 10 after spending the whole year worried about them making the playoffs!
 

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