HF Habs: Flames or Panthers 1st Round Pick 2025: Part II

[austin316]

Calgary is 5 points ahead of a top 10 picks with 1 game in hand.

Let's say the team currently 10 finish the season with 11-12-3 so they'll finish with 80 points.

Calgary would need 21 points to beat that in 27 games. So 10-16-1 which is a P% of .388. Only SJ and Chicago currently have a P% of 388 and lower.

Not sure this tells the whole story.

There are currently 11 teams between Calgary and 5th overall and they are only separated by 8 points.

Calgary has an extremely difficult schedule and it’s more likely than not that a handful of teams between them pass them given their schedule.

I hope you’re right, but I’m planning to have the Panthers pick.

 

[LaP]

Not sure this tells the whole story.

There are currently 11 teams between Calgary and 5th overall and they are only separated by 8 points.

Calgary has an extremely difficult schedule and it’s more likely than not that a handful of teams between them pass them given their schedule.

I hope you’re right, but I’m planning to have the Panthers pick.

5 points lead is honestly bigger than people think at this time of the year. It will require one of the team 5 points behind Calgary to go hot unless Calgary is one of the 2-3 worst teams in the league.

 

[LaP]

Let's say the Ducks finish the season with 14-11-3 so they'll finish with 85 points.

Calgary would need 26 points to beat that in 27 games. So 12-13-2 which is a P% of .481.

They have a super tough schedule for the rest of the season.
They have about 10 winnable games left and most of them will be at the very end of their schedule. They'll probably already be in the bottom 10 by that time and i don't think they'll be super motivated to win those games at that point.

We can make numbers say pretty much what we want when they're made up.

That's one team though. For Calgary to pick top 10th a great total of 6 teams must pass them so even if Anaheim continue their hot streak which like Montreal they probably wont it would still require 5 other teams to pass Calgary. Those teams are bad they'll lose too. People act like only Calgary has the right to lose games starting from now all other teams will transform into Vegas all of a sudden.