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F Cullen Potter - Green Bay Jr. Gamblers, U16 AAA (2025 Draft)

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I havent watched him but i keep seeing him slip to second round and all these so called mock drafts ?
 
Hockeyville USA said:
Extremely slow start in the NCAA. Which isn't surprising for a 17 year old season player. We'll see how much he picks it up after the holiday break.
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Is it actually a slow start? He’s not like a Celebrini, Fantilli or Hagens where he proves his age irrelevant.

Being a middle six forward for a top 25 team NCAA team as a U18 seems like an average outcome for how this season could’ve went.
 
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Pavel Buchnevich said:
Is it actually a slow start? He’s not like a Celebrini, Fantilli or Hagens where he proves his age irrelevant.

Being a middle six forward for a top 25 team NCAA team as a U18 seems like an average outcome for how this season could’ve went.
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I think because he's at Arizona State, people thought he'd drive play and production sooner on. No idea how Powers utilizes him and obviously not having Lucius yet hurts the offense.
 
There aren't that many U18 comparables for draft season in the NCAA since 2000.

Celebrini: 1.68 PPG-1OA
Wood: .97 PPG-15OA
Toews: .93 PPG-3OA
Werenski: .71 PPG-8OA
Hanifin: .62 PPG-5OA
Potter: .56 PPG-2025 eligible
Poehling: .37 PPG-25OA
Yan Kuznetsov: .32 PPG-50OA
Boumedienne: .29 PPG-2025 eligible

Probably not enough good data to really be too sure of PPG as a good measurement (and there are other reasons to pick players beyond their scoring totals at lower levels), but I would say he's tracking roughly okay based on initial expectations. Probably tracking for somewhere towards the middle of the first round. Maybe he'll go a little lower (late first?) due to being 5'10, but other than the Wood season (and he had big skating issues and hasn't exactly completely kept up that crazy DY pace since) it would seem there's a roughly consistent pattern in there, and one that suggests Potter's somewhere towards the middle of a group that so far hasn't produced a player lower than 50OA of draft eligibles to play their U18 year in the NCAA since 2000.
 
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Pavel Buchnevich said:
There aren't that many U18 comparables for draft season in the NCAA since 2000.

Celebrini: 1.68 PPG-1OA
Wood: .97 PPG-15OA
Toews: .93 PPG-3OA
Werenski: .71 PPG-8OA
Hanifin: .62 PPG-5OA
Potter: .56 PPG-2025 eligible
Poehling: .37 PPG-25OA
Yan Kuznetsov: .32 PPG-50OA
Boumedienne: .29 PPG-2025 eligible

Probably not enough good data to really be too sure of PPG as a good measurement (and there are other reasons to pick players beyond their scoring totals at lower levels), but I would say he's tracking roughly okay based on initial expectations. Probably tracking for somewhere towards the middle of the first round. Maybe he'll go a little lower (late first?) due to being 5'10, but other than the Wood season (and he had big skating issues and hasn't exactly completely kept up that crazy DY pace since) it would seem there's a roughly consistent pattern in there, and one that suggests Potter's somewhere towards the middle of a group that so far hasn't produced a player lower than 50OA of draft eligibles to play their U18 year in the NCAA since 2000.
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After 0+2 tonight, he's up to 9+7=16 points in 25 games. That's .64. Would move him ahead of Hanifin.

Looking like a clear first round range, and maybe a chance for mid first. Think he's also vindicating the idea that he was good enough for college hockey that not everyone agreed with.
 
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