Such a weird commentEqually absurd for the center to be better defensively, yet here we are
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Such a weird commentEqually absurd for the center to be better defensively, yet here we are
Doubtful. Hutson has the second most avg TOI per game on the Habs! That woud not happen if he wasn’t well rounded or reliable!Celebrini plays a much more well rounded game than Hutson.
Hutson's defensive play gets underrated. He'll probably never even be average, but he's been adequate since about December. He's improved a lot this year, specifically in terms of his decision making through the neutral zone and up ice. Earlier in the year, he was trying to force the offense, trying a lot of high risk low reward plays that ended up costing the Habs. But he's made some great adjustments throughout the season and has calmed down a lot in those dangerous areas.Doubtful.
That's just plain false. There are countless instances of coaches giving out tons of ice time to defensively unreliable players. Connor Bedard is probably the least reliable center in the league but gets over 20 mins a night, and Tony freakin DeAngelo is averaging nearly 25 mins this year.Hutson has the second most avg TOI per game on the Habs! That woud not happen if he wasn’t well rounded or reliable!
Feeling pretty good about my projection below for Hutson from Dec 9th (he was on pace for 0 goals 55 points at the time). People doubting his goal scoring abilities clearly never watched him at BU.Hutson cant scoar goals
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Such a weird comment
Assuming the top rookie skaters play the rest of their games, I'd predict:
- Michkov 27 goals 68 points in 80gp
- Hutson 5 goals 60 points in 82gp
- Celebrini 24 goals 58 points in 70gp
Hutson's defensive play gets underrated. He'll probably never even be average, but he's been adequate since about December. He's improved a lot this year, specifically in terms of his decision making through the neutral zone and up ice. Earlier in the year, he was trying to force the offense, trying a lot of high risk low reward plays that ended up costing the Habs. But he's made some great adjustments throughout the season and has calmed down a lot in those dangerous areas.
That said, Celebrini's 200 foot game is definitely better than Hutson's, despite his age. He can get a bit lost when he's hemmed in the defensive zone (as 18 year old centers do) but his overall on ice impacts have been excellent due to his already elite puck carrying and play driving abilities.
I still have Hutson as the front runner though. I think Celebrini will have to outscore his former teammate by at least 4-5 points to be the favorite.
That's just plain false. There are countless instances of coaches giving out tons of ice time to defensively unreliable players. Connor Bedard is probably the least reliable center in the league but gets over 20 mins a night, and Tony freakin DeAngelo is averaging nearly 25 mins this year.
There are plenty of better arguments than appealing to authority here.
All those empty net against you can really destroy your fancy stats....That would be unprecedented. See: Boldy
View attachment 983173 4th percentile in defense, for a defenseman, will prevent him from winning the calder (as it rightfully should) no matter how many points he scores.
But, voters showed last year they don't care about defense, so who knows.
lol yeah, right, that's what is doing it lol. Those fancy stats just can't capture game state and factor it in, I guess!All those empty net against you can really destroy your fancy stats....
They clearly can'tlol yeah, right, that's what is doing it lol. Those fancy stats just can't capture game state and factor it in, I guess!
/s
His forechecking effort and tenacity is impressive.Celebrini vs Hutson round 2 tomorrow.
While I am a Sharks fan, so take it with a grain of salt, Celebrini clearly stands out as one of the best players on the ice (on both ends) in nearly every game he's played. Some of the other rookies are unnoticeable at times. Whether it's fair or not as well, I think he will get votes simply for being a 1st overall pick that has played this well.
I think its pretty clear at least to me that Celebrini will end up the best/most impactful player out of this rookie crop. The only argument that I've ever used against him, if you want to call it that, is that the Calder goes to the player who had the best rookie season, not who is the best rookie player or who will be the best player in the future.Celebrini vs Hutson round 2 tomorrow.
While I am a Sharks fan, so take it with a grain of salt, Celebrini clearly stands out as one of the best players on the ice (on both ends) in nearly every game he's played. Some of the other rookies are unnoticeable at times. Whether it's fair or not as well, I think he will get votes simply for being a 1st overall pick that has played this well.
If michkov and celebrini tie for points and goals, then basically no matter what michkov finishes below celebrini.Feeling pretty good about my projection below for Hutson from Dec 9th (he was on pace for 0 goals 55 points at the time). People doubting his goal scoring abilities clearly never watched him at BU.
Hutson's currently on pace for 5g 61p.
Michkov was on pace for 79 points at the time of that projection. I anticipated some regression, but he really went ice cold. He's on pace for 58p, but I think he'll heat back up down the stretch.
Below are my updated projections for the rookie scoring race:
3 way tie for the rookie scoring lead would be fun. Voters probably say tie goes to the defenseman, but they also love voting based on pedigree. And if Michkov does stay close with Celebrini, he might steal some of his votes. Who knows, he could really catch fire and then it's Celebrini who'd be stealing his votes.
- Celebrini 70gp 25 goals 62 points
- Michkov 80gp 25 goals 62 points
- Hutson 82gp 5 goals 62 points
Or they just give it to the goalie. Hard trophy for them to win but a 3 way scoring tie could split a lot of votes.
Yes of course. I know it's so hard to compare the F v D v G, but I just feel if it's close, the voters will lean towards the top line C that was a 1st overall pick.I think its pretty clear at least to me that Celebrini will end up the best/most impactful player out of this rookie crop. The only argument that I've ever used against him, if you want to call it that, is that the Calder goes to the player who had the best rookie season, not who is the best rookie player or who will be the best player in the future.
Yeah, just like it was Leo Carlson's bad play that had him missing games last season.If michkov and celebrini tie for points and goals, then basically no matter what michkov finishes below celebrini.
Way more impressive to do it in 12 less available games. I know it is technically 10, but it was michkovs bad play that made him miss 2 games so far.
It's more impressive but playing less games doesn't usually favor calder winners historically.If michkov and celebrini tie for points and goals, then basically no matter what michkov finishes below celebrini.
Way more impressive to do it in 12 less available games. I know it is technically 10, but it was michkovs bad play that made him miss 2 games so far.