Dubas details his 'biggest mistake' as Leafs GM in new book

HockeyVirus

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Nov 15, 2020
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“The biggest mistake I think I’ve made in my whole time here has been not taking care of the three incumbent contracts,” Dubas told Custance. “(William) Nylander was up, (Mitch) Marner and (Auston) Matthews could have been done on July 1 extensions.”

Dubas laments not making more progress on all of those before Tavares, though he did talk to the trio about the impact winning the J.T. sweepstakes would have on their future standing.
“The thing I learned was once we signed John to the (AAV) we did, it lifted the lid on the entire ceiling,” he said.
 

GirardSpinorama

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Aug 20, 2004
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He seems like he makes a big splash move to establish himself without any regard to the future.
Yup. Thats what he did but he isnt admitting it and claiming this as just a "mistake" of a new GM. This mistake is common knowledge, not nuance.

Very common in the corporate world to have short sighted executives making selfish decisions.
 

kevsh

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Nov 28, 2018
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The biggest mistake related to Tavares was not the contract or the fallout (regarding the extensions for Matthews, Marner) but that he wasn't needed in the first place.

They had a #1 in AM, a #2 in Kadri and a #3 in Bozak. Not the greatest C depth in the league (edit: Meant to add 'but good enough that they certainly didn't need another'). So the day Tavares joined the Leafs he was a #2 (or would be very soon) making $11M. Nonsensical in a cap world.

Even worse, they had big holes on the blue line and in net. The two positions they absolutely did not need any help was at C and RW (Mitch, Willie, Kapanen).
 
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malcb33

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The biggest mistake related to Tavares was not the contract or the fallout (regarding the extensions for Matthews, Marner) but that he wasn't needed in the first place.

They had a #1 in AM, a #2 in Kadri and a #3 in Bozak. Not the greatest C depth in the league. So the day Tavares joined the Leafs he was a #2 (or would be very soon) making $11M. Nonsensical in a cap world.

Even worse, they had big holes on the blue line and in net. The two positions they absolutely did not need any help was at C and RW (Mitch, Willie, Kapanen).
While all true, Dubas couldn't have forecasted COVID-19 or the impact it had on the salary cap. Certainly not trying to excuse his decisions, but the stagnant cap made things a lot more difficult for teams without cap flexibility.
 

thegazelle

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Nov 11, 2019
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I'd also posit that Dubas' biggest mistake was trying to, at the end of his tenure, try to usurp authority from Shanahan. Shanahan called his bluff, said no thanks and Dubas was not returning to the Leafs.

This guy, from the outset has had an arrogance about him which has contributed to his overexuberance in trying to make big splashes. I think that in his mind's eye, he was the cat's meow. Hopefully with some maturity and humility, he can grow from the Leafs' experience.
 

dgibb10

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Feb 29, 2024
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While all true, Dubas couldn't have forecasted COVID-19 or the impact it had on the salary cap. Certainly not trying to excuse his decisions, but the stagnant cap made things a lot more difficult for teams without cap flexibility.
That would make sense if he got full term on Matthews, Marner, and Nylander, hoping they'd become massive bargains down the line with a rising cap

But he didn't.

5 years on Matthews
6 years on Nylander
6 years on Marner
 

Oilslick941611

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Yup. Thats what he did but he isnt admitting it and claiming this as just a "mistake" of a new GM. This mistake is common knowledge, not nuance.

Very common in the corporate world to have short sighted executives making selfish decisions.
Thats because in the corporate world long term means next quarter and tons of decisions end up hurting in the long run for short term stock price gain.
 

pantherbot

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While all true, Dubas couldn't have forecasted COVID-19 or the impact it had on the salary cap. Certainly not trying to excuse his decisions, but the stagnant cap made things a lot more difficult for teams without cap flexibility.

He can't get a pass for that because every other team also had to deal with the same thing. The quote in the book from Belfry is telling, they based their decisions assuming the cap continues to go up, but if you're basing anything on projections, you need to also manage risk.

Its like people who expect the stock market to keep going up and then one day it doesn't, then taking no responsibility for their decision. Gotta have range of outcomes when making decisions and mange risk appropriately. If they wanted to take the risk that cap was going to keep moving up, that's fine, but then accept the responsibility of what happens when it doesn't.
 

Oilslick941611

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Jul 4, 2006
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While all true, Dubas couldn't have forecasted COVID-19 or the impact it had on the salary cap. Certainly not trying to excuse his decisions, but the stagnant cap made things a lot more difficult for teams without cap flexibility.
You shouldn't play with money you don't have.

Holland gets a ton of shit for not 'forecasting" covid and giving up assets for players who left after a few games because of the covid season ending and the play in sweep.

Covid absolutely ruined the economics of hockey for the last 4 years, but all teams had options to fix and hold on ( cap dumps, buyouts, not making stupid choices)
 

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