I think if he can stay healthy he can build backup career. Now when he doesn’t play under pressure, he looks better than he looked two seasons before. But not for 3+ mil per year. May be someone ready to give him that amount of money, but with Vitek and cap tight we are not in the position to do so. If he is ok to play for 1.5 mil for one year, I’m not against to sign him. With Akita in AHL I don’t think we have needs for searching any other option.
There's no rule that we can't sign him for less than his qualifying offer, as teams have done it before. I'm pretty sure Ray Shero didn't tender either of Devante Smith-Pelly or Jon Merrill in 2016, but re-signed both of them even before UFA started for less than their qualifiers. I remember a lot us didn't understand why they weren't qualified, but it's because they weren't gonna be worth their qualifying offers. They were both signed for cheaper than that.
If he plays at least okay for the rest of the year, I'd be fine with giving him $1.5 million for one year, with a VERY short leash to be banished in short order to the AHL in favor of Schmid if he has a poor start out of the gate. And if that happens, he's less than half a million in dead cap playing in the minors.
For $3 million or more he's just WAYYYYYY too much. Even if he has a good year this season that's still too much. And if he does have a good year it's likely not gonna be as THE guy, as we're two thirds of the way through the season and Vitek has been considerably better in a lot more games played.
Back to the qualifying offer though, we can sign him for as cheap as we want, so long as he agrees to it. Would he agree to sign here for $1.5 million where he's clearly been overthrown as the starter? Or would he wanna just go to UFA and sign with another team for that same price?
This has real potential to be 2019 Schneider to the minors by November, if he comes back next year and at $3 million that handcuffs us a couple of million we could allocate elsewhere, while just using Schmid, who once again, may be no better, but I'm pretty sure he's no worse and he'll be MUCH cheaper. I also don't want another STUPID WOOD SITUATION like this year. That's money we could use right now and it's not even like that's a contract that was signed years ago like Bernier or Johnsson or Blackwood himself.