I dont think that Jiricek will fall out of round 1, he is talked for round 1 for at least two years straight, guys who are pretty much locks like this dont fall that much even when injured imo.
Galvas is round 1 for me since October, he should be round 1 and if he is not drafted round 1 it would be completely ridiculous.
The competition is terrible this year among defensive players.
This is the first time I have had to move defenders to favor forwards. Usually it's the other way around.
I won't be surprised if there are none in the first round.
Jiricek has had a very bad season and already has a very serious injury that is not easy to recover from. I can understand that franchises prefer more physical defenders in the future like Emery. I think there was a general excitement around this player because his career could be reminiscent of his brother but when I look at his CV again, I don't see any moment where he was impressive.
Galvas had an excellent tournament, especially against Switzerland. But Muggli and Solberg also had excellent tournaments and are probably ahead in the lists of all the scouts. I'm not even talking about Buium who takes a ticket for the top 3 left-handed defenders next to Dickinson and Silayev. Without forgetting the overager Pulkkinen. This one, a team can take him at the start of the 2nd round. The physical aspect for a defender is important and he is the least physical of the entire draft so when the teams draw up their list they will favor players of the same level but more physical and that is how a Leon Muggli who impressed next to Rodwin Dionicio in defensive play and had a solid season in NLA will be ahead in my opinion.
When I rank players, I make regional lists first and I can't convince myself to put Galvas ahead of Muggli. I even hesitate to put Jiricek ahead of Muggli. He remains ahead in relation to his profile (right side, taller) but in terms of level of play, Muggli is like Galvas, better than Jiricek.
Top DEF :
WHL : Yakemchuk, Elick... Roberts ?
OHL : Dickinson, Parekh, Mews... Danford ?
QMJHL : Lavoie, Gill
USDP : Hutson, Skahan, Emery... Whipple ?
USHL : Pitner
NCAA : Buium, Levshunov
KHL/VHL/MHL : Silayev, Shuravin, Kol
Scandinavia : Sahlin, Freij, Solberg, Badinka
Baltic : Vaisanen, Kiviharju, Pulkkinen
Visegrad & Alps : Jiricek, Muggli, Galvas
Very hard.
The good news is that there should be more than usual.
WHL : Jecho, Curran, Matecha, Becher
OHL : Fischer, Fibigr
QMJHL : Milota, Cibulka
SHL : Badinka
Mestis : Kos
Extraliga : Jiricek, Galvas
I think we can bet on these 12 with obviously 2 changes to be expected on the final list, always unpredictable in part (and my analyzes are still partially faulty)
You have to go back to 2005 to see more than 12. But this does not guarantee success. In 2015, 12 players selected but how many are installed in the NHL ? Zacha and Vejmelka are the only ones still playing in the league. Reaching and settling in the NHL is very hard.
I was shocked yesterday when I saw that Eduard Sale was shooting at 2.28 in Czech junior hockey at U17, was at 0.8 in OHL at U19. Melovsky in QMJHL is a normal person. He is well behind Boilard who is 2 years younger.