Cup Final Prediction

Auston Marlander

I was in the pool!!
Nov 3, 2011
13,851
8,422
Toronto
How well did they do wit their probabilities before the first round?

No idea, this is the first time I've opened the app in about a month. If I wagered a guess I'd say, like everyone else, they missed on the big ones.

It's also not some guy taking a guess, just simulations.
 

illpucks

Registered User
May 26, 2011
20,525
4,974
Here is what the Athletic has for current probabilities:

Screen-Shot-2019-04-20-at-1.05.00-AM.png

This is dumb. Leafs have ~20% chance of winning cup and they aren't even out of round 1. Islanders clean sweeped the Pens and have 3.9% chance? What a joke.
 

Auston Marlander

I was in the pool!!
Nov 3, 2011
13,851
8,422
Toronto
This is dumb. Leafs have ~20% chance of winning cup and they aren't even out of round 1. Islanders clean sweeped the Pens and have 3.9% chance? What a joke.

I dont know man, I didnt make it. They used ELO, which seems popular here, along with 50,000 simulations each based on the teams remaining.

I do imagine if they numbers were reversed you'd be glowing.
 

Paris in Flames

Registered User
Feb 4, 2009
15,903
7,935
This is dumb. Leafs have ~20% chance of winning cup and they aren't even out of round 1. Islanders clean sweeped the Pens and have 3.9% chance? What a joke.

It does seem a bit weird and even cruel. I don't know how their system works but I don't know if I believe a system that has Boston (who is one loss away from golfing) as higher odds than a team who has long advanced to round 2.
 

Madifer

Registered User
Oct 2, 2018
1,659
1,003
This is dumb. Leafs have ~20% chance of winning cup and they aren't even out of round 1. Islanders clean sweeped the Pens and have 3.9% chance? What a joke.

Check this out, on this site its the Islanders who have the highest chance to take it all.

While the Canes are waaaaaay less likely to win it all than the Caps.

NHL Playoffs - Updated Stanley Cup Champion Odds

NHL Betting Odds – Updated Stanley Cup Champion Odds

NHL TeamOdds (4/20/19)Odds (4/17/19)
New York Islanders+550+550
Columbus Blue Jackets+600+625
Vegas Golden Knights+650+550
Colorado Avalanche+650+1400
Washington Capitals+750+600
Toronto Maple Leafs+750+800
St. Louis Blues+900+1400
Nashville Predators+1100+850
Boston Bruins+1400+1300
Dallas Stars+1900+2000
Carolina Hurricanes+1900+3000
Winnipeg Jets+1900+1300
San Jose Sharks+2900+3300
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
 
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Aurinko

Registered User
Apr 1, 2015
3,516
2,308
Finland
Check this out, on this site its the Islanders who have the highest chance to take it all.

While the Canes are waaaaaay less likely to win it all than the Caps.

NHL Playoffs - Updated Stanley Cup Champion Odds

NHL Betting Odds – Updated Stanley Cup Champion Odds

NHL TeamOdds (4/20/19)Odds (4/17/19)
New York Islanders+550+550
Columbus Blue Jackets+600+625
Vegas Golden Knights+650+550
Colorado Avalanche+650+1400
Washington Capitals+750+600
Toronto Maple Leafs+750+800
St. Louis Blues+900+1400
Nashville Predators+1100+850
Boston Bruins+1400+1300
Dallas Stars+1900+2000
Carolina Hurricanes+1900+3000
Winnipeg Jets+1900+1300
San Jose Sharks+2900+3300
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Currently the Isles look like the most polished team, but there is no way I'll be putting my money on the line this year.
 
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Cor

I am a bot
Jun 24, 2012
69,648
35,246
AEF
I took TBL vs VGK with TBL winning so I guess I’ll say CBJ vs VGK with VGK winning
 

voyageur

Hockey fanatic
Jul 10, 2011
10,426
9,744
Well I didn't do well in my bracket other than picking St. Louis. I missed both big upsets.
I am thinking now St. Louis and Vegas in the WCF, and Toronto and the Isles in the Eastern final (great for TV). And St. Louis and Toronto for the Stanley Cup, with one franchise breaking a 52 year drought.
 
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OVO16

#WeTheNorth
Apr 16, 2017
10,652
10,661
Toronto/St. Louis is definitely intriguing no doubt...for the Reasons people have mentioned. (long drought).

If there is one team I wouldn't mind winning a Stanley Cup outside of Toronto, it's St. Louis
 
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MarkovsKnee

Global Moderator
Nov 21, 2007
55,136
69,713
Toronto
I still like the Caps. Think Blues have a good chance at it too. I think I'm on the Blues bandwagon after watching them vs Jets.

Washington - St. Louis final.
 

OVO16

#WeTheNorth
Apr 16, 2017
10,652
10,661
I also think Washington will make the Finals again. West is tough to say. I think Vegas, Blues, Stars, Preds, Sharks can all make it.

In terms of Ratings for NBC....I think a rematch of Washington-Vegas would be the best.

Washington/Blues and Washington/Dallas might be good matchups too.
 

Once

Stop ******* crying bro
Jul 16, 2010
3,868
1,905
I predicted Tampa vs Winnipeg.

Probably go with Washington vs St Louis. I think St Louis is the real deal and could likely trump any remaining east team.
 

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