Columbus was a pretty bad team last year but they started 12-6-0 last season because they were shooting 11.15% (4th best) and had a .914 SV (9th best) through those 18 games. Their 24 points was tied for 11th most at the time.
Hockey can be a bit random, they were riding a hot streak, just like Arizona is.
Columbus’ PDO was 1.021 at 18 games last season and Arizona’s is coincidentally 1.021 now (go figure.) Arizona is shooting 11.97% (3rd best) and has a .901 SV (14th).
In comparison, we’re shooting 9.62% (20th) and have SV% of .897 (19th) with a PDO of 0.993.
And with that we’re generating 3.61 G/60 (7th) and allow 2.55 G/60 (5th). The benefit of playing well.
Arizona is generating 2.84 GF/60 (23rd) and allow 3.54 GA/60 (26th). So they’re playing not nearly as well.
This season Columbus is shooting 8.82% (26th) and their SV% is .876 (32nd). They generate 2.68 GF/G (27th), give up 4.37 GA/60 and their PDO is 0.964. So that’s what bad play and bad luck’s baby looks like.
Arizona also shot pretty well last season though and is a patient team. If you only bend and don’t break them they will wait for their chances and can take advantage of them.
We’re a much less sloppy team and way more patient team this season so I’m not particularly afraid of that strategy working against us this time. (Last year we broke the flood gates in Arizona but were pathetic in NJ vs them and were deservedly picked apart.)
The only wild card is our AHL goalie, he’s talented but not a NHL goalie and he had a rough time last year. It would be awesome for him to win this but who knows.
I’m curious how Valimaki looks, it amuses me that Calgary is playing much worse defensemen in their line-up now after losing him on waivers.
- PDO - Shooting percentage plus save percentage. (GF/SF)+(GA/SA)
2021-22
2022-23