Player Discussion - Claude Giroux | Page 32 | HFBoards - NHL Message Board and Forum for National Hockey League

Player Discussion Claude Giroux

Turris was cooked after the Gumby injury. Trading him was the right move IMO. The difficult part was figuring out whether to sell Turris for picks or improve on him like we did. It required correctly assessing the team's playoff chances.

Once Turris didn’t have Karlssom skating the puck to him and putting it perfectly on his stick every shift he started to suck immediately. I like Turris, but EK was 80% responsible for him looking like a top 2 NHL center, Karl would skate the puck up the ice, give it to Turris in his safe space on the boards and then Karl would get the puck back to set up the play.

Not knocking Turris, but without EK his career dried up quickly
 
I think the issue here was Dorion acquiring DeBrincat despite Chicago's GM not letting Dorion speak to Cat about an extension. That is a red flag and Dorion should've walked away but he prioritized short term ticket sales + whatever good it will supposedly do for his image over the team.
DBC had 2 years left on his deal, so he was one year away from being eligible to sign an extension.
 
DBC had 2 years left on his deal, so he was one year away from being eligible to sign an extension.
That doesn't change how Dorion should've walked away if Chicago's GM/Cats agent didn't let Dorion talk to Cat about whether he'd want to stay in Ottawa.

Dorion relied on "selling" Ottawa to Cat, which is a short sighted and high risk move that a rebuilding team shouldn't take.
 
DBC had 2 years left on his deal, so he was one year away from being eligible to sign an extension.
He had one year left with a 6.4 AAV, and one more year of RFA status with a QO of 9mil before he could become a UFA. We could have signed him to an extension before he ever played a game with us, but he wasn't interested.
 
That doesn't change how Dorion should've walked away if Chicago's GM/Cats agent didn't let Dorion talk to Cat about whether he'd want to stay in Ottawa.

Dorion relied on "selling" Ottawa to Cat, which is a short sighted and high risk move that a rebuilding team shouldn't take.
We had to do the same thing with Ullmark, I guess Staios is just as short sighted as Dorion?
 
If he didn't extend with us the trade would have still been a win considering what was traded for him.
Ya, that's fair, the risk is still there that he walks, but the impact is we lose a late first and don't have to buy out Korpisalo. Buyout cost I think was a little more than we retained, something like 1.3 x 8 years instead of 1 x 4 years of retention so not much in terms of cap flexibility gained, but its done and over with quicker.

Getting rid of Korpisalo probably felt more impactful in that trade than it actually was when compared to a buyout, with the rising cap those extra years become less and less of an issue.

Obviously a late pick vs 7oa is a big difference, so the stakes were much lower even ignoring Korpisalo
 
We had to do the same thing with Ullmark, I guess Staios is just as short sighted as Dorion?
You're presenting a false equivalency.

There is a difference between giving up a 7th and 39th overall vs 25th overall + the bonus of getting out of the Korpisalo contract.

Not to mention, Staios is taking that gamble after having a roster that has more depth and experience than the roster we had when Dorion acquired Cat. Staios took a gamble that fundamentally has lower risks relative to what Dorion did with Cat.
 
You're presenting a false equivalency.

There is a difference between giving up a 7th and 39th overall vs 25th overall + the bonus of getting out of the Korpisalo contract.

Not to mention, Staios is taking that gamble after having a roster that has more depth and experience than the roster we had when Dorion acquired Cat. Staios took a gamble that fundamentally has lower risks relative to what Dorion did with Cat.
The overarching point is sometimes you need to convince a guy to actually sign, and if you don't, the alternative is you don't get that guy. The ramifications of it backfiring were of course lower with Ullmark since goalies inherently have less trade value so he costed less, but still existed.

It's the nature of the market, we need to convince players. You mitigate the risk by being able to trade the player if it doesn't work out, the reason DBC backfired so badly is because he wanted to pick his destination and wasn't open to other landing spots along with kind of sucking while here.

The reality is you go nowhere if you don't take some risks or get lucky. I don't mind that Dorion took risks, I just think the guys he targeted where the issue.
 
The overarching point is sometimes you need to convince a guy to actually sign, and if you don't, the alternative is you don't get that guy. The ramifications of it backfiring were of course lower with Ullmark since goalies inherently have less trade value so he costed less, but still existed.

It's the nature of the market, we need to convince players. You mitigate the risk by being able to trade the player if it doesn't work out, the reason DBC backfired so badly is because he wanted to pick his destination and wasn't open to other landing spots along with kind of sucking while here.

The reality is you go nowhere if you don't take some risks or get lucky. I don't mind that Dorion took risks, I just think the guys he targeted where the issue.
Reason DBC backfired is less about him wanting to pick his destination and more of Dorion not being willing to pass on him given our stage in the rebuild. It's not that Cat is a player who wanted to pick his destination, but moreso that Cat is a player who Dorion couldn't talk to which should be enough to try taking a risk on someone else.

I think we agree that risks are necessary, but the additional due diligence from Dorion was lacking which is the main point of my argument.
 
You're presenting a false equivalency.

There is a difference between giving up a 7th and 39th overall vs 25th overall + the bonus of getting out of the Korpisalo contract.

Not to mention, Staios is taking that gamble after having a roster that has more depth and experience than the roster we had when Dorion acquired Cat. Staios took a gamble that fundamentally has lower risks relative to what Dorion did with Cat.
some people love to argue even if there is no logical end to it
 
I have a gut feeling we won't sign Giroux until August. Maybe they have a deal with Giroux that Staios can go UFA hunting on July 1st, and Giroux just gets whatever cap space we have left in August.
 
I have a gut feeling we won't sign Giroux until August. Maybe they have a deal with Giroux that Staios can go UFA hunting on July 1st, and Giroux just gets whatever cap space we have left in August.
I get that sense as well, that it might take some time to get this done, if it is to happen.

I also agree with a previous mention that Giroux is not just going to take whatever is offered to him, in the honor of the home-town discount and because money is tight for the team and I can't really say that I blame him.

This is an 18-year veteran player, potential HHOFer, that despite showing signs of decline, still brings a lot to the table. I think we can agree that he earned every bit of the 3-year deal he originally signed to come here and has fully met the expectations.

Giroux and his agent are obviously not looking for another 3-year deal at $6.5 AAV, but at the same time, it is hard to believe that they would drop to less than $4M on a one-year deal.

The issue for Staios is that he doesn't have much money to spend this off-season and has definite other areas that need to be addressed. I am seeing this Giroux decision as being the focal point of the off-season for Staios right now, so he may try to get this decided as soon as possible, so that he can move on to these other areas.

With all that being said, if they decide to bring him back, I think we are looking at a 2-year deal at $4.25 AAV.
 
some people love to argue even if there is no logical end to it
I'm all for it cuz we're respecting each other. Hockey is going to end in a few weeks (I'm hoping every existing series goes to 7 so we have more to watch) and these endless back-and-forths is all I have when it's slow at work lmao

I've derailed the thread quite a bit, so to get it back on track, I hope Giroux does us a solid (even if he has no need to) and signs for 2 years $3.5 million aav
 
Reason DBC backfired is less about him wanting to pick his destination and more of Dorion not being willing to pass on him given our stage in the rebuild. It's not that Cat is a player who wanted to pick his destination, but moreso that Cat is a player who Dorion couldn't talk to which should be enough to try taking a risk on someone else.

I think we agree that risks are necessary, but the additional due diligence from Dorion was lacking which is the main point of my argument.
He backfired because he didn't want to sign here, not because of our stage in the rebuild, but my point is he would have gotten a much better return if he wasn't only willing to go to Detroit, mitigating the risk we took on by trying to convince him on Ottawa. Had we convinced him to stay he was young enough to fit the long term needs of the team, I don't really care for him as a player so I wouldn't have targeted him but you can't as a small market team only trade for players that will immediately extend, sometimes you need to accept the risk as a cost of doing business just like we did with Ullmark.

The irony is that what we sorely lack right now, a goal scorer that can finish his chances, is exactly what he is, albeit a flawed one. Nobody would be complaining about Dorion's shortsightedness if he extended here and was scoring 39 goals for us instead of Det. Unfortunately, we won't draw comparable UFA unless we are literally cup favourites, so instead we'll get offseasons like last year of people saying we should sign Roy or Pesce (I'm as guilty of this as anyone), or maybe fall back and go after Tanev, not appreciating the reality of the market is those guys aren't actually available to us, and instead we'll need to give up a soon to be 9 mil dollar 26 year old LHD to get an aging out Jensen (been a great fit).

People consistently ignore the reality of the market, pretend it doesn't play into the decisions the GM, be it Staios or Dorion, have to make. I guarantee Staois would have loved to trade Chychrun for futures and just sign Pesce instead of trading him for Jensen. Instead he had to trade Chychrun at a loss because this market doesn't always allow us to go the ideal "asset management" route.
 
He backfired because he didn't want to sign here, not because of our stage in the rebuild, but my point is he would have gotten a much better return if he wasn't only willing to go to Detroit, mitigating the risk we took on by trying to convince him on Ottawa. Had we convinced him to stay he was young enough to fit the long term needs of the team, I don't really care for him as a player so I wouldn't have targeted him but you can't as a small market team only trade for players that will immediately extend, sometimes you need to accept the risk as a cost of doing business just like we did with Ullmark.

The irony is that what we sorely lack right now, a goal scorer that can finish his chances, is exactly what he is, albeit a flawed one. Nobody would be complaining about Dorion's shortsightedness if he extended here and was scoring 39 goals for us instead of Det. Unfortunately, we won't draw comparable UFA unless we are literally cup favourites, so instead we'll get offseasons like last year of people saying we should sign Roy or Pesce (I'm as guilty of this as anyone), or maybe fall back and go after Tanev, not appreciating the reality of the market is those guys aren't actually available to us, and instead we'll need to give up a soon to be 9 mil dollar 26 year old LHD to get an aging out Jensen (been a great fit).

People consistently ignore the reality of the market, pretend it doesn't play into the decisions the GM, be it Staios or Dorion, have to make. I guarantee Staois would have loved to trade Chychrun for futures and just sign Pesce instead of trading him for Jensen. Instead he had to trade Chychrun at a loss because this market doesn't always allow us to go the ideal "asset management" route.
I don’t dispute that he could have secured a better return had Cat been open to more destinations beyond Detroit. I reject the necessity of taking such risks, given how often they fail for small-market teams. Dorion knows Ottawa faces the inherent challenges of a smaller market, yet instead of constructing the roster through the draft—a proven method for long-term success—he opted for a high-risk move, one that other small-market franchises deliberately avoid.

Smaller market teams like Winnipeg, Arizona, Carolina, and St. Louis have managed to acquire talent without paying exorbitant prices and without sacrificing cost-controlled assets in return. Consider Carolina in 2018: despite missing the playoffs for nearly a decade, Francis didn’t trade the 12th overall pick (Necas) for a player they weren’t certain they could retain. He understood that a team struggling to attract free agents must prioritize developing its prospect pool. When Carolina finally made a bold, high-risk move, it was for a player of Rantanen’s calibre, after 6 years of not being able to get anywhere in the playoffs .

Similarly, Winnipeg in 2014, coming off seven playoff-less seasons, didn’t trade the 13th overall pick (which became Morrissey) for an uncertain short-term asset. Cheveldayoff recognized the importance of building through high-value draft selections rather than prematurely leveraging them for win now moves.
 
I don’t dispute that he could have secured a better return had Cat been open to more destinations beyond Detroit. I reject the necessity of taking such risks, given how often they fail for small-market teams. Dorion knows Ottawa faces the inherent challenges of a smaller market, yet instead of constructing the roster through the draft—a proven method for long-term success—he opted for a high-risk move, one that other small-market franchises deliberately avoid.

Smaller market teams like Winnipeg, Arizona, Carolina, and St. Louis have managed to acquire talent without paying exorbitant prices and without sacrificing cost-controlled assets in return. Consider Carolina in 2018: despite missing the playoffs for nearly a decade, Francis didn’t trade the 12th overall pick (Necas) for a player they weren’t certain they could retain. He understood that a team struggling to attract free agents must prioritize developing its prospect pool. When Carolina finally made a bold, high-risk move, it was for a player of Rantanen’s calibre, after 6 years of not being able to get anywhere in the playoffs .

Similarly, Winnipeg in 2014, coming off seven playoff-less seasons, didn’t trade the 13th overall pick (which became Morrissey) for an uncertain short-term asset. Cheveldayoff recognized the importance of building through high-value draft selections rather than prematurely leveraging them for win now moves.

We did build through the draft though, Tkachuk, Stutzle, Sanderson, Batherson, ect. You don't build teams exclusively through drafting, teams need to explore all the options. The reality is Winnepeg got extremely lucky with 13th OA becoming Morrissey, could have just as easily ended up with Wennberg, Zadorov, or Lazar, Similarly Necas could have ended up being Brannstrom, foote, Valimaki, Vaakanainen ect. There is far more risk than people are willing to admit in using a ~10OA pick, it's by no means a guaranteed impact player.

What needs to be done is figure out when you're groups window is going to be, and make sure you have the pieces to maximize your chances during that window. That doesn't mean that we needed to trade high picks, it just means that it wasn't inherently wrong to do so. We kept 10 OA in 2021, where did that get us? We kept 19OA in 2019, 11 OA in 2016, 17 OA in 2013, 15OA in 2012, 9OA in 2009 where did that get us?
 
We did build through the draft though, Tkachuk, Stutzle, Sanderson, Batherson, ect. You don't build teams exclusively through drafting, teams need to explore all the options. The reality is Winnepeg got extremely lucky with 13th OA becoming Morrissey, could have just as easily ended up with Wennberg, Zadorov, or Lazar, Similarly Necas could have ended up being Brannstrom, foote, Valimaki, Vaakanainen ect. There is far more risk than people are willing to admit in using a ~10OA pick, it's by no means a guaranteed impact player.

What needs to be done is figure out when you're groups window is going to be, and make sure you have the pieces to maximize your chances during that window. That doesn't mean that we needed to trade high picks, it just means that it wasn't inherently wrong to do so. We kept 10 OA in 2021, where did that get us? We kept 19OA in 2019, 11 OA in 2016, 17 OA in 2013, 15OA in 2012, 9OA in 2009 where did that get us?
You don't build your roster exclusively through the draft, but when you have enough developed assets, you can make trades to fill out roster holes like the other small-market teams have done. We didn't build enough through the draft imo and having more picks that pan out/or show some potential to be able to move would've been nice considering the calibre of FAs we can sign. When you have situations where you have a steady pipeline of homegrown talent you can move to fill a need, you're operating from a position of less risk. It doesn't always work out, but it's a safer bet than swinging for the fences.

Winnipeg, Carolina, etc., these teams have shown patience in their player development that weighs in more on their regular season success than luck imo and focusing on the draft is a key reason imo.

The bolded are valid points which speak to the Sens meh development/scouting. Which is why its even more frustrating when the 7th overall was moved, given it's harder to mess up on higher round picks, given who's available. I get not hitting a pick after the first 15 or so, but when you're 7th overall, you have the chance to get some cost-controlled talent in your system that Ottawa desperately needed/needs
 
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I get that sense as well, that it might take some time to get this done, if it is to happen.

I also agree with a previous mention that Giroux is not just going to take whatever is offered to him, in the honor of the home-town discount and because money is tight for the team and I can't really say that I blame him.

This is an 18-year veteran player, potential HHOFer, that despite showing signs of decline, still brings a lot to the table. I think we can agree that he earned every bit of the 3-year deal he originally signed to come here and has fully met the expectations.

Giroux and his agent are obviously not looking for another 3-year deal at $6.5 AAV, but at the same time, it is hard to believe that they would drop to less than $4M on a one-year deal.

The issue for Staios is that he doesn't have much money to spend this off-season and has definite other areas that need to be addressed. I am seeing this Giroux decision as being the focal point of the off-season for Staios right now, so he may try to get this decided as soon as possible, so that he can move on to these other areas.

With all that being said, if they decide to bring him back, I think we are looking at a 2-year deal at $4.25 AAV.
The latest on Giroux from Garricoh suggests that this deal could get done before free agency.
He is saying a one-year in the $3 to $4M AAV range:

 
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The latest on Giroux from Garricoh suggests that this deal could get done before free agency.
He is saying a one-year in the $3 to $4M AAV range:

On a side note, it seems from this Garrioch article, that Andre Roy has joined the exclusive "league executive":

There is no reason to delay getting Giroux signed until July 1, as a league executive told Postmedia the Montreal Canadiens would jump on the opportunity to sign him.
 
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You don't build your roster exclusively through the draft, but when you have enough developed assets, you can make trades to fill out roster holes like the other small-market teams have done. We didn't build enough through the draft imo and having more picks that pan out/or show some potential to be able to move would've been nice considering the calibre of FAs we can sign. When you have situations where you have a steady pipeline of homegrown talent you can move to fill a need, you're operating from a position of less risk. It doesn't always work out, but it's a safer bet than swinging for the fences.

Winnipeg, Carolina, etc., these teams have shown patience in their player development that weighs in more on their regular season success than luck imo and focusing on the draft is a key reason imo.

The bolded are valid points which speak to the Sens meh development/scouting. Which is why its even more frustrating when the 7th overall was moved, given it's harder to mess up on higher round picks, given who's available. I get not hitting a pick after the first 15 or so, but when you're 7th overall, you have the chance to get some cost-controlled talent in your system that Ottawa desperately needed/needs
So here's the thing; if DeBrincat and Chychrun had panned out and instead of us flaming out last year we made it to the playoffs, maybe even won a round, would we still be saying we hadn't developed enough assets? Going into next year, we might look like this:

Tkachuk - Stutzle - 27 yr old 40 goal scoring winger
Zetterlund - Cozens - Batherson
Greig - Pinto - Amadio
Highmore - Gaudette - Cousins

Sanderson - 27 yr old 6'2 220lbs 20g/50pts Dman that can skate
Chabot - Zub
Kleven - Matinpalo

UIllmark
Merrilainin

Idk man, that's a pretty good looking group with room to grow; would you prefer having Korchinski and Daniel But for Brady's prime? That's with an 8m 40 g winger, and 9 mil 20g, 50pts Dman, all under the cap (I'm assuming we wouldn't have gone after Perron and let G walk).
 
So here's the thing; if DeBrincat and Chychrun had panned out and instead of us flaming out last year we made it to the playoffs, maybe even won a round, would we still be saying we hadn't developed enough assets? Going into next year, we might look like this:

Tkachuk - Stutzle - 27 yr old 40 goal scoring winger
Zetterlund - Cozens - Batherson
Greig - Pinto - Amadio
Highmore - Gaudette - Cousins

Sanderson - 27 yr old 6'2 220lbs 20g/50pts Dman that can skate
Chabot - Zub
Kleven - Matinpalo

UIllmark
Merrilainin

Idk man, that's a pretty good looking group with room to grow; would you prefer having Korchinski and Daniel But for Brady's prime? That's with an 8m 40 g winger, and 9 mil 20g, 50pts Dman, all under the cap (I'm assuming we wouldn't have gone after Perron and let G walk).
If Cat and Chychrun worked out, I'd be thrilled despite my initial doubts about the Cat trade. But sustaining talent would be a concern, given our difficulty attracting FAs.

Your hypothetical roster makes several assumptions. Cat was never on the first line—coaching didn’t give him and Stu enough time to gel. Without Stu, Cat isn't scoring 40 goals, and even with him, it’s unlikely—he only hit that mark alongside Patrick Kane, one of the best playmakers of his generation. Who he conveninently played with this year and started looking like a 35g threat again.

Chychrun isn’t playing with Sanderson. He had some success on his offside in Arizona, but Smith and Martin didn’t slot him at RD because he wasn’t good enough. Even if we signed Chychrun and moved Chabot, we’d still need a 2RD and our defense core would remain flawed.

The assets from the Cat trade funded Ullmark so we'd be bargain binning for a goalie.

To answer your question, I’d prefer keeping the draft picks—not necessarily Korchinski and But, but players taken around them, like Kaspar, Savoie, Geekier or Benson, Yager, Wood, etc. FA signings like Giroux and Tarasenko would help insulate younger talent, much like the Jets signing Neiderreiter and Namestnikov or how the Canes brought in JWilliams and McGinn while developing their core. Even if Dorion tried to hit a homerun by acquiring players more suited for our issues at the time (lack of good RD and no goaltending) I'd look at those moves as more favourable, but Cat and Chychrun were luxuries/poor fits., both a symptom of Dorions poor roster evaluation.
 
Giroux and his agent are obviously not looking for another 3-year deal at $6.5 AAV, but at the same time, it is hard to believe that they would drop to less than $4M on a one-year deal.
Why not? CG knows he is in his declining years, he's made over $100 million in his career, the team is young and getting better and they need to add assets. $3 million per year is not poverty wages and he and his family get to remain in his hometown.
 
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On a side note, it seems from this Garrioch article, that Andre Roy has joined the exclusive "league executive":

There is no reason to delay getting Giroux signed until July 1, as a league executive told Postmedia the Montreal Canadiens would jump on the opportunity to sign him.
I'd say it's better to wait until then or at least the draft to see what's on the trade market. 4 million of extra cap space in the offseason can make a world of difference in the offseason.

I love Giroux, but a top winger is a bigger priority than a declining Giroux in the middle six.
 
If Cat and Chychrun worked out, I'd be thrilled despite my initial doubts about the Cat trade. But sustaining talent would be a concern, given our difficulty attracting FAs.

Your hypothetical roster makes several assumptions. Cat was never on the first line—coaching didn’t give him and Stu enough time to gel. Without Stu, Cat isn't scoring 40 goals, and even with him, it’s unlikely—he only hit that mark alongside Patrick Kane, one of the best playmakers of his generation. Who he conveninently played with this year and started looking like a 35g threat again.

Chychrun isn’t playing with Sanderson. He had some success on his offside in Arizona, but Smith and Martin didn’t slot him at RD because he wasn’t good enough. Even if we signed Chychrun and moved Chabot, we’d still need a 2RD and our defense core would remain flawed.

The assets from the Cat trade funded Ullmark so we'd be bargain binning for a goalie.

To answer your question, I’d prefer keeping the draft picks—not necessarily Korchinski and But, but players taken around them, like Kaspar, Savoie, Geekier or Benson, Yager, Wood, etc. FA signings like Giroux and Tarasenko would help insulate younger talent, much like the Jets signing Neiderreiter and Namestnikov or how the Canes brought in JWilliams and McGinn while developing their core. Even if Dorion tried to hit a homerun by acquiring players more suited for our issues at the time (lack of good RD and no goaltending) I'd look at those moves as more favourable, but Cat and Chychrun were luxuries/poor fits., both a symptom of Dorions poor roster evaluation.
So, I thought i was clear, I don't think either guy was the right fit for us, the point was more about whether trading high picks was a viable in our situation had we gotten the right fit (or had those guys found chemistry in the roles we were filling). It could have worked with the right target imo, those targets however aren't often available. Dorion's mistake imo was thinking a LHD and DBC were close enough. Maybe had he gotten Weegar and Fiala for example, (Weegar is a bit older so not a great alternative) it works, point is you fill the roles with guys that work out and are young enough to fit the core groups window and it's hard to argue you'd guaranteed be better off with the picks.

Your right about Ullmark, my bad, we'd have to find an alternative goalie with that 8 mil dollars, maybe we make a pitch for Markstrom outbiding NJ to hold us over until Merilainen is ready, or maybe we'd have nabbed Stolarz, who knows.

It's not inherently bad to trade a high pick at the tail end of a rebuild, it just has to be for the right return based on the mid term needs of the team. I think DBC made more sense than Chychrun, even sulking all year playing with Pinto instead of a playmaking center he still managed to score 27g, that failure is as much on DJ as it is on Dorion. There was pretty clearly room to score more while here with Stu and Giroux along with the right attitude (I suspect Dorion envisioned Brady-Norris-Batherson to be reunited), he just was already figuring out what kind of wallpaper to put up in his hypothetical Detroit suburbs house. Maybe he could have been a 35 g guy instead of a 40 g guy.
 
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