Don’t tell this to KC fans.
Fu^k I hate Missouri.
I'm a die hard Panthers fan and always have been but have a soft spot for the Chiefs as I like Reid and they're in the AFC, so not a KC fan but I don't hate on them because they've been successful like many NFL fans these days do.
Objectively here, this guy's entire premise is flawed.
His 4 "luck" factors:
- Fumble recovery: yes how the ball bounces can be random but teams practice fumble recovery drills and recovering fumbles IS a skill that can be trained and teams can be coached better at this than others, and have players who are better at recognizing and reacting to fumbles than others. I've seen plenty of weird bounces on fumbles that bounce right to a player who should easily easily recover it (and be considered lucky) but the other team gets it because that guy wasn't ready for it or expecting it. This definitely has an aspect of luck but it is not pure luck and the effect of it is also heavily impacted by forced fumbles and ball security which are 100% NOT luck.
- Opponent dropped pass:
- Opponent dropped interception:
- Opponent missed field goal:
None of these 3 are luck whatsoever and it is completely absurd to try to categorize them as "luck." These are direct results of players' abilities to perform in games under pressure. Coaching, leadership, roster construction, culture, mentality of types of players brought in, etc. all contribute to these. Luck does not.
If the Chiefs in the playoffs and on the big stage are able to not drop passes, not drop interceptions and not miss field goals while their opponents do all these things, that literally just means the Chiefs are better than those teams in those aspects. Not luckier, but better.