Speculation: Caps Roster General Discussion (Coaching/FAs/Cap/Lines/etc) | 2023-24 Regular Season Edition
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They hope it heals. That is our best bet. And odds are good that it does heal.
Being a part of the tank crew (though I still love my fellow 'always want to win' Caps fans here) it is moving back out of the garage.
ClevelandCapsfan
Registered User
- May 24, 2021
- 2,173
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It's still in the garage if it was. Both the Devils and Islanders lost last night so no ground lost. Still 3 points out of WC2 with a game in hand or 5 points out of WC1 or Metro3 with 2 games in hand. Garage door may be open but tank hasn't moved due to last night lol
trick9
Registered User
- Jun 2, 2013
- 12,786
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I mean... you are listing games in hand? Striking out on one of those games in hand certainly moves the tank then, doesn't it?
But i mean, i don't think anyone expected Metro teams to pick up any points last night. Tough games for everyone. But if you want to keep dreaming about making the Playoffs, these are the games you need to pick up points from. They do have games in hand, but also strength of the remaining schedule means that you are going to have to pick up those points away from the elite teams, too.
Big day coming up for the red tank, and it's off night for us.
Flyers: vs. Sharks. Flyers win would put them 7 points ahead of us already. But... can you rely on any help from the Sharks?
Penguins: @ Sens. Big game for them. 2 garbage teams back-to-back in Sens and Sharks. Chance to claw back in.
Sabres: vs. Red Wings. Big chance for them to claw back in. They are still 7 points away but win in head-to-head game and it's only 5 points again.
Silky mitts
It’s yours boys and girls and babes let’s go!
- Mar 9, 2004
- 5,049
- 4,215
There's a much greater benefit this year playing meaningful games in April with 5 or 6 key guys 24 and under so even if they drop from 9 to 15 or 16 it's not a catastrophe
Hey its just moved to driveway getting some sun and its tracks polished up.
hockeykicker
Global Moderator
- Dec 3, 2014
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Silky mitts
It’s yours boys and girls and babes let’s go!
- Mar 9, 2004
- 5,049
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No one in he top 30 of rookie points has played fewer games or fewer minutes per game than Lapierre
I’m digging that old site, and I’m digging Lapierre’s play in 2024.
twabby
Registered User
- Mar 9, 2010
- 14,493
- 16,701
Team GAR charts approximately 80% of the way through the season:
Notes:
Notes:
- I still don't understand why the Milano re-signing is criticized by some people. What more is expected for a $1.9M AAV?
- Lapierre and Sgarbossa have shown well. Those two players in and Kuznetsov out are a big reason why the team has shown actual improvement in the last month, a few stinkers aside.
- McMichael has had a few good games but the models attribute more of the success of that line to Protas and Mantha.
- Sandin has improved over the past month or two but this season has been a disappointment compared to prior seasons. Hopefully next year he improves.
- Tom Wilson
Wilson is decent in expected at least where his positives almost match the negatives. CMM also way better in expected the same with Oshie. Ovi and Malenstyn better in actual than expected.
bacchist
lumpy, lumpy head
- Feb 7, 2013
- 1,527
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Just variance. Over time, with a large enough sample size, the two would converge. It looks like Malenstyn has probably gotten lucky a bit on both ends of the ice. It suggests that his results will eventually regress a bit, but probabilities are weird and observed data can defy even correct predictions for a long time.
Misery74
Registered User
- Nov 20, 2017
- 2,638
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Yeah, I criticized the Milano extension when it happened. I thought it was a lot for a guy that just got waived. I was wrong, he’s been great.
Jimi is the real star.
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twabby
Registered User
- Mar 9, 2010
- 14,493
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My understanding is xGAR is more of a predictive than descriptive measure and includes play-driving more than GAR, which uses actual results as a significant component of the model.
So for instance in Malenstyn's case he's had very good results given his context (positive GAR), but based on his performance we shouldn't really expect these types of results to continue next year (negative xGAR).
Similarly as much as I criticize Wilson I don't know that his zeroth percentile GAR is truly indicative of how he might perform going forward. Though his 15th percentile xGAR is probably indicative of his future performance and should be highly concerning for a player whose 7 year extension hasn't kicked in yet.
Ovechkins Wodka
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Monsterrain
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artilector
Registered User
- Jan 11, 2006
- 8,351
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Since I haven't watched a lot of Caps hockey this season, I have a question for the folks who have -- how is the future Caps' core of young forwards looking in terms of speed, compared to the elite teams? I.e. once the vets are gone, do you think that speed might still continue to be a limiting factor, or is it mainly going to be an issue of finding top end talent?
zappa4ever
Music is the Best!
Top end talent will be the biggest issue IMO, esp Goal Scoring
Speed-wise not bad
McMic - looked v good for 1st 20, disappeared mostly next 20, decent last 20gms; needs man-strength and fearlessness to take next step
Protas - strong in every area but his shot and scoring
Lapierre - streaking nicely lately offensively, but can he keep it up? hope so, good signs last 8 gms
Milano - streaky, looks v good for 5-10, meh 5-10, injured 5-10, repeat (at least he has good hands and can pot some goals)
Alexeyev - jury's out, might develop, might stay 6/7 tweener
Leonard (Boston College) - super promising, Oshie-like, but who knows when he comes to WSH or if he'll be able to jump right in
Cristall (Kelowna WHL) - getting lots of points but not sure if it'll translate into NHL effectiveness, needs time
SherVaughn30
Registered User
What Odds? Since Kuemper signed with us, he hasn't meshed well with goalie coach Scott Murray. I was expecting more from Kuemper in his 1st season with us even with Lavi still coaching us. It has been a disappointment almost from the start. Lindgren like Grubauer has improved under Scott Murray(maybe those 2 are more adoptive to the modern/more technical butterfly style. Murray just doesn't connect with the vet goalies(Holtby, Kuemper) that well. My feeling in regard to an upside goalie coach is he has to be able to gel with all types of goalies and all ages.
Will be interesting to see if Scott Murray loses his job over this. Big investment in Keumper. Recent results not good. Carberry is making a name for himself and will want to bring in some of “his guys”. I would love to see a goalie coach come in. have no idea who that might be.
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