He must really be impressing during practise and training. I love me some Swedish Hog but share the skepticism. The guys in charge are rewarding him and betting on him though
Guessing he is the Garland replacement. If he can put up 40-50ish points with 3rd line deployment then that’s fine. Don’t see them being able to keep Garland with this extension.If he scores 14 goals this year and we sign him next summer his contract would not reflect 24 goals.
Good post. I do believe there is a little bit of risk from our overall cap perspective but this is a young stocky quick pit bull of a player who drives play and is unreal down low.This sub’s odd dislike (maybe dislike is too strong) for Hog is so bizarre, and wanting to trade him for this vague top 4 D unnecessary. I don’t think a trade for one hinges on Hog tbh.
I think there are narratives set by certain big voices in this place that shape opinions and people just believe it without looking into it.
Hog didn’t really “fade down the stretch”. He had 20pts in 47 games (35pt pace) pre all star game, and 16 in 33 (40pt pace). His best months were in Feb and March. His hit pace also went up in the 2nd half, from .98 to 1.64 in the 2nd half.
Writing him off based on playoffs seems a bit premature.
Hoglander is not a poor defensive player that’s basically Sprong.
View attachment 913031
His defensive metrics are perfectly fine, and took a big upswing last year. He’s been a positive cf% his entire career outside of one season.
Hoglander consistently goes to heavy traffic areas to score his goals. He’s 4th on the team in shots from high danger areas, and just 1 shot off Pete for 3rd and 12 off Miller for 2nd.
Brock was 1st with 89, in the 97th percentile in the league. All these players get much more ice and PP time than Hog.
Half of Hog’s shots came from high danger areas (59/120), tops on team in %. 19 of Hog’s 24 goals came from high danger zones, 2nd on the team. Brock was 1st, with 22.
He’ll be making 3M starting next year, which will be basically nothing, average 3rd liner money. There is basically no risk, efficient contract that he’ll likely outplay with improvement and/or ice time. Yet you have some posters wanting to trade him and have his contract benefit some other team.
Give your heads a shake, f***ing hell.
Good post. I do believe there is a little bit of risk from our overall cap perspective but this is a young stocky quick pit bull of a player who drives play and is unreal down low.
What the hell do people think he deserves that are being so negative? 24 ES goals and a borderline top10 player from his draft that just keep improving. Guy is in insane condition and obviously they see it and are being smart to get ahead of his break out.
Literally my only reservation is that he can't find an effective consistent role in our top3 lines. Wouldn't surprise me to see him bump Sprong or Heinen by November
How is that a comparable? He was an AHLer. That would have been a more apt Vasili Podkolzin comparison.2020 Sprong?
Baertschi's cap hit % was about 4.25% in its first season. Hoglander's would be 3.4% if it started in this season and of course will probably be less, assuming that the cap will increase for next season. Baertschi had a fairly substantial history of concussions before he signed that contract.His SH% was unsustainable and he’s behind more depth than he was last year.
He’s a poor defensive player and is basically a smaller Sprong with some agitator in his game.
Healthy scratch in the playoffs and we haven’t seen him in an NHL game since then. I have no idea why we would sign this contract right now. It’s basically the Baertschi special.
Got to be on the fence with this one. Don't think this player has fully proven himself. Did get to the net and score last season but Sven Baertschi-like in other areas of the ice.
One thing contract avoids is an offer sheet that might have been in-coming if he has a big upgrade in play this season. Ounce of prevention .... and so on
Every cent is going to count with the OEL buyout going up and this might be a little high. Still the Canucks need players under contract moving ahead.
I see you and @MS have said Baertschi like. I dont see it.Got to be on the fence with this one. Don't think this player has fully proven himself. Did get to the net and score last season but Sven Baertschi-like in other areas of the ice.
One thing contract avoids is an offer sheet that might have been in-coming if he has a big upgrade in play this season. Ounce of prevention .... and so on
Every cent is going to count with the OEL buyout going up and this might be a little high. Still the Canucks need players under contract moving ahead.
Funny how MS and I come up with the same Baertschi impression.
I think the other angle to consider in re-signing Hoglander now is the Boeser negotiation.
It’s a lot easier to walk away from that big ticket if you believe you have another player that could replace that top-six role. It also means that you aren’t up against a tough arbitration case or giving the player leverage if Boeser does walk.
It gives management options, rather than giving themselves gotchas.
I think the other angle to consider in re-signing Hoglander now is the Boeser negotiation.
It’s a lot easier to walk away from that big ticket if you believe you have another player that could replace that top-six role. It also means that you aren’t up against a tough arbitration case or giving the player leverage if Boeser does walk.
It gives management options, rather than giving themselves gotchas.
i agree with the having some certainty angle but Boeser is a front line scoring winger.I think the other angle to consider in re-signing Hoglander now is the Boeser negotiation.
It’s a lot easier to walk away from that big ticket if you believe you have another player that could replace that top-six role. It also means that you aren’t up against a tough arbitration case or giving the player leverage if Boeser does walk.
It gives management options, rather than giving themselves gotchas.
Personally I don't see it. Baertschi couldn't get to the net. Whenever he tried, he broke his body to pieces. His contract was also more money at a much lower cap.Funny how MS and I come up with the same Baertschi impression.