Jerry the great
Registered User
- Jul 8, 2022
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you can't triple stamp a double stampre-open discussion
there were some questions asked based on your 'post' and 'list'
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there were some questions asked based on your 'post' and 'list'
Phenominalyou can't triple stamp a double stamp
I don’t see the point in thinking “if he had known”. Nobody knows the future and you can’t really talk any type of business based on future projections, life doesn’t work like that. I think if Hronek held out for a short term contract and is a UFA this year then yeah I think he would get more than Chychrun because he’s a RHD.I get that. But this is what you said in response to a posters say 7X$7.5M for M-Petey:
Your post was made AFTER NHL's cap announcement. So it's like we didn't disagree but now we do?
I get that. I'm not taking some strong or unreasonable position here. You agree that teams do pay more for the type of offensive production that Chychrun has put up. Heck, using your argument above, had we known the cap was going to jump to like $115M in 3 years, do you think Hronek would have gotten close to $9M AAV? And would he be worth much more than M-Petey contract?
I don't see why we have to choose between the 2 conclusions you proposed. I don't see why we can't conclude that pure defensive Dman aren't valued anywhere close to offensive Dmen with Chychrun's production while at the same time conclude that M-Petey could have gotten more as a UFA than what we signed him for. I along with many others thought M-Petey had all the leverage to squeeze Canucks' management so I am one of many who were surprised at the contract M-Petey ultimately signed.
And again, you keep describing Chychrun as a 40ish point offensive Dman when he has 18 goals and 43 points (23-24 goal 54 point pace). A defenseman's ability to regularly put up goal totals in the teens adds to their market value. Always has. As mentioend, most of us think we signed M-Petey to a good contract. Above I said that I think he could get $6-6.25M AAV.
At the end of the day if we're talking about what the players can command as a UFA, Chychrun's age, size, toolset, and offensive production should get him offers at higher AAV than M-Petey. Similarly, if Ekblad hits UFA, he's going to get paid similar to Chychrun (albeit he is M-Petey's age and is a RHD).
Lindholm is barely an upgrade on Pius Suter at this point, and I certainly wouldn’t want to give Suter anywhere near 7m.Very unpopular opinion but I wish management knew in hindsight about Miller and could have traded him earlier and then resigned Lindholm. Context is I'm probably a bigger Lindholm fan than most here. He would be fine as our 2C.
so what are our realistic options for the UFA pool? It doesn't seem like much is available. Sam Bennet , Ehlers aint coming here. Marner won't be coming to the west coast. All these toronto boys hate Vancouver anyways.
the only names that is maybe is Gourde and Jamie Benn. Clearly as stop overs too. what you guys think?
Don’t see why Ehlers wouldn’t come here, and he’d be my number one target if he makes it to free agency.so what are our realistic options for the UFA pool? It doesn't seem like much is available. Sam Bennet , Ehlers aint coming here. Marner won't be coming to the west coast. All these toronto boys hate Vancouver anyways.
the only names that is maybe is Gourde and Jamie Benn. Clearly as stop overs too. what you guys think?
Nothing.so what are our realistic options for the UFA pool? It doesn't seem like much is available. Sam Bennet , Ehlers aint coming here. Marner won't be coming to the west coast. All these toronto boys hate Vancouver anyways.
the only names that is maybe is Gourde and Jamie Benn. Clearly as stop overs too. what you guys think?
That checks outUFA Targets, in order of priority:
Anyone named Elias Pettersson not already signed
Anyone named Pettersson not already signed
Anyone Swedish from the Pens
Anyone not Swedish from the Pens
Anyone Swedish not from the Pebs
Anyone not Swedish not from the Pens*
* based on randomly pasting pics of their faces on a dart board, and getting a blindfolded monkey to fling . . . stuff at the board
Always love the period by period fans. 11 points in his last 15 games. 13 points in his previous 35 before that. Who is going to pay 5m for a streaky scorer like that. Cap is going up but paying 5m for a streaky scoring soft responsible two foot winger is insane. I'd let him walk if he wants more than 2.75M. I already think Joshua was overpaid for getting what his type are getting on the market. Don't take my opinion with much more than just that.The myopic yo-yoing of a bunch of posters is so interesting to observe.
So we go from "Petey sucks, let's trade him. He'll never be good again".
To, "We have to keep Suter. I don't care if it costs 5 million per".
Guys, there is always more to be considered than what happened last game.
I like Suter and think he's done a fantastic job here for 1.6 million.
I might even offer him 3.5 million or something to stay for 3 or 4 years.
But getting upwards to 4.5 or 5 million to me is crazy and would keep us mired in mediocrity.
So don’t pay Lekkerimaki 10 million a season?Always love the period by period fans. 11 points in his last 15 games. 13 points in his previous 35 before that. Who is going to pay 5m for a streaky scorer like that. Cap is going up but paying 5m for a streaky scoring soft responsible two foot winger is insane. I'd let him walk if he wants more than 2.75M. I already think Joshua was overpaid for getting what his type are getting on the market. Don't take my opinion with much more than just that.
Hes everyones number one target though.Don’t see why Ehlers wouldn’t come here, and he’d be my number one target if he makes it to free agency.
Gotta agree with you here. The Canucks need to be more careful with Suter than what some here are suggesting. I don't think he's a total fluke but he's a prototypical overpay candidate based on a career year.The myopic yo-yoing of a bunch of posters is so interesting to observe.
So we go from "Petey sucks, let's trade him. He'll never be good again".
To, "We have to keep Suter. I don't care if it costs 5 million per".
Guys, there is always more to be considered than what happened last game.
I like Suter and think he's done a fantastic job here for 1.6 million.
I might even offer him 3.5 million or something to stay for 3 or 4 years.
But getting upwards to 4.5 or 5 million to me is crazy and would keep us mired in mediocrity.
Don’t see why Ehlers wouldn’t come here, and he’d be my number one target if he makes it to free agency.
The ice time thing is typically true but usually applies to guys like Nils Hoglander from last season. With Ehlers I think you have to look at it as aside from his first few seasons he's always been the #2 LW behind Kyle Connor. Ehlers plays with the #2 center, gets 2nd unit PP time, and 2nd line ice time. And he still consistantly ranges from .75-1.00 PPG season to season.So with ehlers and his impending raise
I'm assuming the intention would to be playing him more ice time than what he has been getting which is made him a very efficient producer, the question is if you think that the uptick in ice time will reflect that with an uptick and scoring, I don't think historically it makes a difference mind you that maybe more applicable to the minute up to 24 minute range versus the mid teens range up to High Teens
For all the fancy player card people how is he defensively because you have to ensure that you're getting some value on some inflated contract that if his numbers stay relatively the same he at least can play in his own end of the ice
The power play thing is legit yes and he could see a bump from that. Don't get me wrong I like the player I just am weary of himThe ice time thing is typically true but usually applies to guys like Nils Hoglander from last season. With Ehlers I think you have to look at it as aside from his first few seasons he's always been the #2 LW behind Kyle Connor. Ehlers plays with the #2 center, gets 2nd unit PP time, and 2nd line ice time. And he still consistantly ranges from .75-1.00 PPG season to season.
I'd say its not so much the increase in ice time that could shoot his numbers up a bit to probably a consistent PPG guy, as much as it is the quality. And don't know how much it will matter but Vancouver certainly has the benefit for him that he'd be the undisputed top winger here.
Canucks signed eight UFA's last off-season, and midway through this season, half of them were gone.
There are are hardly any bargains in free agency any more. You're forced to overpay and offer far too much term. Look at what happened in Boston.
They were determined to sign 30-plus year olds Lindholm and Zadorov to massive contracts with term. And its' blown up in their faces.
I think for the first off-season in quite awhile, the Canucks may only add a secondary piece or two. But will be relying on young players in the system to step up--preferably on ELC's.
I strongly disagree. Contracts are negotiated based on future cap projections all the time and often discussed here like it's fact. There is clearly a difference in how contract negotiations are approached in a flat cap environment vs a rising cap environment. To be clear we are obviously talking about long term contracts here. It's the same in real life. Certainly you know that you have more leverage to negotiate your compensation if business is expected to grow vs slowing down.I don’t see the point in thinking “if he had known”. Nobody knows the future and you can’t really talk any type of business based on future projections, life doesn’t work like that. I think if Hronek held out for a short term contract and is a UFA this year then yeah I think he would get more than Chychrun because he’s a RHD.
Again you're ignoring the goals he scores. But even if we go by points, he's scoring at a 54 point pace this year, had 41 last season, 56 point pace the year before. So over his last 3 seasons he's had two seasons where he was putting up points at a mid-50 point seasons and 14+ goals the past three seasons. You can criticize him for not being being able to stay healthy (I would be concerned) or even inconsistent but saying he's a 40ish point guy is disingenuous.Oh I was just looking at his stats from previous years and he seems more like a 40ish guy with a breakout year this year that seems unsustainable because the caps are on a heater like we were last year.
I certainly would agree that Chychrun's contract is pretty rich and M-Petey's is a steal. Given what Hanifin signed for, the only justification for Chychrun's AAV being higher is better offensive production, more certainty in how the cap will rise, state income tax, and Hanifin has greater movement/trade protection.Btw I do agree that Chychrun is probably paid market and this will set the bar for a top 4 offensive guy. With this context, MP is definitely underpaid. I did say MP is probably worth between 6-7 and I say this now with the knowledge of Chychrun setting the market and even as I say that, that’s still not 7.5M.
TLDR: we gotta sweet ass deal
Maybe you can explain why Laughton got a 1st round pick returned while Suter wasn't even highly sought after as a UFA rental this year. And how we even got Suter for the contract we did when we did?A common tactic when being unable to argue against something effectively is to call it "semantics" lmao.
Laughton and Domi are not good. Domi is horrific defensively and not great offensively. Laughton is just mediocre all-around. You can disagree, but you would be wrong.
I'm not saying re-signing Suter makes us competitive with those other teams. I never said that. Because it doesn't. The Canucks need a lot more.
I'm just making a correction here that Suter is a better player than some of the names that were mentioned, and even after displaying elite defensive + PK value in Vancouver AND basically holding the middle-six together, he is still very underrated by many here.
Maybe you can explain why Laughton got a 1st round pick returned while Suter wasn't even highly sought after as a UFA rental this year. And how we even got Suter for the contract we did when we did?
I guess Suter being "leagues better" must have meant that Allvin was turning down Brock Nelson level returns then?
Or you are just wrong and are using the common tactic of i'm right because i said so LMAO.
What does "leagues better" "horrific defensively" and "not great offensively" actually even mean?
Laughton is faster way more physical is better at face-offs. Has scored as many points at ES as Suter over the last 3yrs while playing on a tire fire team with less offensive zone starts and was more productive in playoffs even if it was awhile ago. The fact that Suter has better possession numbers doesn't mean a lot without the further context of who he's played with and what goalie has been able to support his GF%.
Top linemates in TOI last 3yrs
Suter = Hughes Garland Hronek Joshua Boeser Miller - Demko
Laughton = Sanheim York Farabee Hathaway Konecny Tippett - Ersson
Way better line mates with better goaltending.
Arguing Domi who is a 50pt per 82 career with 26pts in 50 playoff games is "leagues worse" is just wrong also. Toronto and no other team would take Suter over either going into a playoff drive for a Cup