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On 8x8 being a premium:

Per career rate, he has outscored and outpointed Timo Meier, who has a $8.8m AAV/8yr deal signed 2 years ago. 10.54% of a $83.5m cap. That same percentage on a $96m cap is $10.1m AAV... Suddenly, $8m AAV doesn't seem so bad. It gets even better if it rises from there.

I think Boeser is smart enough 2ways that Tocchet trusts him. This is significant. I'm not confident that his awareness and production can be replicated for less cost elsewhere, but that's the bet they're making...?
Maybe the delays have to do with whether Tocchet re-signs here because this roster has been rebuilt to suit him and his style, system.

Boeser might be smart enough but is he fast enough? He is rarely the first in on the forecheck or back check. Back check unless he is filling in for a rushing dman.
 
debrusk is quite a bit better than pearson, although one really weird thing I noticed about him lately is that he often adjusts his top hand to be lower on his stick when the puck comes to him, and i almost wonder if he would simply be better off using a shorter stick

:20 second mark
 
While I agree with all of this, if the team trades Boeser or lets him walk, the risk they don’t find something better to spend the money on this offseason is pretty high, especially since he seems to be popular with his teammates.

If they don’t replace him with something comparable or better and the team struggles next year that is probably the end of the current core, if the Miller / Pettersson thing doesn’t tank it first.

I expect Lekkerimaki to fill that role on the team. There will be some growing pains but it will allow them to re-distribute the money to the defence. I will be surprised if Lek doesn't hit 25 goals if they play him the role that Boeser is in right now.
 
debrusk is quite a bit better than pearson, although one really weird thing I noticed about him lately is that he often adjusts his top hand to be lower on his stick when the puck comes to him, and i almost wonder if he would simply be better off using a shorter stick

:20 second mark

His stick is already Garland sized.
 
We could have had both Pettersson and Hughes on 8x8’s if it werent for Jim Benning
I'd bet money there would be certain people who would still complain about that contract for EP.

What's done is done.

Lets move on.

Or we are stuck in a perpetual time loop ala Groundhog Day.
 
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The Canadian economy is f***ed and that isn't changing anytime soon.

Going to be a very rough ride.
No doubt, we've been doing the Irish jig on our own dick for a decade and it has put the country in a hole.

Capital flight has been staggering and the loonie has taken a beating in the process. from the peak in 2012 until now, the cost to buy a USD has gone from .94 to 1.45.

reverse the capital flows and the CAD:USD goes the other way.

Kind of like in spaceballs when Dark Helmet tried to vacuum all the oxygen out of Druidia's atmosphere using megamaid, but Lonestar used "the schwartz" to flip megamaids switch and she went from suck to blow.

Feels like a flip switching moment could be upon us and a directional change soon thereafter.
 
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With the recent salary cap news is anyone else thinking this team should just move Pettersson to the highest bidder and build for the next 3 playoffs around the now extremely underpaid Hughes and to an extent Miller? My thoughts were always to try to get out of the Miller contract before it “becomes bad”, but now, I’m not even sure it ever will be considered bad.

Moving Pettersson for a bunch of assets, and getting a top 6 center and top 4 defender plus a bunch of capspace opening up might be this team’s best shot.

Absolutely not.

After the tweets from earlier today about Horvat, I am even more against trading Petey. It would be idiotic. How long before another rift in the room with miller.

If we already didn’t trade him earlier and moved the player we want more in Bo, to do it again with Petey… what is the vision.
 
I'd love to hear your justification for this hot take.
put them both on an energy line and watch.

they are the same skillset but pearson brings energy, emotion and grit. de brusk has gotten lady byng votes twice in his career. that is not a resume stuffer for a supposed power winger.
 
That would have been a terrible trade.

I mean, we are not getting Byram for Miller now, so the trade would have been better long term but we would have missed out on last season.

For the record, at the time I was fine trading Miller for Byram, but I was willing to take on the injury risk in order to get the highest potential value asset in return for Miller.

Bo was asking for too much in the summer. If you truly want to stay with a team you don't do that.

He should have come about halfway in between RNH and Couturier, so about $6.5m. He was about a 30g/30a player but was not getting very good results defensively despite his reputation.

The Canucks were at about $6m in their offer, but he wanted to be paid like Miller. A $2m gap is very hard to bridge and he needed to come down significantly in order get the deal done. Then he went on a heater, his asking price went up even higher, and the Canucks rightly felt that his production wasn't sustainable and they moved him.

Once again, if he wanted to stay, he would have been more reasonable in the summer instead of pushing for top dollar.

Ya, I think Horvat was trying to get the best possible deal he could, and negotiated that way. Its why he wasn't willing to sign in the summer which would put pressure on the Canucks to increase their price. The Canucks, conversely, essentially called his bluff in the summer because what he was asking in the summer wasn't market. At the time, each side was behaving pretty logical. I don't blame the Canucks for not matching Horvat's ask in the summer, and I don't blame Horvat for trying to get the most money he could.

The unexpected part of the whole thing was Horvat going on a heater and turning into a 50 goal scorer. This made it clear that the Canucks would have to pay the full asking price for Horvat based on a small sample size that probably wasn't sustainable, and I have no issue with management being not willing to do so. And so Horvat was traded.

At the end of the day, I am not really sure how much of it was "Miller vs. Horvat" as some have suggested. I think the Canucks, prior to Horvat magically going on a 50 goal scoring pace heater, probably wanted to sign both.

Debrusk delivers that for significantly less and has had a consistently good two-way profile through his career. I like Brock but his game does not look like it will age well and even in his prime he was way too often a passenger.

Boeser just doesn't move the needle enough to be worth a premium.


While I agree with all of this, if the team trades Boeser or lets him walk, the risk they don’t find something better to spend the money on this offseason is pretty high, especially since he seems to be popular with his teammates.

If they don’t replace him with something comparable or better and the team struggles next year that is probably the end of the current core, if the Miller / Pettersson thing doesn’t tank it first.

I think you guys are both right. And I think @credulous made the point earlier, but if the Canucks were and had been a well run organization for a while, we would have a player that was ready to step into Boeser's place next year and we would trade or let Boeser walk. I am not so sure that Lekkerimaki will be that player next year, but its not the worst gamble.

The problem with Boeser, as you have said, is that he's a passenger and doesn't drive play. But more than that, he's also been quite inconsistent. Posters like to think of him as the 40 goal guy he was last season, but people forget that he scored 18 and 23 goals the preceding two season, and that in general, he hasn't been great value for his current three year contract.

And add to all of that, he's generally been injury prone, having never played a full season and usually missing 10-20 games.

This season he is on pace for 28 goals.

So, I can see what management is hesitant to give him the bag over a long term deal, but obviously salary cap escalations may ease that hesitancy.
 
Team would be in a better place right now with Bo even if JT is the better individual player. There is value in Bo's "intangibles". Huge management mistake by thinking they could fix JT and then also doing nothing to supplement the leadership in the room.
I'm not sure what it was like here but I got shredded on another forum for hating the bo trade. I was eventually ran out of town for my opinion on it as the top mod (a Karen) is a huge miller fan. I wish I could go back to rub it in their faces but I'm not allowed there anymore haha.
 
On 8x8 being a premium:

Per career rate, he has outscored and outpointed Timo Meier, who has a $8.8m AAV/8yr deal signed 2 years ago. 10.54% of a $83.5m cap. That same percentage on a $96m cap is $10.1m AAV... Suddenly, $8m AAV doesn't seem so bad. It gets even better if it rises from there.

I think Boeser is smart enough 2ways that Tocchet trusts him. This is significant. I'm not confident that his awareness and production can be replicated for less cost elsewhere, but that's the bet they're making...?

That contract will expire when Meier is 34. He was putting up nearly a point per game at the time he signed it.

Brock would be 36 when a new 8 year contract expires. He has never come close to putting up a point per game.

But the biggest thing to me? Meier is fast - he was in the 90th percentile when he signed. The biggest concern with Boeser is his speed deteriorating further as he ages.

I'm not that familier with Meier's game but the impression I've gotten is that he's a guy that can generate results on his own. He finished 8 points clear of the rest of the Sharks in 21/22, which included Hertl and Couture.
 
Absolutely not.

After the tweets from earlier today about Horvat, I am even more against trading Petey. It would be idiotic. How long before another rift in the room with miller.

If we already didn’t trade him earlier and moved the player we want more in Bo, to do it again with Petey… what is the vision.

Took the words right out of my mouth. They're so busy winning on every trade and maximizing assets that they forgot to build a team. (Maximizing assets is incredibly important don't get me wrong. It's funny how we went from a GM who had no idea how to do that, to now a GM team that is solely focused on it.)
 
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Something like Miller + Heinen for Mittlestadt, Colton, and a center prospect like Nikita Preschepov who has 15 points in 28 games in the AHL. 6’1 200lbs and just turned 20 years old.

Colton is a bit of a misfit on Colorado but he’s a very versatile middle 6 forward with size, speed, and physicality, and he plays with an edge.
 
Miller to Colorado just creates yet another 2 headed monster that the Nucks have no chance against.

I'd love to be a fly on the wall to see how Miller and MacKinnon coexist.

The Canucks would have to win a round or 2 to even have a chance of playing Colorado.
 
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I'd love to be a fly on the wall to see how Miller and MacKinnon coexist.

The Canucks would have to win a round or 2 to even have a chance of playing Colorado.
Even if the Canucks get in, they'll have to face Winnipeg, Edmonton or Vegas. Good luck...
 
That contract will expire when Meier is 34. He was putting up nearly a point per game at the time he signed it.

Brock would be 36 when a new 8 year contract expires. He has never come close to putting up a point per game.

But the biggest thing to me? Meier is fast - he was in the 90th percentile when he signed. The biggest concern with Boeser is his speed deteriorating further as he ages.

I'm not that familier with Meier's game but the impression I've gotten is that he's a guy that can generate results on his own. He finished 8 points clear of the rest of the Sharks in 21/22, which included Hertl and Couture.

Boeser has a better career G/GP and P/GP rate when compared to Meier.

Is the argument that Meier should have gotten less AAV because his pace was unsustainable? (a la Horvat/Miller)

You're right, Boeser would be older, which is why he's taking $8m AAV against a $96m cap rather than $10.1m AAV against a $96m cap (10.54%). It's a clear discount relative to Meier.

The speed is a concern, fair. But the way I see it, if he's able to use his mind at a level that mitigates his speed, that will remain true as he slows further. Example: Brunette, Toffoli etc... Meier is a guy who is fast and likes to lug the puck. This, ironically, is a detriment when playing with playmakers (Garland), but it's a benefit when playing with a more complementary centre. I think the way Boeser plays is more naturally encountered league-wide.
 
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I get that it's just another Hockey Website, but the Hockey Writers site has listed five NHL GM's who's future could well depend on how their teams do during this regular season. And Allvin now makes the list.

If the team continues to struggle; the blockbuster trade of either Miller or Pettersson doesn't pan out; and the Canucks are a lottery team by the first week in April, then all bets could be off on Allvin's future.

How it go from the heights of last season.....to this....so far so fast? I doubt Rutherford would can Allvin, who was his hand-picked successor. But the fact he's even on a list of 'GM's in trouble' is just a reflection of where we're at right now.
 
put them both on an energy line and watch.

they are the same skillset but pearson brings energy, emotion and grit. de brusk has gotten lady byng votes twice in his career. that is not a resume stuffer for a supposed power winger.

ah the good ol' intangibles come out to play. As far as I can remember Pearson never played on an energy line because he's always had below average speed. Like if you said "have them both go into a corner and see who comes out with the puck" I could perhaps see your point.

I like Pearson but he's also had a more limited skillset than DeBrusk has.
 
Boeser has a better career G/GP and P/GP rate when compared to Meier.

Is the argument that Meier should have gotten less AAV because his pace was unsustainable? (a la Horvat/Miller)

You're right, Boeser would be older, which is why he's taking $8m AAV against a $96m cap rather than $10.1m AAV against a $96m cap (10.54%). It's a clear discount relative to Meier.

The speed is a concern, fair. But the way I see it, if he's able to use his mind at a level that mitigates his speed, that will remain true as he slows further. Example: Brunette, Toffoli etc... Meier is a guy who is fast and likes to lug the puck. This, ironically, is a detriment when playing with playmakers (like Garland), but it's a benefit when playing with a more complementary centre. I think the way Boeser plays is more naturally encountered league-wide.
I think we will see Boeser get a pretty big contract because of the cap inflation. And plus, Meier was an RFA when he signed his contract verses Boeser being a UFA. So the comparison isn't great from that perspective.

Stylistically, and value wise, its also not a very good comparison. I mean, just look at the return Meier garnered in the season before he signed his contract. There is no way Boeser would garner anywhere close (partly because Meier is the better player, and partly due to Brock's free agency status).
 
Boeser has a better career G/GP and P/GP rate when compared to Meier.

Is the argument that Meier should have gotten less AAV because his pace was unsustainable? (a la Horvat/Miller)

You're right, Boeser would be older, which is why he's taking $8m AAV against a $96m cap rather than $10.1m AAV against a $96m cap (10.54%). It's a clear discount relative to Meier.

The speed is a concern, fair. But the way I see it, if he's able to use his mind at a level that mitigates his speed, that will remain true as he slows further. Example: Brunette, Toffoli etc... Meier is a guy who is fast and likes to lug the puck. This, ironically, is a detriment when playing with playmakers (Garland), but it's a benefit when playing with a more complementary centre. I think the way Boeser plays is more naturally encountered league-wide.

It's more about how the player is projected to play into the future than career points.

At the end of the day I wouldn't want to sign either player to those respective contracts, and Meier's contract hasn't aged very well so it's probably more of a warning than anything.
 

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