Confirmed with Link: Canes sign Jack Roslovic - 1 year/2.8M

[Boom Boom Apathy]

6G/0A with a 25% SPCT suggests that we should definitely temper our expectations, but riding the wave is fun, until it isn't.

Necas SPCT is almost 30% by the way.

Stay hot, boys!

True, but throughout his career, Roslovic had 86G and 141A so he's assisted more than he's scored goals. So while the goal scoring will not sustain at this pace, neither will the lack of assists.

 

[Anton Dubinchuk]

So… 4x$5m on Jan 1?

 

[HisIceness]

I don't think even Guentzel was this hot during his time with us.

 

[Borsig]

I'm so confused at this instant success

 

[Unsustainable]

I'm so confused at this instant success

GMET found a fit, not a fancy name

 

[Borsig]

GMET found a fit, not a fancy name

I mean it's absolutely a think. Like verhage

 

[tarheelhockey]

I'm so confused at this instant success

Came here to say this. Some things are unlikely… this is more like inexplicable.

 

[CandyCanes]

Congrats on his first assist as a Canes tonight. But 1 assist in 12 games, what a scrub…

 

[LakeLivin]

Congrats on his first assist as a Canes tonight. But 1 assist in 12 games, what a scrub…

Kill him?

 

[Ole Gil]

I'm so confused at this instant success

2012-13 Jiri Tlusty. You play on a line with 2 guys who both draw a ton of defensive attention, if you know the right place to be, good things can happen.

 

[Chrispy]

2012-13 Jiri Tlusty. You play on a line with 2 guys who both draw a ton of defensive attention, if you know the right place to be, good things can happen.

And you can hit your spot when you get the opportunity. We have seen plenty of players over the years who know the right place to be, can get there, but cannot seem to finish the opportunity.

I don't know if it lasts, but Roslovic is getting his shot on net and often putting it on net in difficult spots to save. Between him and Gostisbehere, I feel like the % of shots missing the net should be down this year vs recent years.

Edit: and my feelings are incorrect. Went to MoneyPuck to look at "% of Unblocked Shot Attempts For that Miss Net" in all situations under RBA.

24-25: 34.4%
23-24: 34.22%
22-23: 32.5%
21-22: 29.59%
20-21: 28.33%
19-20: 27.44%

So the missed shots are just as high as last year so far, which was the highest % under RBA.

 

[Anton Dubinchuk]

Career high in goals is 22. But his second best season is 12 (granted, 12 came in the 56 game post-COVID season and he only played 48 of those games).

But yeah, career year incoming already more than likely. The referendum on the Borg's offseason is going to be fun to watch unfold this year (though, when we lose in the second round, everyone will come out and say it was because we let Guentzel go).

 

[Discipline Daddy]

Career high in goals is 22. But his second best season is 12 (granted, 12 came in the 56 game post-COVID season and he only played 48 of those games).

But yeah, career year incoming already more than likely. The referendum on the Borg's offseason is going to be fun to watch unfold this year (though, when we lose in the second round, everyone will come out and say it was because we let Guentzel go).

100%. We made such great moneypucking (so far), that fans will also say we get gipped and will suck next year if we don't re-up Roslovic and Robinson to long deals. It's the cost of success.

 

[AhosDatsyukian]

I'm so confused at this instant success

hopefully he is our Sam Reinhart or Carter Verhaeghe type where it's just a perfect fit and not a mere hot stretch

And you can hit your spot when you get the opportunity. We have seen plenty of players over the years who know the right place to be, can get there, but cannot seem to finish the opportunity.

I don't know if it lasts, but Roslovic is getting his shot on net and often putting it on net in difficult spots to save. Between him and Gostisbehere, I feel like the % of shots missing the net should be down this year vs recent years.

Edit: and my feelings are incorrect. Went to MoneyPuck to look at "% of Unblocked Shot Attempts For that Miss Net" in all situations under RBA.

24-25: 34.4%
23-24: 34.22%
22-23: 32.5%
21-22: 29.59%
20-21: 28.33%
19-20: 27.44%

So the missed shots are just as high as last year so far, which was the highest % under RBA.

Staal's misses alone this year are probably half that number

 

[spockBokk]

100%. We made such great moneypucking (so far), that fans will also say we get gipped and will suck next year if we don't re-up Roslovic and Robinson to long deals. It's the cost of success.

There’s not going to be much room up front next year if they re-up both Roslovic and Robinson. All of the below are at least signed through the 25-26 season:

Svechnikov-Aho-xxx
xxx-Kotkaniemi-Necas
Martinook-Staal-Jarvis
Carrier-Drury-Blake

If they filled both the xxx spots with the guys currently filling them (Roslovic and Robinson), there’s no room for them to use their cap space for what we all expect them to - the acquisition of another scorer.

Then you have Unger Sorum and Nadeau perhaps making a push for roster spots next year too.

All that said, I imagine we see won’t see both Robinson and Roslovic back, but stranger things have happened.

I suppose you could see them maybe package one of Kotkaniemi or Drury with futures to upgrade the 2nd line C spot for the long-term. But for now, no changes necessary, and I’d imagine Roslovic would be the guy they end up keeping, provided he doesn’t turn back into a pumpkin anytime soon. Robinson’s spot is the one that needs upgrading, imho. As well as he’s played, I don’t think he’s capable of holding down that 2nd line LW spot all season.

 

[chaz4hockey]

hopefully he is our Sam Reinhart or Carter Verhaeghe type where it's just a perfect fit and not a mere hot stretch


Staal's misses alone this year are probably half that number

It seems to me (eyeball look versus stats comment) that our quickness/pressure this year has led to more chances versus LY.

 

[Svechhammer]

I'm so confused at this instant success

So far, its like Tulsky was able to recreate a bit of the 2005-06 Canes magic in the sense that absolutely nobody expected the team to be good, and suddenly overnight they were a complete powerhouse.

If this is who he is for us, and he keeps this up through the season and into the playoffs (especially if he and Necas can each keep it up), this arguably could be the best team in franchise history. Which is insane because everyone, including Brindy, expected us to take a step back when asked over the summer.

 

[Stickpucker]

So far, its like Tulsky was able to recreate a bit of the 2005-06 Canes magic in the sense that absolutely nobody expected the team to be good, and suddenly overnight they were a complete powerhouse.

If this is who he is for us, and he keeps this up through the season and into the playoffs (especially if he and Necas can each keep it up), this arguably could be the best team in franchise history. Which is insane because everyone, including Brindy, expected us to take a step back when asked over the summer.

Under promise and over deliver

This is the way.

 

[WreckingCrew]

Under promise and over deliver

This is the way.

WAY better than the opposite, which is what most teams & businesses do and they completely screw themselves over and can't understand why

 

[AD Skinner]

Under promise and over deliver

This is the way.

 

[tarheelhockey]

Career shooting% - 12.4
Career high shooting% - 16.8
This season shooting% - 27.3

It’s not gonna last, y’all.

In terms of volume he is literally doubling his career shooting pace on top of the percentage increase. Let’s say for the sake of argument that he maintains that pace all year (meaning he doesn’t get dropped to a lower line when he cools off) but reverts to his average shooting percentage soon. My napkin math has him scoring 24 more goals over the final 70 games to finish the season at 33. But it’s based on a big assumption that he’s going to maintain this volume of shooting. More likely his volume gets cut in half when he cools off, which puts him at more like 12 more goals to finish at 21. If we split the difference of those extremes, he’ll finish around 27 which means he’s good for about 18 more goals this year.

 

[TheBigLetowski]

Career shooting% - 12.4
Career high shooting% - 16.8
This season shooting% - 27.3

It’s not gonna last, y’all.

In terms of volume he is literally doubling his career shooting pace. Let’s say for the sake of argument that he maintains that pace all year (meaning he doesn’t get dropped to a lower line when he cools off) but reverts to his average shooting percentage soon. My napkin math has him scoring 24 more goals over the final 70 games the season at 33. But it’s based on a big assumption that he’s going to maintain this volume of shooting.

If the guy gets 20-25 I'm happy. Not sure anyone thought this guy would come in and have this touch.

 

[robbieberns]

Hot take but think we’re better served letting him walk and get paid elsewhere. Necas seems best served as a play driving winger on the second line and Jarvis needs to be with Aho moving forward after this year.

 

[tarheelhockey]

If the guy gets 20-25 I'm happy. Not sure anyone thought this guy would come in and have this touch.

It’s coming really easy for him right now. Which is all good, it’s awesome and helping us win games. Just a reality that he’ll go through some quiet weeks, which is what was expected from him in the first place, but now it will contrast his hot start and inevitably some fans will be all “kill him” etc.

 

[Boom Boom Apathy]

Career shooting% - 12.4
Career high shooting% - 16.8
This season shooting% - 27.3

It’s not gonna last, y’all.

His goal scoring at this level isn't going to last. That said,

1) through out his career, his assist to goal ratio is almost 2-1, so while the goal scoring part won't last, neither will his low number of assists.

2) Related to that, Aho's shooting % right now is 7.5% vs. 16%+ the last 5 seasons, so presumably, that will level out as well.

I can see a scenario where when Roslovic's goal scoring starts to slow down, he'll start getting assists as Aho's goal scoring picks up.