C Olivers Murnieks - Sioux City Musketeers, USHL (2026 Draft)

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Yep, if he was coming he would have went MUCH higher
I'm just connecting the dots here. There were rumours about him moving to the US, he was drafted by Sioux City, there really are no other options left in the States.

It doesn't mean that it's confirmed, but it's likely.
 
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I'm just connecting the dots here. There were rumours about him moving to the US, he was drafted by Sioux City, there really are no other options left in the States.

It doesn't mean that it's confirmed, but it's likely.
I understand, with this draft though, it’s more about recruitment than it is anything, the earlier selections are more likely to report, look at Gabriel Eliasson for example. As you get late in the draft, those picks are more “flyers” where teams take talented players that they have no idea would report they’re just talented so it’s worth the risk at that point in the draft.

I’m just pointing out, if he was as talented as we think he is, and was going to play in the US like you say, he would have went MUCH higher in the draft.
 
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So, as expected, Murnieks got drafted in the USHL draft and will be moving overseas next season. Looks like it's going to be the Sioux City Musketeers.

Looking at the rates of point production for U17 players in the USHL, you would expect at least around 0.75 ppg for Murnieks over the course of the next season for him to remain a top 10 pick in 2026.
1) He was drafted late so Sioux will definitely try to get him over, but that doesn't mean that he is interested.

2) Never use the average point production for a league as a barometer for a player playing their first season overseas. A rough transition at 16 wouldn't necessarily mean anything for his draft position.

It's a different league but Timo Meier only put up 34 points in his first season in North America, but the skills were evident. Year 2 (his draft year), he started to show his full skillset and went 9th.
 
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He's reported to Sioux and will be playing in the USHL, as predicted.

Excited to see how he does.
Great news. With him and Berzkalns, and Flugins in OHL, thats going to be an exciting junior hockey season (should they all make their teams, of course).
 
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So a goal and an assist in 2 USHL pre-season games, while playing on the 4th line for some reason. Happy about point production, unsure about why he's buried on the 4th line.
 
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So a goal and an assist in 2 USHL pre-season games, while playing on the 4th line for some reason. Happy about point production, unsure about why he's buried on the 4th line.
Keep in mind he’s very young for the league. Not many U17’s will even play a full USHL regular season. I wouldn’t worry much what line he’s on in preseason, and sometimes the number line, especially in preseason, doesn’t reflect the quality of linemates, situations, or amount of ice time, let alone what the team is thinking. Preseason is a time to experiment.
 
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7 points in 11 games and I think it's fair to say the switch from Latvia to major junior hockey in North America has been successful.

Murnieks initially played on the 4th line with limited ice time, I see now that he scored a goal on the power play last night, so that's a good sign as well.

Currently 2nd in points among U17s in the USHL
 
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The first 2 goal game in USHL and Murnieks is now tied 1st in points among U17s and tied 2nd in goals (8) in the league overall
 
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Murnieks made the WJC roster and it actually looks like he's going to center the Latvian top line.

Points in both exhibition games against Czechia and Switzerland. Very excited to see how he holds up against the US and Canada at age 16.

The 3rd youngest player in the tournament.
 
I must admit, he looks absolutely legit. Very good 2 way C. Reminds me of Sebastian Aho in his movement and viewing of the game. What I was suprised the most by was how strong he looks at 16, he wasn’t getting bullied along the walls or being brushed off in the neutral zone. Also a very capable skater. Tsn commentators were of course going crazy over McKenna but I thought Murnieks was the best 2026 player on the ice.
 
I did some research. Since the 2004 WJC there have been 40 U17 players at the World Juniors total.

The top 10 in terms of points per game:
Bedard 1.14 ppg
Crosby 0.84 ppg
Murnieks 0.80 ppg
Nemec 0.80 ppg
Scherzer 0.75 ppg
McDavid 0.57 ppg
Barkov 0.57 ppg
Frolik 0.57 ppg
Granlund 0.50 ppg
Dvorsky 0.50 ppg

Murnieks finished with 4 points in 5 games and a +4. Latvia only scored 10 goals and conceded 16. Murnieks spent ~19 minutes on ice per game and centered their top line the entire tournament.
 
A tiny bit better than Ian Scherzer, that's my conclusion :sarcasm:
You might be joking, but that's literally true right now - he's slightly better than him at 16 yo. Scherzer just stopped progressing 3 years ago. He was a decent prospect.

Fun fact: Scherzer scored 3 out of his 4 points at the World Juniors in the old best of 3 relegation round against Latvia.

Anyways, not the worst list of names to be surrounded with at his young age. I'm not complaining.
 
My review of what I've watched from him this season. Has 12+17=29 points in 43 games.
Athletic and physical center with an advanced defensive game for his age. Skates well, holds players off well. He has some handling skill, and a little bit of scoring skill. I don’t really see that much offensive skill. I don’t think he’s a future top 6 center in the NHL, but he could be a better skating version of Sacha Bosivert and go in the 16-25 range of the draft next year.
 
My review of what I've watched from him this season. Has 12+17=29 points in 43 games.
I agree with your general sentiment and draft placement, but I'm not sure I agree with your framing of him as a defensively responsible forward.

Murnieks is an all-around player. He's very good at a lot of things, but the question is whether that's good enough to become a 2C at the NHL level.

The one thing that I do not particularly like is a lack of an increase in production during the course of the season. I know Murnieks is trying to finish 2 years of schooling in 24/25 and that he's 16 and it's his first season abroad, but I would really love to see some more multi-point games and more dominance.

He can still end up in the top 10 with a great showing next season or drop to the bottom of the 1st round if he fails to produce more.
 
I agree with your general sentiment and draft placement, but I'm not sure I agree with your framing of him as a defensively responsible forward.

Murnieks is an all-around player. He's very good at a lot of things, but the question is whether that's good enough to become a 2C at the NHL level.

The one thing that I do not particularly like is a lack of an increase in production during the course of the season. I know Murnieks is trying to finish 2 years of schooling in 24/25 and that he's 16 and it's his first season abroad, but I would really love to see some more multi-point games and more dominance.

He can still end up in the top 10 with a great showing next season or drop to the bottom of the 1st round if he fails to produce more.
That's fair. In talking about his defensive game I'm probably more projecting there based off the tools, and will defer to you if you feel his defensive game needs more work than I'm suggesting.
 
I agree with your general sentiment and draft placement, but I'm not sure I agree with your framing of him as a defensively responsible forward.

Murnieks is an all-around player. He's very good at a lot of things, but the question is whether that's good enough to become a 2C at the NHL level.

The one thing that I do not particularly like is a lack of an increase in production during the course of the season. I know Murnieks is trying to finish 2 years of schooling in 24/25 and that he's 16 and it's his first season abroad, but I would really love to see some more multi-point games and more dominance.

He can still end up in the top 10 with a great showing next season or drop to the bottom of the 1st round if he fails to produce more.

Yeh, USHL is really, really hard for 16 year olds to produce in though... harder than CHL because an older and deeper league (even if not the top end talent), so talented younger guys generally play less in lesser roles, and it is lower scoring too.

In the last 10 years only:

Celebrini, Svechnikov, Savoie

managed over 1 P/GP at age 16 while not playing for USNTDP.

This is probably the best crop of non-NTDP 16 year olds ever in the USHL tbh with Lawrence, Shilov, Murnieks, Valentini, Zielinski and Hextall. All six should be gone by pick 64 in 2026 unless someone really stalls... and 4/6 on track most likely for 1st round.
 
That's fair. In talking about his defensive game I'm probably more projecting there based off the tools, and will defer to you if you feel his defensive game needs more work than I'm suggesting.
Whenever Murnieks has played for the Latvian junior teams, he's played a two-way game and hustled back, he's been strong along the boards, etc., despite being the leading player.

What I'm saying is that it's way too early to project him as a bottom 6/defensive forward just because he's good at it. He currently does not fit the mold.

Can he be molded into a bottom 6 guy? Sure, because he does have the tools.
 

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