sure, he doesn't have as good of a shot. i was more so comparing his all around game and the look/style of his game to sakic's.
nylander does have some similarities in his skillset so i would agree with you there. however i disagree with the duchene part. hischier is much smarter and has an even better well rounded game so i think while it's safe to say he will at least be as good as that, realistically; he will most likely be even better. i see an elite player in nico, definitely a tier above that of duchene. don't think there is anything lacking that would stop him from being an elite C.
if you're referring to him doing everything well but nothing elite enough to make him that level of player, i would also disagree. his smarts are truly elite so, that, paired with his more than adequate skillset, should be enough to get him there.
I don't see him entering the tier of the high-end young centers of recent years, who I would give that I expect them to be elite grade too. Those guys were Matthews, MacKinnon, Eichel, Barkov, and Seguin (I'd probably put Eichel and Matthews a tier above Mackinnon, Barkov and Seguin) for guys drafted in the 2010's in regards to how they were viewed in pre-draft
. McDavid was on a different level. I don't think he has that "it" factor those guys had. So, I guess it depends on how you define elite. If I was drafting Hischier, I wouldn't expect him to consistently be a top 5 to 10 center in the league. Now, he could exceed expectations, but I'm expecting a prospect on par with Reinhart, Bennett, Galy, D. Strome, Draisaitl, Monahan, and PLD.
I think Duchene is a fine comparable for him in regards to expectations. Duchene is a solid 1B/2A guy, who some years play's like a true #1. Duchene is a guy who needs to be more consistent, but on his career average 60 points per 82 games played and had seasons of 65 plus. I don't think it is likely he will be significantly better than Duchene.
I guess it varies on where you put the cut-off of elite at. I like Patrick more than Hischier as a prospect, but I also wouldn't put him in the tier I defined as elite. I'd break it down like this. Realize, that players can exceed these expectations, but I'd put the potential I am giving them as probable outcomes, and how they were viewed at the draft (trying to ignore what happened since).
Best Center in the league potential/consistently best player in the league: McDavid
Top 5 center in the league with chances of Hart's in occasional years: Matthews, Eichel
Top 10 centers who can be a #1 center on a title contender: Mackinnon, Seguin and Barkov
Likely 1B/2A centers or top line wingers if they can't be centers: Patrick, D. Strome, Bennett, Reinhart, Draisaitl, Hischier, Ryan Johansen, RNH, PLD, and Monahan.
Now, some players since their draft may not be tracking as planned (most notably Bennett and to a lesser extent Mackinnon, while Barkov may have put himself in the potential top 5 category). Previous players who would have gone into my potential top 5 category are Stamkos and Tavares.