EspenK
Registered User
- Sep 25, 2011
- 15,842
- 4,446
Technically it's 3 coin flips.
Would our chances go up with teams being removed?
So say the *******s in EDM get 1st again, wouldn't our % go up for getting 2nd since there's one less team?
Yes it goes up each time but I think it depends on who wins #1. if the 2nd worse team wins then I think that the odds of winning #2 are better because more winning numbers are removed form the pot as opposed to if the 14th place team won.
Think of it this way - there is a pot with last place in there 20 times. 2nd place is in 13.5 times and number 14 team is in one time. Total teams in is 100. If team 2 wins then last place team's chances of winning next time are 20 in 86.5. If team #14 wins then chances are 20 out of 99. For third pick same approach.
So for many reasons if we finish last it is better to have #2 win than #14.
I don't believe nay of the cumulative odds that have been mentioned previously are correct because it will all depend on who wins in what order. Not a stats guy by any means but I think this is how it should work.
major? nordique? Bueller?