OT: Bears & NFL Talk 102

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I don’t understand at all how according to analytics going for that is the right call.


I’d kick that every single time.
It basically comes down to knowing ahead of time what you need, and upping the percentages of a win as opposed to going to OT. If you get it, you can tie the game with 2 field goals, and another TD wins the game (assuming the extra point doesn't get blocked, which is a given for 31 teams in the league).

If you don't get it, you need a TD plus another 2 point conversion, which has around a 50% chance of succeeding.
 
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It basically comes down to knowing ahead of time what you need, and upping the percentages of a win as opposed to going to OT. If you get it, you can tie the game with 2 field goals, and another TD wins the game (assuming the extra point doesn't get blocked, which is a given for 31 teams in the league).

If you don't get it, you need a TD plus another 2 point conversion, which has around a 50% chance of succeeding.


They’re not kicking two FGs in the next 7 minutes though. Odds of that happening are basically zero.
 
Jayden Daniels and the Commies down 20-9 at home vs Dallas.

Daniels is 13/24 for 94 yards with an INT.
 
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