Confirmed Signing with Link: [COL] G Mackenzie Blackwood signs extension with the Avalanche (5 years, $5.25M AAV)

[Romang67]

I don't know about you, but I trust him because his opinion is echoed by the GMs in the NHL.

Varly was the Vezina runner up in 2014, with a legitimate case for winning it. He was also 4th in the Hart vote.

While in Colorado, Kuemper didn't get a single vote for the Vezina.

Why should we trust GSAx as anything other than a fun calculation based on assumptions?

What's wrong with calculations based on assumptions?

The assumption in GSAx is really just that the past reflects the future. If a shot from a certain area of the ice with certain puck movement before the shot often has resulted in goals in the past, it has a high chance of doing so here too. This thinking is why the cross-ice one-timer is so common on the PP.

 

[le_sean]

I like Blackwood but not sure about this contract. Hasn’t really proven to be a consistent #1

 

[LT]

What's wrong with calculations based on assumptions?

They don't agree with whatever he thinks.

 

[PAZ]

It’s a risky contract, but the upside is there.

After the Daccord contract this is pretty much the new normal with the sparse goalie talent in the league.

 

[Mad Dog Tannen]

This will be a regrettable contract within a few years

Probably.

Or it could look amazing.

But probably not.

 

[Empoleon8771]

I feel like there are more bad goalie contracts than good goalie contracts in the NHL at this point. Every team is seemingly paying these 5 year, $5+ million deals to volatile goalies who don't deserve it, and they almost all end up regrettable.

This is just going to be the next guy to add to the Jarry/Merzlikins/Grubauer/Kuemper group.

 

[MaxDummy]

What the F 25M for BLACKWOOD.

Holy. The guy couldn't believe his ears I'm sure.

 

[Tralfamadore]

There is no way that any team would have paid Blackwood more than this in free agency.

I'm sure you know that better than people who do this for a living right? Keumper got paid this exact contract in 22 and I dont think he's any better than Blackwood. Also older.

 

[Buttonwood]

I know it's only been 4 games, but Blackwood clearly impressed COL staff with his play this year (and possibly last year). Although, SJ and COL are quite different defensive environments.

I guess the question is when did they convince themselves he was a $26M goalie, because 1.5 years ago he was traded for a 6th. Did their pro scouting change their minds on him that much?

 

[McHelpus]

This feels like an Oilers move

Don't worry, we will probably give skinner 6+ million because "that's just how the market is"

 

[Pierce Hawthorne]

lol. Sure.

Stellar after 4 games.

How much higher you think k half a good season will get him? Yeesh. The stories we make up.

So his season in San Jose just doesn't count? Or all of last year?


Please continue to post, I enjoy a good laugh.

 

[EdAVSfan]

Daccord at least played 50 games lol.

Daccord had a career of 69 games, TOTAL, when he signed his deal.

Blackwood has 219 games played.

Their career numbers were pretty much identical.

 

[LokiDog]

Dang - personally, I’ve always liked Blackwood and thought he’d thrive in a good situation somewhere with a decent team in front of him, but that’s a hefty extension after such a small sample. Good for him though. I like the fit in Colorado. Keep Wedge too and just have “The Woods” in net.

 

[Empoleon8771]

I'm sure you know that better than people who do this for a living right? Keumper got paid this exact contract in 22 and I dont think he's any better than Blackwood. Also older.

Yeah and the Kuemper contract sucks too.

 

[LOFIN]

High risk, high reward. At least the Avs waited to see Blackwood in person, playing in front of the team before signing him to a 25ish million year deal, unlike the Oilers, Senators or Red Wings had done a few years ago with their goalies.

 

[TheBeerNerd]

The Avs should have backed out and done their own research before offering Blackwood this deal.

 

[Malkinstheman]

Blackwood's agent is a magician for turning 23 games into 25 million. I was expecting something like 3m x 2 but that didnt account for the NHL GM tax

 

[SteveCangialosi123]

5.25 will be like the new 4. Not that bad for reliable goaltending.

Is this reliable goaltending? He’s never played 50 games and has been mostly middling over the last few years.

 

[Luigi Lemieux]

Longer they wait possibly the more they pay though. He's been stellar so far.

I don't think he would've landed this deal even as a UFA.

 

[Hennessy]

There is no way that any team would have paid Blackwood more than this in free agency.

What if he wins the Cup?

Hell, not even going that far - if he's just average he's going to rack up wins on that Colorado team.

Is there a risk he won't live up to this contract? Of course. But the Avs have had their eye on him for quite some time. They have an idea of who and what he is, insofar as you can calculate goalies.

 

[Shane Diesel]

Next season his cap hit will be 17th in the league tied with Kuemper.

https://puckpedia.com/players/search?s=162&r=0&ss=161

This isn't even a top 15 contract in the league for a goaltender.

 

[Perratrooper]

Merry Christmas to the Blackwood family!

 

[Tralfamadore]

TIL Blackwood has only played 4 games in the NHL.

 

[Forge]

Certainly not what I expected. Nice payday for Blackwood. Definitely been a bit up and down for him, so good for him for cashing in.

 

[Empoleon8771]

What if he wins the Cup?

Hell, not even going that far - if he's just average he's going to rack up wins on that Colorado team.

Is there a risk he won't live up to this contract? Of course. But the Avs have had their eye on him for quite some time. They have an idea of who and what he is, insofar as you can calculate goalies.

Adin Hill got 2 years at $4.9 million after winning the cup with Vegas.