This is from Denis Phillips, a very good meteorologist in Tampa. He's not a hype guy. Just the facts.
Milton Afternoon Update: Milton has strengthened almost as quickly as any storm in history. Only Wilma and Felix have strengthened faster. 80 knot increase in 24 hours. Unreal. Now what?
1. Shear should cause Milton to weaken as it approaches the state. Still, Cat 3 is likely when it makes landfall.
2. Where? Area between Sarasota and Hernando County appear most likely. Again, the exact point of landfall is unpredictable. Wobbles will also happen. The point of landfall and South will see the worst of it.
3. Surge values of 8-12 feet are likely at landfall near the eye. Winds near the eye will be 100-120. Hurricane force winds will probably extend about 45 miles out.
4. Widespread power outages expected. Never use a generator IN your home or garage.
5. Milton will cross the state and bring hurricane conditions to inland areas including Polk County and Orlando.
6. If you are in a mandatory evacuation zone, do so.
7. If the storm slows down its forward speed, there IS the opportunity for additional weakening. There is always hope. But the reality is chances are high part of the Bay Area will see major hurricane impacts and a direct hit.
8. Unfortunately, this storm is the real deal. The one we always knew was possible, but dreaded even thinking about it. So, now is the time to act. You still have 1 1/2 days. Follow evacuation warnings. Make your final preps.
9. On a personal note, I know how scared and anxious people are. We should be. This storm is a beast. We need to work as a team to get through this. Storms can bring the best out in people. Neighbors helping neighbors. It's the only way. Our team will be here 24/7 to get you as much information as possible to help keep you and your family safe. Let's do this..TOGETHER. #FloridaStrong