Keeping a close eye on the track of this storm. I live about 80 - 85 miles north of Tampa. Storm track models are still varying ... some say north of Tampa, some say south of Tampa , and others say pretty much straight into the Tampa area.
If it goes north I get hit hard and the Tampa Bay gets hit with storm surge. Goes south of Tampa less damage my way and the Tampa Bay escapes most of the surge due to wind direction.
As of today reports are to expect at least a cat 3, with several models showing a much stronger storm cat 4. Tampa hasn't been directly hit by a storm of that magnitude in over 100 years; my area in over a 150 years of record keeping ... unusually cat 2 or lower.
Does not look good regardless of where it makes landfall. Somewhere people are going to take the full brunt of this storm.
Watching the track closely.