Now on pace for 71.5 goals in 81 games.
It's certainly more likely he misses 70 than makes it, but he has a legit shot. Would be the first player to do so in over 30 years! Only 8 guys have done it ever:
- Gretzky, Lemieux, Hull, Kurri, Nichols, Mogilny and Teemu all did it (some multiple times) between 1981/82 and 1992/93. This was the NHL's highest scoring era, in all of those years teams averaged between 3.46 and 4.01 goals/game (averaging ~3.75 goals/game overall)
- The only player to do it outside this crazy high scoring era was Espo, who did it in 1970/71, when NHL teams averaged 3.12 goals/game
This season teams are averaging 3.09 goals/game, so a touch lower than even Espo's 70 goal season, and ~20% lower than the 80s/early 90s, when every other 70 goal season happened. A 20% difference in scoring is a lot, a 70 goal season today is like an 84 goal season in that era. 70 in this era is absurd, would be truly incredible to see him reach that mark.