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LEAFS GDT Atlantic Division - Race to the 1st

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PromisedLand

PromisedLand

I need more FOOD
Dec 3, 2016
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52,086
Hogwarts
Lets get this thing going....

As of Mar 26, 2025 all of leafs, bolts and panthers have 11 games remaining
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Leafs 11 games: 1 B2B - 4-Home and 7-Away games
  1. at Sharks
  2. at Kings
  3. at Ducks
  4. vs Panthers (Home)
  5. vs CBJ (Home)
  6. at Panthers
  7. at Bolts (B2B)
  8. vs Habs (Home)
  9. at Canes
  10. at Sabres
  11. vs RedWings (Home)

Panthers 11 games: 2 B2Bs; 6-Home and 5-Away games
  1. vs Utah (Home)
  2. vs Habs (Home)
  3. at Habs
  4. at Leafs (B2B)
  5. at Sens
  6. at RedWings
  7. vs Leafs (Home)
  8. vs RedWings (Home)
  9. vs Sabres (Home)
  10. vs Rangers (Home)
  11. at Bolts (B2B)

Bolts 11 games (no B2Bs); 6-Home and 5-Away games
  1. vs Utah (Home)
  2. vs NYI (Home)
  3. at NYI
  4. at Sens
  5. at Sabres
  6. at Rangers
  7. vs Leafs (Home)
  8. vs RedWings (Home)
  9. vs Sabres (Home)
  10. vs Panthers (Home)
  11. at Rangers

Who do you guys think has easier schedule down the road? I feel like bolts have the easier schedule with relatively easy teams with exception of two games against Leafs and Panthers; followed by Panthers with same "tough" teams being Leafs and Bolts but have two back to backs and one of them is against bolts and the other against the Leafs

Leafs get 2 x panthers (once when they are on B2B); then leafs play bolts when leafs are B2B and also play Kings and Canes

Leafs have a relatively tougher schedule down the road.

Can the Leafs finish first in the atlantic? What you folks think?
 
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Leafs have 6 games against teams currently in a playoff spot, and two against teams not far from a wild card.
Panthers have 6 games against teams currently in a playoff spot, and two against teams not far from a wild card spot.
Lightning have 3 games against teams currently in a playoff spot and 5 against teams not far from a wild card spot.

It's not going to be easy.
 
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Fogelhund said:
Leafs have 6 games against teams currently in a playoff spot, and two against teams not far from a wild card.
Panthers have 6 games against teams currently in a playoff spot, and two against teams not far from a wild card spot.
Lightning have 3 games against teams currently in a playoff spot and 5 against teams not far from a wild card spot.

It's not going to be easy.
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At this time of year, game against team fighting for wild card could be harder than team already in playoff...

At the end whatever who you're playing that doesn't matter... just play like you should and earn it
 
Last edited:
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Leafs control their destiny so I’ll only focus on them.

Of our remaining 11 games I see 5 that we should win: Sharks, Ducks, Habs, Sabres, and Red Wings. Two bubble teams and three terrible ones. Leafs need to do what they did against Philadelphia to them and take care of business, no excuses.

Then we’ve got three games against teams who are on even ground with us and we can beat but I wouldn’t be surprised if we lost: Kings, Lightning, and Hurricanes. Kings especially being at home will be very difficult to get points from. Lightning we have their number recently but we haven’t seen them in months, they’re a whole new monster now. Hurricanes have been hot lately, we’ll see if their momentum holds when we pay them a visit.

Then we‘ve got two games against our direct competition and who I still consider the class of the East, Florida. One home, one away. Florida is injured but that didn’t stop them from taking our lunch money last game, as they cruised to a win that was far too similar to how they beat us in 2023. These two games will show us where the Leafs are and if they’re serious about going on a run and winning the division or not.

Oh and we also have Columbus. I would’ve put them in the first tier but that f***ing franchise kicks the shit out of us every time we face them and routinely puts up 5 goals on us, so I’ve got that as an expected loss.
 
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I Think tomorrow is a BIG night for them.

If they beat SJ they go 2 points up on Florida and that's huge.

But if they do it in regulation then not only do they go 2 points up on Florida.

They would have the regulation wins tiebreaker and they already have the regulation+Overtime wins tiebreaker that's why they are in 1st now

Having They points lead AND the first 2 tiebreakers would be absolutely HUGE.

Personally I think they need to go 8-3 to win the division maybe 7-4 if they get a little help along the way like If Toronto wins and Florida were to lose say 4-2 to Utah on Friday.

This California trip is BIG
 
Jimmy Firecracker said:
Leafs control their destiny so I’ll only focus on them.

Of our remaining 11 games I see 5 that we should win: Sharks, Ducks, Habs, Sabres, and Red Wings. Two bubble teams and three terrible ones. Leafs need to do what they did against Philadelphia to them and take care of business, no excuses.

Then we’ve got three games against teams who are on even ground with us and we can beat but I wouldn’t be surprised if we lost: Kings, Lightning, and Hurricanes. Kings especially being at home will be very difficult to get points from. Lightning we have their number recently but we haven’t seen them in months, they’re a whole new monster now. Hurricanes have been hot lately, we’ll see if their momentum holds when we pay them a visit.

Then we‘ve got two games against our direct competition and who I still consider the class of the East, Florida. One home, one away. Florida is injured but that didn’t stop them from taking our lunch money last game, as they cruised to a win that was far too similar to how they beat us in 2023. These two games will show us where the Leafs are and if they’re serious about going on a run and winning the division or not.

Oh and we also have Columbus. I would’ve put them in the first tier but that f***ing franchise kicks the shit out of us every time we face them and routinely puts up 5 goals on us, so I’ve got that as an expected loss.
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I would put Columbus as a game they SHOULD win.

I know they lost to Columbus twice but they didn't beat Woll or Stolarz they beat Hildeby.
 
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Generally seeding isnt #1 priority. There are a lot of nuances any given team is working through down the stretch and for the most part you need to focus on getting your ducks in a row and preparing for war regardless of who the enemy may be.

The Atlantic is tough because you have two disproportionately proven warrior teams in the top three and a first place finish avoids a path facing both of them.

A difficulty for the Atlantic. Both Bolts and Cats have lost a championship perhaps because they got too banged up through the journey, and both have disproportionately wagered the future loading up to get there.

Do we focus on winning the division and prioritize path, or get the team right for whomever the challengers may be?

One sounds more like hockey than the other, but sometimes you have to play the cards you have.
 
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I have a feeling its going to end up
1 Florida
2 Tampa
3 Toronto

Dear Hockey Gods, I know all I do is bish and complain. Id be sorry for that but dammit I'm a Leafs fan and they haven't won a cup since 20 years before I was born. Please bless us with winning the division and ample good bounces come playoffs. I swear I'll volunteer some time to youth hockey programs in some capacity.

Howe, Gretzky and Dougie G.
Amen.
 
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Schennanigans said:
Imo they can’t win the division with an average finish. Going 5-5-1 is not going to get it. They need to go 7-4 at minimum I think.
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7-4 and they need to go at least 1-1-1 in those three Florida/Tampa games, with minimum one win against Florida. If they drop both against Florida there is no shot IMO.
 
With the Islanders, Rangers sucking it up, does it matter where they finish? Best case is they finish 3rd and play Tampa.
 
Jojalu said:
This is false. Best case if they were playing TB would be to finish 2nd.

TB is not nearly as good on the road and are killing it at home.
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Playoffs are a different game and players on both teams feed off the atmosphere. So I think it would be better to start the series in Tampa and more importantly have game 7 there, if necessary.
 
My guess is that 104 points wins the division, so something like a 7-3-1 would be needed.

Obviously none of the three are going 11-0, so the max of 111 (109 for Tampa) isn't attainable. Could be closer to 107ish if someone goes on a huge run to end the year.
 
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